| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Nigeria win | 20.0% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 14.2% |
| 0-2 | Nigeria win | 14.1% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10.9% |
| 1-0 | Tanzania win | 7.7% |
| 1-2 | Nigeria win | 7.7% |
| 0-3 | Nigeria win | 6.6% |
| 1-3 | Nigeria win | 3.6% |
| 2-1 | Tanzania win | 3.0% |
| 0-4 | Nigeria win | 2.3% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 32% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% |
| Tanzania clean sheet | 25% |
| Nigeria clean sheet | 58% |
The most likely score in Tanzania vs Nigeria is 0-1, a 20% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 0-0 at 14%. The Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications game kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Tanzania 0.54 - 1.41 Nigeria in goals for Tanzania vs Nigeria, with over 2.5 goals 31% likely and both teams to score 32%.
Statz projects 18 players for Tanzania vs Nigeria on Tuesday 17 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 13:00 UK time kick-off.
Tanzania host Nigeria at Amaan Stadium, Zanzibar City on 17 November 2026 at 13:00 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. Tanzania's last five results: W D L D L (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). Nigeria's last five: D L W L W (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). In their last 2 meetings, Tanzania have won 0, Nigeria 2, with 0 draws.
Tanzania vs Nigeria kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at Amaan Stadium, Zanzibar City. Amaan Stadium holds 15,000 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 13:00.
Tanzania vs Nigeria is being played at Amaan Stadium in Zanzibar City on Tuesday 17 November 2026, the home ground of Tanzania, which holds 15,000 people. Kick-off is at 13:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Tanzania have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6, with results reading W D L D L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-3 defeat away to Nigeria in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 13 November.
Nigeria have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9, with results reading D L W L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-1 win at home to Tanzania in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 13 November.
Across the last 2 meetings Tanzania have won 0, Nigeria have won 2 and 0 were drawn, with Tanzania scoring 2 goals to Nigeria's 5. The most recent was Nigeria 3-1 Tanzania on 13 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Ibrahim Hamad leads Tanzania with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.3 a game, the most of any Tanzania player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Tanzania player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Akor Adams leads Nigeria with 12 shots across their last 10 games, 1.2 a game, the most of any Nigeria player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Nigeria player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Mohamed Athoumani is the referee for Tanzania vs Nigeria, averaging 25.0 fouls and 3.3 yellow cards per game across 3 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Until the team news for Tanzania vs Nigeria is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Tanzania's XI from their 1-3 defeat at Nigeria on Fri 13 Nov 2026, and Nigeria's XI from their 3-1 win v Tanzania at home on Fri 13 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Nigeria the favourite with a 58% chance of winning, against 14% for Tanzania and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Tanzania 0.5 - 1.4 Nigeria.
The most likely score in Tanzania vs Nigeria is 0-1, a Nigeria win, at 20%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 32% likely and over 2.5 goals 31%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Tanzania vs Nigeria, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Nigeria vs Tanzania | 3-1 |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Africa Cup of Nations | Nigeria vs Tanzania | 2-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Tanzania 0.5 - 1.4 Nigeria in goals. It gives Tanzania a 14% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nigeria 58%. Both teams to score is 32% likely, over 1.5 goals 58% and over 2.5 goals 31%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (20%), 0-0 (14%), 0-2 (14%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Nigeria win | 20% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 14% |
| 0-2 | Nigeria win | 14% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-0 | Tanzania win | 8% |
Predicted lineups for Tanzania vs Nigeria are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Tanzania's XI from their 1-3 defeat at Nigeria on Fri 13 Nov 2026, and Nigeria's XI from their 3-1 win v Tanzania at home on Fri 13 Nov 2026.
| # | Tanzania | Fouls committed | Nigeria | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Msanga | 12 | C. Bassey | 9 |
| 2 | H. Mnoga | 11 | B. Onyemaechi | 5 |
| 3 | N. Miroshi | 8 | W. Ndidi | 5 |
| 4 | I. Hamad | 6 | A. Adams | 4 |
| 5 | F. Salum | 6 | A. Lookman | 4 |
| # | Tanzania | Shots | Nigeria | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Msuva | 14 | A. Adams | 12 |
| 2 | F. Salum | 10 | W. Ndidi | 7 |
| 3 | D. Kibu | 7 | T. Arokodare | 7 |
| 4 | C. M'Mombwa | 5 | G. Ilenikhena | 6 |
| 5 | H. Mnoga | 4 | A. Lookman | 5 |
| # | Tanzania | Shots on target | Nigeria | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Salum | 4 | M. Usor | 4 |
| 2 | S. Msuva | 3 | G. Ilenikhena | 3 |
| 3 | M. Hussein | 2 | T. Arokodare | 3 |
| 4 | N. Miroshi | 1 | C. Bassey | 2 |
| 5 | C. Kachwele | 1 | A. Adams | 2 |
| # | Tanzania | Goals | Nigeria | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Msuva | 1 | A. Adams | 2 |
| 2 | F. Salum | 1 | M. Simon | 2 |
| 3 | C. Kachwele | 1 | F. Azeez | 2 |
| 4 | A. Msanga | 1 | T. Arokodare | 2 |
| 5 | E. Fernandez | 1 |
| # | Tanzania | Yellow cards | Nigeria | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Hamad | 3 | A. Lookman | 2 |
| 2 | D. Job | 2 | Z. Sanusi | 1 |
| 3 | F. Salum | 1 | B. Onyemaechi | 1 |
| 4 | A. Samatta | 1 | K. Igboke | 1 |
| 5 | A. Msanga | 1 | T. Nnadi | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.4 | 50 of 58 |
| Goals against | 0.9 | 18 of 58 |
| Shots | 4.7 | 52 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 1.7 | 51 of 58 |
| Fouls | 14.1 | 8 of 58 |
| Tackles | 16 | 4 of 58 |
| Passes | 59.5 | 11 of 58 |
| Corners | 2.6 | 45 of 58 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 16 of 58 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 17 of 58 |
| Shots | 10 | 15 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 10 of 58 |
| Fouls | 12 | 32 of 58 |
| Tackles | 6.5 | 11 of 58 |
| Passes | 265.7 | 3 of 58 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 14 of 58 |