| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Tunisia win | 16.9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 14.7% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 13.0% |
| 1-0 | Libya win | 11.3% |
| 0-2 | Tunisia win | 9.8% |
| 1-2 | Tunisia win | 7.5% |
| 2-1 | Libya win | 5.0% |
| 2-0 | Libya win | 4.3% |
| 0-3 | Tunisia win | 3.8% |
| 1-3 | Tunisia win | 2.9% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 37% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% |
| Libya clean sheet | 32% |
| Tunisia clean sheet | 47% |
The most likely score in Libya vs Tunisia is 0-1, a 17% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 0-0 at 15%. The Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications game kicks off at 16:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Libya 0.76 - 1.15 Tunisia in goals for Libya vs Tunisia, with over 2.5 goals 30% likely and both teams to score 37%.
Statz projects 16 players for Libya vs Tunisia on Tuesday 17 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 16:00 UK time kick-off.
Libya host Tunisia at 11 June Stadium, Tripoli on 17 November 2026 at 16:00 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. Libya's last five results: D D D L W (1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss). Tunisia's last five: L L D D L (2 draws and 3 losses). In their last 3 meetings, Libya have won 1, Tunisia 2, with 0 draws.
Libya vs Tunisia kicks off at 16:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at 11 June Stadium, Tripoli. 11 June Stadium holds 67,000 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 16:00.
Libya vs Tunisia is being played at 11 June Stadium in Tripoli on Tuesday 17 November 2026, the home ground of Libya, which holds 67,000 people. Kick-off is at 16:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Libya have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5, with results reading D D D L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-0 win away to Tunisia in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 13 November.
Tunisia have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 12, with results reading L L D D L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-2 defeat at home to Libya in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 13 November.
Across the last 3 meetings Libya have won 1, Tunisia have won 2 and 0 were drawn, with Libya scoring 2 goals to Tunisia's 4. The most recent was Tunisia 0-2 Libya on 13 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Ezoo El Maremi leads Libya with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Libya player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Libya player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Ismaël Gharbi leads Tunisia with 16 shots across their last 10 games, 1.6 a game, the most of any Tunisia player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Tunisia player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Salim Alao is the referee for Libya vs Tunisia in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on Tuesday 17 November 2026. Their record this season appears on the referee card once they have taken charge of a game.
Until the team news for Libya vs Tunisia is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Libya's XI from their 2-0 win at Tunisia on Fri 13 Nov 2026, and Tunisia's XI from their 0-2 defeat v Libya at home on Fri 13 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Tunisia the favourite with a 45% chance of winning, against 24% for Libya and 31% for the draw. Projected goals are Libya 0.8 - 1.2 Tunisia.
The most likely score in Libya vs Tunisia is 0-1, a Tunisia win, at 17%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 37% likely and over 2.5 goals 30%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Libya vs Tunisia, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Tunisia vs Libya | 0-2 |
| 28 Mar 2023 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Libya vs Tunisia | 0-1 |
| 24 Mar 2023 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Tunisia vs Libya | 3-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Libya 0.8 - 1.2 Tunisia in goals. It gives Libya a 24% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Tunisia 45%. Both teams to score is 37% likely, over 1.5 goals 57% and over 2.5 goals 30%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (17%), 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 0-2 (10%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Tunisia win | 17% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 15% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-0 | Libya win | 11% |
| 0-2 | Tunisia win | 10% |
Predicted lineups for Libya vs Tunisia are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Libya's XI from their 2-0 win at Tunisia on Fri 13 Nov 2026, and Tunisia's XI from their 0-2 defeat v Libya at home on Fri 13 Nov 2026.
| # | Libya | Fouls committed | Tunisia | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Jaddour | 6 | A. Abdi | 9 |
| 2 | M. Al-Shalui | 5 | K. Ayari | 9 |
| 3 | E. Maremi | 4 | Y. Valery | 8 |
| 4 | M. Al-Hbeishi | 4 | Hannibal | 6 |
| 5 | O. Elsharimi | 4 | R. Khedira | 6 |
| # | Libya | Shots | Tunisia | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Houni | 11 | I. Gharbi | 16 |
| 2 | M. Eissa | 7 | A. Slimane | 12 |
| 3 | E. Maremi | 6 | E. Achouri | 7 |
| 4 | A. Youssef | 3 | H. Mastouri | 7 |
| 5 | M. Al-Shalui | 3 | Hannibal | 6 |
| # | Libya | Shots on target | Tunisia | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Maremi | 5 | H. Mastouri | 6 |
| 2 | M. Al-Shalui | 2 | A. Slimane | 4 |
| 3 | H. Houni | 2 | Hannibal | 2 |
| 4 | M. Eissa | 2 | O. Rekik | 1 |
| 5 | M. Al-Hbeishi | 1 | E. Achouri | 1 |
| # | Libya | Goals | Tunisia | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Maremi | 4 | H. Mastouri | 3 |
| 2 | M. Eissa | 1 | O. Rekik | 1 |
| 3 | M. Al-Hbeishi | 1 | A. Arous | 1 |
| 4 | A. Youssef | 1 | ||
| 5 | H. Houni | 1 |
| # | Libya | Yellow cards | Tunisia | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Jaddour | 3 | I. Gharbi | 2 |
| 2 | H. Houni | 2 | R. Khedira | 1 |
| 3 | A. Saleh | 1 | K. Ayari | 1 |
| 4 | S. Mabrouk | 1 | E. Saad | 1 |
| 5 | M. Etoo | 1 | S. Kadida | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 22 of 58 |
| Goals against | 1 | 24 of 58 |
| Shots | 5.5 | 45 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 3 | 31 of 58 |
| Fouls | 11.4 | 36 of 58 |
| Passes | 0.7 | 35 of 58 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 33 of 58 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.4 | 6 of 58 |
| Goals against | 0 | 2 of 58 |
| Shots | 11.2 | 6 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 6.1 | 1 of 58 |
| Fouls | 16.1 | 1 of 58 |
| Passes | 1 | 29 of 58 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 21 of 58 |