Mexico host Peru at Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison on 30 September 2026 at 03:30 in the Friendly International. In their last 1 meetings, Mexico have won 1, Peru 0, with 0 draws.
Mexico vs Peru kicks off at 03:30 UK time on Wednesday 30 September 2026 in the Friendly International, at Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison.
Mexico vs Peru is being played at Sports Illustrated Stadium in Harrison, the home ground of Mexico.
Mexico's recent form data is not available yet.
Peru's recent form data is not available yet.
Across the last 1 meetings Mexico have won 1, Peru have won 0 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was Mexico 1-0 Peru on 25 September 2022 in the Friendly International.
Raúl Jiménez leads Mexico with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Jairo Vélez leads Peru with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Mexico and Peru are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Mexico the favourite with a 60% chance of winning, against 16% for Peru and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Mexico 1.6 - 0.7 Peru.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0, a Mexico win, at 16%. Both teams to score is 40% likely and over 2.5 goals 41%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2022 | Friendly International | Mexico vs Peru | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Mexico 1.6 - 0.7 Peru in goals. It gives Mexico a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Peru 16%. Both teams to score is 40% likely, over 1.5 goals 68% and over 2.5 goals 41%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (16%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Mexico win | 16% |
| 2-0 | Mexico win | 13% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Mexico win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Mexico vs Peru, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Mexico | Fouls committed | Peru | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Gallardo | 12 | J. Vélez | 9 |
| 2 | J. Sánchez | 11 | J. Grimaldo | 3 |
| 3 | É. Lira | 11 | O. Sonne | 2 |
| 4 | R. Jiménez | 10 | P. Magallanes | 2 |
| 5 | J. Quiñones | 8 | Y. Reyna | 1 |
| # | Mexico | Shots | Peru | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Quiñones | 23 | J. Vélez | 8 |
| 2 | R. Jiménez | 21 | R. Tapia | 3 |
| 3 | B. Gutiérrez | 14 | J. Grimaldo | 3 |
| 4 | G. Mora | 10 | O. Sonne | 3 |
| 5 | L. Chávez | 9 | S. Peña | 2 |
| # | Mexico | Shots on target | Peru | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Jiménez | 10 | J. Vélez | 5 |
| 2 | J. Quiñones | 9 | R. Tapia | 1 |
| 3 | R. Alvarado | 3 | O. Sonne | 1 |
| 4 | B. Gutiérrez | 3 | ||
| 5 | Á. Fidalgo | 3 |
| # | Mexico | Goals | Peru | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Jiménez | 4 | J. Vélez | 4 |
| 2 | J. Quiñones | 4 | ||
| 3 | J. Vásquez | 2 | ||
| 4 | L. Romo | 1 | ||
| 5 | Á. Fidalgo | 1 |
| # | Mexico | Yellow cards | Peru | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Sánchez | 3 | S. Peña | 1 |
| 2 | E. Álvarez | 2 | ||
| 3 | J. Vásquez | 1 | ||
| 4 | B. Gutiérrez | 1 | ||
| 5 | J. Quiñones | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Mexico vs Peru: Jesús Gallardo 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.30); Germán Berterame 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.36); Jeremy Márquez 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.22); Orbelín Pineda 2+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.75). Combined odds 3.77 at bet365.