| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Japan win | 13.9% |
| 2-0 | Japan win | 11.8% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | Japan win | 9.5% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8.2% |
| 3-0 | Japan win | 6.7% |
| 0-1 | Paraguay win | 6.6% |
| 3-1 | Japan win | 5.4% |
| 1-2 | Paraguay win | 4.5% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 3.8% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Japan clean sheet | 45% |
| Paraguay clean sheet | 18% |
The most likely score in Japan vs Paraguay is 1-0, a 14% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 2-0 at 12%. The Friendly International game kicks off at 00:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Japan 1.70 - 0.80 Paraguay in goals for Japan vs Paraguay, with over 2.5 goals 46% likely and both teams to score 45%.
Statz projects 19 players for Japan vs Paraguay on Tuesday 17 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 00:00 UK time kick-off.
Japan host Paraguay at National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo on 17 November 2026 at 00:00 in the Friendly International. In their last 2 meetings, Japan have won 1, Paraguay 0, with 1 draw.
Japan vs Paraguay kicks off at 00:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the Friendly International, at National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo. National Olympic Stadium holds 63,700 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 00:00.
Japan vs Paraguay is being played at National Olympic Stadium in Tokyo on Tuesday 17 November 2026, the home ground of Japan, which holds 63,700 people. Kick-off is at 00:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Friendly International.
Japan have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5, with results reading W D L W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-1 win at home to Venezuela in the Friendly International on 28 September.
Paraguay have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 2, with results reading W D D L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-0 win away to Bolivia in the Friendly International on 27 September.
Across the last 2 meetings Japan have won 1, Paraguay have won 0 and 1 was drawn, with Japan scoring 6 goals to Paraguay's 3. The most recent was Japan 2-2 Paraguay on 10 October 2025 in the Friendly International.
Ayase Ueda leads Japan with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Japan player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Japan player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Diego Gómez leads Paraguay with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.3 a game, the most of any Paraguay player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Paraguay player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Japan vs Paraguay is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Japan's XI from their 2-1 win v Venezuela at home on Mon 28 Sep 2026, and Paraguay's XI from their 2-0 win at Bolivia on Sun 27 Sep 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Japan the favourite with a 59% chance of winning, against 17% for Paraguay and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Japan 1.7 - 0.8 Paraguay.
The most likely score in Japan vs Paraguay is 1-0, a Japan win, at 14%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 45% likely and over 2.5 goals 46%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Japan vs Paraguay, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2025 | Friendly International | Japan vs Paraguay | 2-2 |
| 2 Jun 2022 | Friendly International | Japan vs Paraguay | 4-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Japan 1.7 - 0.8 Paraguay in goals. It gives Japan a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Paraguay 17%. Both teams to score is 45% likely, over 1.5 goals 71% and over 2.5 goals 46%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 0-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Japan win | 14% |
| 2-0 | Japan win | 12% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-1 | Japan win | 10% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
Predicted lineups for Japan vs Paraguay are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Japan's XI from their 2-1 win v Venezuela at home on Mon 28 Sep 2026, and Paraguay's XI from their 2-0 win at Bolivia on Sun 27 Sep 2026.
| # | Japan | Fouls committed | Paraguay | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Doan | 12 | A. Cubas | 14 |
| 2 | H. Ito | 11 | J. Cáceres | 11 |
| 3 | A. Tanaka | 8 | M. Fonda | 10 |
| 4 | A. Ueda | 7 | D. Gómez | 7 |
| 5 | T. Tomiyasu | 7 | G. Gómez | 5 |
| # | Japan | Shots | Paraguay | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Ueda | 12 | J. Enciso | 11 |
| 2 | K. Nakamura | 10 | D. Gómez | 7 |
| 3 | J. Ito | 7 | M. Almirón | 5 |
| 4 | K. Ogawa | 5 | G. Gómez | 4 |
| 5 | A. Tanaka | 4 | Mauricio | 4 |
| # | Japan | Shots on target | Paraguay | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Ueda | 6 | Mauricio | 4 |
| 2 | K. Nakamura | 3 | J. Enciso | 3 |
| 3 | J. Ito | 3 | G. Caballero | 2 |
| 4 | Y. Sugawara | 2 | J. Cáceres | 2 |
| 5 | D. Kamada | 2 | G. Gómez | 2 |
| # | Japan | Goals | Paraguay | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Ueda | 5 | M. Almirón | 2 |
| 2 | D. Kamada | 2 | J. Enciso | 1 |
| 3 | J. Ito | 2 | Mauricio | 1 |
| 4 | K. Sano | 1 | M. Fonda | 1 |
| 5 | K. Nakamura | 1 | G. Caballero | 1 |
| # | Japan | Yellow cards | Paraguay | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Suzuki | 2 | D. Gómez | 3 |
| 2 | D. Kamada | 1 | M. Fonda | 2 |
| 3 | K. Sano | 1 | J. Cáceres | 2 |
| 4 | S. Taniguchi | 1 | M. Almirón | 2 |
| 5 | T. Watanabe | 1 | G. Gómez | 2 |