Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 7.5% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 7.3% |
| 2-1 | Orlando City win | 7.2% |
| 1-2 | Cincinnati win | 6.9% |
| 3-2 | Orlando City win | 5.1% |
| 3-1 | Orlando City win | 5.1% |
| 2-3 | Cincinnati win | 4.9% |
| 1-3 | Cincinnati win | 4.7% |
| 2-0 | Orlando City win | 3.6% |
| 3-3 | Draw | 3.5% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 59% |
| Orlando City clean sheet | 13% |
| Cincinnati clean sheet | 12% |
The most likely score in Orlando City vs Cincinnati is 1-1, a 8% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 2-2 at 7%. The Major League Soccer game kicks off at 00:30 UK time on Friday 20 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Orlando City 2.11 - 2.02 Cincinnati in goals for Orlando City vs Cincinnati, with over 2.5 goals 78% likely and both teams to score 77%.
Statz projects 22 players for Orlando City vs Cincinnati on Friday 20 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 00:30 UK time kick-off.
Orlando City host Cincinnati at Spectrum Stadium, Orlando on 20 November 2026 at 00:30 in the Major League Soccer. Orlando City's last five results: W D D L W (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Cincinnati's last five: W W D W L (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Orlando City have won 1, Cincinnati 3, with 2 draws.
Orlando City vs Cincinnati kicks off at 00:30 UK time on Friday 20 November 2026 in the Major League Soccer, at Spectrum Stadium, Orlando. Spectrum Stadium holds 25,500 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 00:30.
Orlando City vs Cincinnati is being played at Spectrum Stadium in Orlando on Friday 20 November 2026, the home ground of Orlando City, which holds 25,500 people. Kick-off is at 00:30 UK time, and the match is part of the Major League Soccer.
Orlando City have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 9, with results reading W D D L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-0 win at home to New England in the Major League Soccer on 7 November.
Cincinnati have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5, with results reading W W D W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-2 defeat at home to Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer on 7 November.
Across the last 6 meetings Orlando City have won 1, Cincinnati have won 3 and 2 were drawn, with Orlando City scoring 8 goals to Cincinnati's 12. The most recent was Orlando City 1-1 Cincinnati on 16 August 2026 in the Major League Soccer.
Antoine Griezmann leads Orlando City with 7 goals across their last 10 games, 0.7 a game, the most of any Orlando City player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Orlando City player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Kévin Denkey leads Cincinnati with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Cincinnati player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Cincinnati player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Orlando City vs Cincinnati is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Orlando City's XI from their 1-0 win v New England at home on Sat 7 Nov 2026, and Cincinnati's XI from their 0-2 defeat v Nashville SC at home on Sat 7 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Orlando City the favourite with a 41% chance of winning, against 37% for Cincinnati and 22% for the draw. Projected goals are Orlando City 2.1 - 2.0 Cincinnati.
The most likely score in Orlando City vs Cincinnati is 1-1, a draw, at 8%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 77% likely and over 2.5 goals 78%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Orlando City vs Cincinnati, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | Major League Soccer | Orlando City vs Cincinnati | 1-1 |
| 23 May 2026 | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati vs Orlando City | 6-2 |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati vs Orlando City | 1-1 |
| 28 Jun 2025 | Major League Soccer | Orlando City vs Cincinnati | 1-2 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati vs Orlando City | 1-3 |
| 4 May 2024 | Major League Soccer | Orlando City vs Cincinnati | 0-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Orlando City 2.1 - 2.0 Cincinnati in goals. It gives Orlando City a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cincinnati 37%. Both teams to score is 77% likely, over 1.5 goals 92% and over 2.5 goals 78%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 3-2 (5%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 8% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 7% |
| 2-1 | Orlando City win | 7% |
| 1-2 | Cincinnati win | 7% |
| 3-2 | Orlando City win | 5% |
Predicted lineups for Orlando City vs Cincinnati are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Orlando City's XI from their 1-0 win v New England at home on Sat 7 Nov 2026, and Cincinnati's XI from their 0-2 defeat v Nashville SC at home on Sat 7 Nov 2026.
| # | Orlando City | Fouls committed | Cincinnati | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Atuesta | 15 | T. Barlow | 13 |
| 2 | W. Cartagena | 12 | K. Denkey | 11 |
| 3 | D. Brekalo | 10 | N. Hagglund | 10 |
| 4 | A. Griezmann | 9 | O. Nwobodo | 10 |
| 5 | I. Teodoro | 8 | T. Hadebe | 9 |
| # | Orlando City | Shots | Cincinnati | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Ojeda | 32 | Evander | 28 |
| 2 | A. Griezmann | 23 | K. Denkey | 25 |
| 3 | I. Angulo | 13 | T. Barlow | 24 |
| 4 | M. Pašalić | 11 | K. Dem | 14 |
| 5 | D. Dike | 8 | S. Gidi | 9 |
| # | Orlando City | Shots on target | Cincinnati | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Griezmann | 16 | T. Barlow | 14 |
| 2 | M. Ojeda | 13 | K. Denkey | 8 |
| 3 | I. Angulo | 9 | A. Jabbari | 4 |
| 4 | M. Pašalić | 5 | Evander | 4 |
| 5 | H. Sarajian | 3 | B. Ramírez | 3 |
| # | Orlando City | Goals | Cincinnati | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Griezmann | 7 | K. Denkey | 4 |
| 2 | I. Angulo | 5 | T. Barlow | 4 |
| 3 | M. Ojeda | 5 | T. Hadebe | 1 |
| 4 | H. Sarajian | 2 | D. Doudera | 1 |
| 5 | D. Dike | 1 | B. Ramírez | 1 |
| # | Orlando City | Yellow cards | Cincinnati | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Teodoro | 4 | T. Hadebe | 3 |
| 2 | V. Oliveira | 3 | T. Barlow | 3 |
| 3 | L. Otávio | 2 | Evander | 2 |
| 4 | J. Gerbet | 2 | S. Gidi | 2 |
| 5 | E. Atuesta | 2 | O. Nwobodo | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Orlando City vs Cincinnati: Martín Ojeda 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.25). Combined odds 1.25 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.9 | 10 of 30 |
| Goals against | 2.3 | 29 of 30 |
| Shots | 12.5 | 23 of 30 |
| Shots on target | 5.1 | 9 of 30 |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 21 of 30 |
| Tackles | 15.2 | 11 of 30 |
| Passes | 458.5 | 19 of 30 |
| Corners | 4 | 30 of 30 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 7 of 30 |
| Goals against | 2.2 | 28 of 30 |
| Shots | 14.6 | 5 of 30 |
| Shots on target | 5.7 | 3 of 30 |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 18 of 30 |
| Tackles | 14.7 | 18 of 30 |
| Passes | 467.3 | 18 of 30 |
| Corners | 5 | 14 of 30 |