Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | Tijuana win | 9.7% |
| 1-0 | Tijuana win | 9.6% |
| 2-0 | Tijuana win | 8.8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 6.5% |
| 1-2 | Atlante win | 6.2% |
| 0-1 | Atlante win | 6.0% |
| 3-1 | Tijuana win | 5.5% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.4% |
| 3-0 | Tijuana win | 5.0% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Tijuana clean sheet | 33% |
| Atlante clean sheet | 18% |
The most likely score in Tijuana vs Atlante is 1-1, a 12% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 2-1 at 10%. The Liga MX game kicks off at 03:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Tijuana 1.72 - 1.11 Atlante in goals for Tijuana vs Atlante, with over 2.5 goals 54% likely and both teams to score 55%.
Tijuana host Atlante at Estadio Caliente, Tijuana on 21 November 2026 at 03:00 in Liga MX. Tijuana's last five results: D W D D L (1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss). Atlante's last five: L W L L L (1 win and 4 losses).
Tijuana vs Atlante kicks off at 03:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in Liga MX, at Estadio Caliente, Tijuana. Estadio Caliente holds 27,333 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 03:00.
Tijuana vs Atlante is being played at Estadio Caliente in Tijuana on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of Tijuana, which holds 27,333 people. Kick-off is at 03:00 UK time, and the match is part of Liga MX.
Tijuana have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8, with results reading D W D D L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-1 defeat away to Necaxa in the Liga MX on 7 November.
Atlante have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9, with results reading L W L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-2 defeat at home to Santos Laguna in the Liga MX on 7 November.
Iván Tona leads Tijuana with 4 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Tijuana player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Tijuana player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Martín Sarrafiore leads Atlante with 12 shots on target across their last 10 games, 1.2 a game, the most of any Atlante player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Atlante player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Tijuana vs Atlante is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Tijuana's XI from their 0-1 defeat at Necaxa on Sat 7 Nov 2026, and Atlante's XI from their 0-2 defeat v Santos Laguna at home on Sat 7 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Tijuana the favourite with a 51% chance of winning, against 24% for Atlante and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Tijuana 1.7 - 1.1 Atlante.
The most likely score in Tijuana vs Atlante is 1-1, a draw, at 12%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 55% likely and over 2.5 goals 54%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Tijuana vs Atlante, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
Statz's projection model expects Tijuana 1.7 - 1.1 Atlante in goals. It gives Tijuana a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlante 24%. Both teams to score is 55% likely, over 1.5 goals 78% and over 2.5 goals 54%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 0-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 2-1 | Tijuana win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Tijuana win | 10% |
| 2-0 | Tijuana win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 7% |
Predicted lineups for Tijuana vs Atlante are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Tijuana's XI from their 0-1 defeat at Necaxa on Sat 7 Nov 2026, and Atlante's XI from their 0-2 defeat v Santos Laguna at home on Sat 7 Nov 2026.
| # | Tijuana | Fouls committed | Atlante | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Preciado | 12 | J. Julio | 23 |
| 2 | M. Ghezouani | 12 | M. Sarrafiore | 17 |
| 3 | R. Árciga | 8 | A. Quirós | 16 |
| 4 | I. Tona | 7 | W. Portales | 13 |
| 5 | Y. Padilla | 7 | E. Pizzuto | 12 |
| # | Tijuana | Shots | Atlante | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Rivero | 19 | M. Sarrafiore | 34 |
| 2 | M. Ghezouani | 18 | J. Julio | 21 |
| 3 | A. Preciado | 11 | L. Calzadilla | 21 |
| 4 | F. González | 11 | L. Puente | 16 |
| 5 | E. Manoel | 10 | E. Pizzuto | 13 |
| # | Tijuana | Shots on target | Atlante | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Ghezouani | 7 | M. Sarrafiore | 12 |
| 2 | I. Rivero | 6 | L. Calzadilla | 10 |
| 3 | E. Manoel | 6 | J. Julio | 8 |
| 4 | A. Preciado | 5 | W. Portales | 4 |
| 5 | J. Porozo | 4 | L. Puente | 4 |
| # | Tijuana | Goals | Atlante | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Preciado | 3 | J. Julio | 2 |
| 2 | I. Rivero | 3 | M. Sarrafiore | 2 |
| 3 | E. Manoel | 2 | L. Calzadilla | 2 |
| 4 | M. Ghezouani | 2 | N. Carrera | 1 |
| 5 | J. Porozo | 1 | E. Tercero | 1 |
| # | Tijuana | Yellow cards | Atlante | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Tona | 4 | E. Pizzuto | 4 |
| 2 | R. Fernández | 2 | M. Fernández | 2 |
| 3 | A. Preciado | 2 | A. Quirós | 2 |
| 4 | I. Rivero | 2 | J. Julio | 2 |
| 5 | Á. Zapata | 2 | N. Carrera | 2 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 6 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 6 of 18 |
| Shots | 12.8 | 16 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 4.1 | 15 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 16 of 18 |
| Tackles | 17.1 | 7 of 18 |
| Passes | 353.1 | 17 of 18 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 14 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.1 | 16 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.6 | 14 of 18 |
| Shots | 14.9 | 9 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 5.1 | 9 of 18 |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 2 of 18 |
| Tackles | 19.7 | 1 of 18 |
| Passes | 364.8 | 15 of 18 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 10 of 18 |