Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13.4% |
| 1-0 | Vélez Sarsfield win | 11.6% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 9.6% |
| 2-1 | Vélez Sarsfield win | 8.8% |
| 0-1 | Belgrano win | 8.7% |
| 2-0 | Vélez Sarsfield win | 8.3% |
| 1-2 | Belgrano win | 6.7% |
| 0-2 | Belgrano win | 4.9% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 4.6% |
| 3-1 | Vélez Sarsfield win | 4.0% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% |
| Vélez Sarsfield clean sheet | 35% |
| Belgrano clean sheet | 25% |
The most likely score in Vélez Sarsfield vs Belgrano is 1-1, a 13% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-0 at 12%. The Liga Profesional de Fútbol game kicks off at 23:00 UK time on Friday 20 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Vélez Sarsfield 1.37 - 1.05 Belgrano in goals for Vélez Sarsfield vs Belgrano, with over 2.5 goals 44% likely and both teams to score 49%.
Statz projects 21 players for Vélez Sarsfield vs Belgrano on Friday 20 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 23:00 UK time kick-off.
Vélez Sarsfield host Belgrano at Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires on 20 November 2026 at 23:00 in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. Vélez Sarsfield's last five results: L W W D L (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Belgrano's last five: W L L D L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses).
Vélez Sarsfield vs Belgrano kicks off at 23:00 UK time on Friday 20 November 2026 in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, at Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires. Estadio José Amalfitani holds 49,540 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 23:00.
Vélez Sarsfield vs Belgrano is being played at Estadio José Amalfitani in Buenos Aires on Friday 20 November 2026, the home ground of Vélez Sarsfield, which holds 49,540 people. Kick-off is at 23:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Liga Profesional de Fútbol.
Vélez Sarsfield have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6, with results reading L W W D L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-2 defeat away to Unión Santa Fe in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on 6 November.
Belgrano have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8, with results reading W L L D L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat away to Gimnasia La Plata in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on 5 November.
Ronaldo Martínez leads Vélez Sarsfield with 9 goals across their last 10 games, 0.9 a game, the most of any Vélez Sarsfield player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Vélez Sarsfield player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Lucas Passerini leads Belgrano with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Belgrano player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Belgrano player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Vélez Sarsfield vs Belgrano with 11 starters a side: Vélez Sarsfield line up 4-2-3-1 and Belgrano 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 23:00 UK time kick-off on Friday 20 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Vélez Sarsfield the favourite with a 43% chance of winning, against 28% for Belgrano and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Vélez Sarsfield 1.4 - 1.1 Belgrano.
The most likely score in Vélez Sarsfield vs Belgrano is 1-1, a draw, at 13%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 49% likely and over 2.5 goals 44%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Vélez Sarsfield vs Belgrano, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
Statz's projection model expects Vélez Sarsfield 1.4 - 1.1 Belgrano in goals. It gives Vélez Sarsfield a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Belgrano 28%. Both teams to score is 49% likely, over 1.5 goals 70% and over 2.5 goals 44%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 0-1 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-0 | Vélez Sarsfield win | 12% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Vélez Sarsfield win | 9% |
| 0-1 | Belgrano win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Vélez Sarsfield vs Belgrano, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Vélez Sarsfield | Fouls committed | Belgrano | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Robertone | 24 | F. Vázquez | 14 |
| 2 | R. Aliendro | 14 | A. Spörle | 12 |
| 3 | M. Pellegrini | 13 | L. Passerini | 11 |
| 4 | E. Gómez | 9 | L. Zelarayán | 11 |
| 5 | J. Policella | 7 | S. Longo | 10 |
| # | Vélez Sarsfield | Shots | Belgrano | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Martínez | 27 | L. Zelarayán | 31 |
| 2 | J. Policella | 19 | L. Passerini | 20 |
| 3 | M. Lanzini | 18 | F. Vázquez | 20 |
| 4 | L. Robertone | 17 | N. Fernández | 18 |
| 5 | R. Aliendro | 13 | E. Rigoni | 13 |
| # | Vélez Sarsfield | Shots on target | Belgrano | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Martínez | 16 | L. Zelarayán | 10 |
| 2 | J. Policella | 9 | L. Passerini | 9 |
| 3 | L. Robertone | 5 | F. Vázquez | 8 |
| 4 | M. Pellegrini | 4 | N. Fernández | 6 |
| 5 | T. Silvero | 3 | E. Rigoni | 4 |
| # | Vélez Sarsfield | Goals | Belgrano | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Martínez | 9 | L. Passerini | 4 |
| 2 | M. Pellegrini | 2 | A. Benítez | 1 |
| 3 | J. Policella | 2 | L. Zelarayán | 1 |
| 4 | L. Robertone | 1 | F. Vázquez | 1 |
| 5 | T. Silvero | 1 | R. Hernandes | 1 |
| # | Vélez Sarsfield | Yellow cards | Belgrano | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Aliendro | 2 | A. Spörle | 3 |
| 2 | M. Pellegrini | 2 | L. López | 3 |
| 3 | T. Aguirre | 2 | R. Hernandes | 3 |
| 4 | L. Robertone | 2 | N. Fernández | 2 |
| 5 | T. Marchiori | 1 | A. Benítez | 2 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 | 6 of 60 |
| Goals against | 0.9 | 9 of 60 |
| Shots | 12.6 | 15 of 60 |
| Shots on target | 4.4 | 10 of 60 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 29 of 60 |
| Tackles | 19.2 | 3 of 60 |
| Passes | 441.9 | 7 of 60 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 15 of 60 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 12 of 60 |
| Goals against | 0.9 | 4 of 60 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 13 of 60 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 14 of 60 |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 27 of 60 |
| Tackles | 18.6 | 9 of 60 |
| Passes | 403.3 | 10 of 60 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 19 of 60 |