Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12.7% |
| 1-0 | Ukraine win | 10.5% |
| 0-1 | Georgia win | 9.5% |
| 2-1 | Ukraine win | 8.5% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 7.9% |
| 1-2 | Georgia win | 7.6% |
| 2-0 | Ukraine win | 7.1% |
| 0-2 | Georgia win | 5.7% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.1% |
| 3-1 | Ukraine win | 3.8% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Ukraine clean sheet | 30% |
| Georgia clean sheet | 26% |
The most likely score in Ukraine vs Georgia is 1-1, a 13% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-0 at 11%. The UEFA Nations League game kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Ukraine 1.34 - 1.20 Georgia in goals for Ukraine vs Georgia, with over 2.5 goals 47% likely and both teams to score 52%.
Statz projects 22 players for Ukraine vs Georgia on Tuesday 17 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 19:45 UK time kick-off.
Ukraine host Georgia at Košická futbalová aréna on 17 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Ukraine's last five results: W D L L L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). Georgia's last five: L D L D L (2 draws and 3 losses). In their last 3 meetings, Ukraine have won 1, Georgia 0, with 2 draws.
Ukraine vs Georgia kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Košická futbalová aréna. Košická futbalová aréna holds 12,658 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Ukraine vs Georgia is being played at Košická futbalová aréna on Tuesday 17 November 2026, the home ground of Ukraine, which holds 12,658 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Ukraine have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6, with results reading W D L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-1 defeat away to Northern Ireland in the UEFA Nations League on 14 November.
Georgia have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 0 and conceding 4, with results reading L D L D L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-2 defeat at home to Hungary in the UEFA Nations League on 14 November.
Across the last 3 meetings Ukraine have won 1, Georgia have won 0 and 2 were drawn, with Ukraine scoring 2 goals to Georgia's 1. The most recent was Georgia 0-0 Ukraine on 28 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Vladyslav Vanat leads Ukraine with 7 shots across their last 10 games, 0.7 a game, the most of any Ukraine player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Ukraine player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Giorgi Tsitaishvili leads Georgia with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.3 a game, the most of any Georgia player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Georgia player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Ukraine vs Georgia with 11 starters a side: Ukraine line up 4-4-2 and Georgia 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 19:45 UK time kick-off on Tuesday 17 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Ukraine the favourite with a 40% chance of winning, against 33% for Georgia and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Ukraine 1.3 - 1.2 Georgia.
The most likely score in Ukraine vs Georgia is 1-1, a draw, at 13%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 52% likely and over 2.5 goals 47%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Ukraine vs Georgia, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Georgia vs Ukraine | 0-0 |
| 16 Nov 2024 | UEFA Nations League | Georgia vs Ukraine | 1-1 |
| 11 Oct 2024 | UEFA Nations League | Ukraine vs Georgia | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Ukraine 1.3 - 1.2 Georgia in goals. It gives Ukraine a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Georgia 33%. Both teams to score is 52% likely, over 1.5 goals 72% and over 2.5 goals 47%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 0-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 0-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-0 | Ukraine win | 11% |
| 0-1 | Georgia win | 9% |
| 2-1 | Ukraine win | 8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Ukraine vs Georgia, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Ukraine | Fouls committed | Georgia | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Ponomarenko | 7 | A. Mekvabishvili | 11 |
| 2 | V. Vanat | 6 | G. Kochorashvili | 9 |
| 3 | V. Tsygankov | 6 | O. Kakabadze | 7 |
| 4 | O. Ocheretko | 6 | L. Lochoshvili | 6 |
| 5 | D. Sikan | 6 | S. Goglichidze | 5 |
| # | Ukraine | Shots | Georgia | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Vanat | 7 | K. Kvaratskhelia | 10 |
| 2 | O. Zubkov | 7 | G. Mikautadze | 9 |
| 3 | V. Tsygankov | 6 | O. Kiteishvili | 7 |
| 4 | R. Yaremchuk | 5 | B. Zivzivadze | 6 |
| 5 | M. Ponomarenko | 5 | L. Lochoshvili | 4 |
| # | Ukraine | Shots on target | Georgia | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Zubkov | 4 | G. Mikautadze | 4 |
| 2 | R. Yaremchuk | 3 | K. Kvaratskhelia | 2 |
| 3 | V. Vanat | 2 | O. Kiteishvili | 2 |
| 4 | O. Gutsulyak | 2 | G. Chakvetadze | 2 |
| 5 | D. Sikan | 2 | G. Kashia | 1 |
| # | Ukraine | Goals | Georgia | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Gutsulyak | 2 | K. Kvaratskhelia | 2 |
| 2 | R. Yaremchuk | 2 | L. Lochoshvili | 1 |
| 3 | O. Zubkov | 1 | ||
| 4 | M. Ponomarenko | 1 | ||
| 5 | D. Sikan | 1 |
| # | Ukraine | Yellow cards | Georgia | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Y. Nazaryna | 2 | G. Tsitaishvili | 3 |
| 2 | D. Sikan | 2 | O. Kiteishvili | 2 |
| 3 | M. Matvienko | 2 | G. Kochorashvili | 2 |
| 4 | Y. Konoplya | 1 | G. Kvilitaia | 1 |
| 5 | R. Malinovskyi | 1 | N. Lominadze | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.5 | 47 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 33 of 54 |
| Shots | 10.4 | 43 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 2.2 | 48 of 54 |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 18 of 54 |
| Tackles | 14.4 | 24 of 54 |
| Passes | 543.6 | 11 of 54 |
| Corners | 3.2 | 43 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0 | 53 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 15 of 54 |
| Shots | 9.4 | 46 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 3 | 45 of 54 |
| Fouls | 13.4 | 12 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13.6 | 33 of 54 |
| Passes | 505 | 18 of 54 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 10 of 54 |