| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | DR Congo win | 19.3% |
| 0-2 | DR Congo win | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 12.7% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10.5% |
| 1-2 | DR Congo win | 8.0% |
| 0-3 | DR Congo win | 7.4% |
| 1-0 | Sierra Leone win | 6.9% |
| 1-3 | DR Congo win | 4.1% |
| 2-1 | Sierra Leone win | 2.9% |
| 0-4 | DR Congo win | 2.8% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 33% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% |
| Sierra Leone clean sheet | 22% |
| DR Congo clean sheet | 58% |
The most likely score in Sierra Leone vs DR Congo is 0-1, a 19% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 0-2 at 15%. The Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications game kicks off at 16:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Sierra Leone 0.54 - 1.52 DR Congo in goals for Sierra Leone vs DR Congo, with over 2.5 goals 34% likely and both teams to score 33%.
Statz projects 16 players for Sierra Leone vs DR Congo on Tuesday 17 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 16:00 UK time kick-off.
Sierra Leone host DR Congo at Stade Larbi Zaouli, Stade Larbi Zaouli on 17 November 2026 at 16:00 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. Sierra Leone's last five results: W L L L L (1 win and 4 losses). DR Congo's last five: W L W W W (4 wins and 1 loss). In their last 2 meetings, Sierra Leone have won 0, DR Congo 2, with 0 draws.
Sierra Leone vs DR Congo kicks off at 16:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at Stade Larbi Zaouli, Stade Larbi Zaouli. Stade Larbi Zaouli holds 30,000 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 16:00.
Sierra Leone vs DR Congo is being played at Stade Larbi Zaouli in Stade Larbi Zaouli on Tuesday 17 November 2026, the home ground of Sierra Leone, which holds 30,000 people. Kick-off is at 16:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Sierra Leone have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10, with results reading W L L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-3 defeat away to DR Congo in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 12 November.
DR Congo have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5, with results reading W L W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-1 win at home to Sierra Leone in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 12 November.
Across the last 2 meetings Sierra Leone have won 0, DR Congo have won 2 and 0 were drawn, with Sierra Leone scoring 1 goals to DR Congo's 6. The most recent was Congo DR 3-1 Sierra Leone on 12 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
A. Conteh leads Sierra Leone with 9 shots across their last 10 games, 0.9 a game, the most of any Sierra Leone player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Sierra Leone player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Yoane Wissa leads DR Congo with 6 goals across their last 10 games, 0.6 a game, the most of any DR Congo player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every DR Congo player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Jalal Jayed is the referee for Sierra Leone vs DR Congo, averaging 28.8 fouls and 2.4 yellow cards per game across 5 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Until the team news for Sierra Leone vs DR Congo is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Sierra Leone's XI from their 0-1 defeat at Equatorial Guinea on Mon 28 Sep 2026, and DR Congo's XI from their 3-1 win v Sierra Leone at home on Thu 12 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes DR Congo the favourite with a 61% chance of winning, against 13% for Sierra Leone and 26% for the draw. Projected goals are Sierra Leone 0.5 - 1.5 DR Congo.
The most likely score in Sierra Leone vs DR Congo is 0-1, a DR Congo win, at 19%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 33% likely and over 2.5 goals 34%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Sierra Leone vs DR Congo, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Congo DR vs Sierra Leone | 3-1 |
| 27 Sep 2022 | Friendly International | Congo DR vs Sierra Leone | 3-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Sierra Leone 0.5 - 1.5 DR Congo in goals. It gives Sierra Leone a 13% chance of winning, the draw 26% and DR Congo 61%. Both teams to score is 33% likely, over 1.5 goals 61% and over 2.5 goals 34%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (19%), 0-2 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | DR Congo win | 19% |
| 0-2 | DR Congo win | 15% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | DR Congo win | 8% |
Predicted lineups for Sierra Leone vs DR Congo are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Sierra Leone's XI from their 0-1 defeat at Equatorial Guinea on Mon 28 Sep 2026, and DR Congo's XI from their 3-1 win v Sierra Leone at home on Thu 12 Nov 2026.
| # | Sierra Leone | Fouls committed | DR Congo | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Conteh | 12 | S. Moutoussamy | 12 |
| 2 | S. Kamara | 7 | E. Kayembe | 10 |
| 3 | O. Kakay | 6 | N. Sadiki | 8 |
| 4 | S. Tarawallie | 4 | N. Mbuku | 8 |
| 5 | I. Kanu | 3 | A. Wan-Bissaka | 7 |
| # | Sierra Leone | Shots | DR Congo | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Conteh | 9 | Y. Wissa | 22 |
| 2 | M. Kamara | 4 | B. Cipenga | 11 |
| 3 | A. Koroma | 3 | N. Mbuku | 8 |
| 4 | S. Fofanah | 2 | E. Kayembe | 8 |
| 5 | S. Tarawallie | 2 | S. Moutoussamy | 6 |
| # | Sierra Leone | Shots on target | DR Congo | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Conteh | 4 | Y. Wissa | 8 |
| 2 | S. Tarawallie | 1 | N. Mbuku | 6 |
| 3 | B. Cipenga | 2 | ||
| 4 | E. Kayembe | 2 | ||
| 5 | S. Moutoussamy | 2 |
| # | Sierra Leone | Goals | DR Congo | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Tarawallie | 2 | Y. Wissa | 6 |
| 2 | A. Koroma | 1 | S. Moutoussamy | 2 |
| 3 | M. Kamara | 1 | B. Cipenga | 1 |
| 4 | J. Bah | 1 | F. Mayele | 1 |
| 5 | D. Kanu | 1 | C. Mbemba | 1 |
| # | Sierra Leone | Yellow cards | DR Congo | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Kamara | 2 | N. Sadiki | 2 |
| 2 | A. Kargbo | 1 | S. Moutoussamy | 2 |
| 3 | A. Alpha | 1 | C. Mbemba | 1 |
| 4 | M. Kamara | 1 | C. Pickel | 1 |
| 5 | N. Mbuku | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 | 28 of 58 |
| Goals against | 1 | 21 of 58 |
| Shots | 5.8 | 43 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 2.7 | 38 of 58 |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 27 of 58 |
| Passes | 1.7 | 22 of 58 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 32 of 58 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 | 18 of 58 |
| Goals against | 0.6 | 7 of 58 |
| Shots | 7.7 | 28 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 22 of 58 |
| Fouls | 14.3 | 6 of 58 |
| Passes | 3 | 13 of 58 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 12 of 58 |