Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | Kilmarnock win | 9.0% |
| 1-2 | Aberdeen win | 7.6% |
| 1-0 | Kilmarnock win | 7.4% |
| 2-0 | Kilmarnock win | 6.5% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 6.3% |
| 0-1 | Aberdeen win | 6.2% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 5.4% |
| 3-1 | Kilmarnock win | 4.9% |
| 0-2 | Aberdeen win | 4.7% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Kilmarnock clean sheet | 25% |
| Aberdeen clean sheet | 19% |
The most likely score in Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen is 1-1, a 12% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 2-1 at 9%. The Scottish Premiership game kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Kilmarnock 1.64 - 1.38 Aberdeen in goals for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen, with over 2.5 goals 58% likely and both teams to score 61%.
Statz projects 21 players for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 15:00 UK time kick-off.
Kilmarnock host Aberdeen at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock on 21 November 2026 at 15:00 in the Scottish Premiership. Kilmarnock's last five results: W L L D L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). Aberdeen's last five: L W L L L (1 win and 4 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Kilmarnock have won 1, Aberdeen 4, with 1 draw.
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Scottish Premiership, at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock. Rugby Park holds 18,128 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 15:00.
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen is being played at Rugby Park in Kilmarnock on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of Kilmarnock, which holds 18,128 people. Kick-off is at 15:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Scottish Premiership.
Kilmarnock have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11, with results reading W L L D L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-1 defeat away to Celtic in the Scottish Premiership on 8 November.
Aberdeen have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10, with results reading L W L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-4 defeat at home to Hibernian in the Scottish Premiership on 7 November.
Across the last 6 meetings Kilmarnock have won 1, Aberdeen have won 4 and 1 was drawn, with Kilmarnock scoring 4 goals to Aberdeen's 5. The most recent was Aberdeen 0-0 Kilmarnock on 5 September 2026 in the Scottish Premiership.
Aaron Tshibola leads Kilmarnock with 23 fouls committed across their last 10 games, 2.3 a game, the most of any Kilmarnock player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Kilmarnock player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Kevin Nisbet leads Aberdeen with 10 shots on target across their last 10 games, 1.0 a game, the most of any Aberdeen player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Aberdeen player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen with 11 starters a side: Kilmarnock line up 4-2-3-1 and Aberdeen 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 15:00 UK time kick-off on Saturday 21 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Kilmarnock the favourite with a 43% chance of winning, against 32% for Aberdeen and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Kilmarnock 1.6 - 1.4 Aberdeen.
The most likely score in Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen is 1-1, a draw, at 12%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 61% likely and over 2.5 goals 58%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Scottish Premiership | Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock | 0-0 |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Scottish Premiership | Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock | 1-0 |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen | 3-0 |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Scottish Premiership | Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock | 2-1 |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen | 0-1 |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Scottish Premiership | Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Kilmarnock 1.6 - 1.4 Aberdeen in goals. It gives Kilmarnock a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aberdeen 32%. Both teams to score is 61% likely, over 1.5 goals 81% and over 2.5 goals 58%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 1-0 (7%), 2-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 2-1 | Kilmarnock win | 9% |
| 1-2 | Aberdeen win | 8% |
| 1-0 | Kilmarnock win | 7% |
| 2-0 | Kilmarnock win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Kilmarnock | Fouls committed | Aberdeen | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Tshibola | 23 | T. Olusanya | 22 |
| 2 | J. Brandon | 18 | A. Mouloua | 12 |
| 3 | T. John-Jules | 15 | S. Armstrong | 9 |
| 4 | J. Hugill | 11 | C. Ronan | 8 |
| 5 | G. Stanger | 9 | D. Happe | 8 |
| # | Kilmarnock | Shots | Aberdeen | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. John-Jules | 23 | K. Nisbet | 30 |
| 2 | G. Kiltie | 20 | B. Lyons | 13 |
| 3 | J. Hugill | 17 | L. Smith | 12 |
| 4 | T. Lowery | 8 | C. Ronan | 12 |
| 5 | A. Tshibola | 8 | A. Mouloua | 9 |
| # | Kilmarnock | Shots on target | Aberdeen | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Hugill | 8 | K. Nisbet | 10 |
| 2 | G. Kiltie | 7 | A. Mouloua | 5 |
| 3 | T. John-Jules | 4 | B. Lyons | 4 |
| 4 | A. Tshibola | 4 | J. Milne | 3 |
| 5 | C. McCarthy | 3 | H. Mahou | 2 |
| # | Kilmarnock | Goals | Aberdeen | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Kiltie | 2 | K. Nisbet | 3 |
| 2 | C. McCarthy | 1 | C. Ronan | 2 |
| 3 | D. Daniels | 1 | A. Mouloua | 2 |
| 4 | J. Hugill | 1 | N. Guinness-Walker | 1 |
| 5 | T. John-Jules | 1 | B. Lyons | 1 |
| # | Kilmarnock | Yellow cards | Aberdeen | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Brandon | 3 | L. Mayo | 4 |
| 2 | C. McCarthy | 3 | D. Happe | 3 |
| 3 | G. Stanger | 3 | S. Armstrong | 2 |
| 4 | T. John-Jules | 2 | A. Mouloua | 2 |
| 5 | T. Lowery | 2 | C. Cadden | 2 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.1 | 11 of 12 |
| Goals against | 2.2 | 12 of 12 |
| Shots | 11.7 | 10 of 12 |
| Shots on target | 3.8 | 9 of 12 |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 7 of 12 |
| Tackles | 14.7 | 10 of 12 |
| Passes | 398.9 | 9 of 12 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 8 of 12 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.1 | 10 of 12 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 7 of 12 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 7 of 12 |
| Shots on target | 3.3 | 12 of 12 |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 5 of 12 |
| Tackles | 17.2 | 2 of 12 |
| Passes | 388.1 | 10 of 12 |
| Corners | 6 | 6 of 12 |