Villa host Brentford at Villa Park, Birmingham on 10 October 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League. Villa's last five results: D W L W W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). Brentford's last five: D D D W W (2 wins and 3 draws). In their last 6 meetings, Villa have won 2, Brentford 2, with 2 draws.
Villa vs Brentford kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 10 October 2026 in the Premier League, at Villa Park, Birmingham.
Villa vs Brentford is being played at Villa Park in Birmingham, the home ground of Villa.
Villa's last five results read D W L W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Brentford's last five results read D D D W W (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 draws.
Across the last 6 meetings Villa have won 2, Brentford have won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent was Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford on 1 February 2026 in the Premier League.
Ollie Watkins leads Villa with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
Kevin Schade leads Brentford with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Craig Pawson is the referee for Villa vs Brentford, averaging 27.5 fouls and 4.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Villa and Brentford are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Brentford the favourite with a 38% chance of winning, against 37% for Villa and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Villa 1.6 - 1.6 Brentford.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 11%. Both teams to score is 63% likely and over 2.5 goals 61%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Premier League | Aston Villa vs Brentford | 0-1 |
| 16 Sep 2025 | Carabao Cup | Brentford vs Aston Villa | 1-1 |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Premier League | Brentford vs Aston Villa | 1-0 |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Premier League | Brentford vs Aston Villa | 0-1 |
| 4 Dec 2024 | Premier League | Aston Villa vs Brentford | 3-1 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | Premier League | Aston Villa vs Brentford | 3-3 |
Statz's projection model expects Villa 1.6 - 1.6 Brentford in goals. It gives Villa a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Brentford 38%. Both teams to score is 63% likely, over 1.5 goals 83% and over 2.5 goals 61%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 0-1 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | Brentford win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Villa win | 8% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 7% |
| 0-1 | Brentford win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Villa vs Brentford, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Villa | Fouls committed | Brentford | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. BuendÃa | 11 | I. Thiago | 19 |
| 2 | R. Barkley | 10 | V. Janelt | 12 |
| 3 | B. Kamara | 9 | K. Schade | 10 |
| 4 | I. Maatsen | 8 | D. Ouattara | 9 |
| 5 | M. Cash | 8 | M. Sangaré | 9 |
| # | Villa | Shots | Brentford | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Watkins | 16 | I. Thiago | 21 |
| 2 | E. BuendÃa | 15 | D. Ouattara | 19 |
| 3 | R. Barkley | 12 | K. Schade | 19 |
| 4 | J. McGinn | 10 | K. Lewis-Potter | 16 |
| 5 | N. Jackson | 8 | M. Damsgaard | 10 |
| # | Villa | Shots on target | Brentford | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Watkins | 9 | I. Thiago | 8 |
| 2 | E. BuendÃa | 5 | K. Schade | 8 |
| 3 | R. Barkley | 3 | K. Lewis-Potter | 4 |
| 4 | J. McGinn | 3 | D. Ouattara | 4 |
| 5 | N. Jackson | 2 | M. Damsgaard | 3 |
| # | Villa | Goals | Brentford | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Watkins | 5 | K. Schade | 4 |
| 2 | E. BuendÃa | 2 | I. Thiago | 2 |
| 3 | R. Barkley | 1 | D. Ouattara | 2 |
| 4 | J. McGinn | 1 | V. Janelt | 2 |
| 5 | N. Jackson | 1 | M. Jensen | 1 |
| # | Villa | Yellow cards | Brentford | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Cash | 3 | V. Janelt | 4 |
| 2 | J. McGinn | 3 | I. Thiago | 3 |
| 3 | T. Mings | 2 | N. Collins | 3 |
| 4 | N. Jackson | 2 | M. Kayode | 2 |
| 5 | P. Torres | 1 | K. Ajer | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Villa vs Brentford: Mikkel Damsgaard 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.40); Keane Lewis-Potter 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.20); Tyrone Mings 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.50); Boubacar Kamara 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.30). Combined odds 3.28 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 17 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 15 of 20 |
| Shots | 9.6 | 20 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 2.4 | 20 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 11 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.2 | 9 of 20 |
| Passes | 406.4 | 13 of 20 |
| Corners | 3 | 19 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 4 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots | 16.2 | 4 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.6 | 11 of 20 |
| Fouls | 14.4 | 2 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.4 | 7 of 20 |
| Passes | 375 | 17 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 11 of 20 |