| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Ivory Coast win | 15.5% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12.0% |
| 0-2 | Ivory Coast win | 11.6% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 10.4% |
| 1-2 | Ivory Coast win | 8.9% |
| 1-0 | Gambia win | 8.0% |
| 0-3 | Ivory Coast win | 5.8% |
| 2-1 | Gambia win | 4.6% |
| 1-3 | Ivory Coast win | 4.4% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 3.4% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Gambia clean sheet | 23% |
| Ivory Coast clean sheet | 46% |
The most likely score in Gambia vs Ivory Coast is 0-1, a 16% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-1 at 12%. The Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications game kicks off at 16:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Gambia 0.77 - 1.49 Ivory Coast in goals for Gambia vs Ivory Coast, with over 2.5 goals 39% likely and both teams to score 42%.
Statz projects 19 players for Gambia vs Ivory Coast on Tuesday 17 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 16:00 UK time kick-off.
Gambia host Ivory Coast at Independence Stadium, Bakau on 17 November 2026 at 16:00 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. Gambia's last five results: L L W W L (2 wins and 3 losses). Ivory Coast's last five: W L W W W (4 wins and 1 loss). In their last 3 meetings, Gambia have won 0, Ivory Coast 3, with 0 draws.
Gambia vs Ivory Coast kicks off at 16:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at Independence Stadium, Bakau. Independence Stadium holds 25,000 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 16:00.
Gambia vs Ivory Coast is being played at Independence Stadium in Bakau on Tuesday 17 November 2026, the home ground of Gambia, which holds 25,000 people. Kick-off is at 16:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Gambia have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 11, with results reading L L W W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat away to Ivory Coast in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 12 November.
Ivory Coast have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3, with results reading W L W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-1 win at home to Gambia in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 12 November.
Across the last 3 meetings Gambia have won 0, Ivory Coast have won 3 and 0 were drawn, with Gambia scoring 1 goals to Ivory Coast's 5. The most recent was Côte d'Ivoire 2-1 Gambia on 12 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
A. Sidibeh leads Gambia with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Gambia player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Gambia player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Nicolas Pépé leads Ivory Coast with 19 shots across their last 10 games, 1.9 a game, the most of any Ivory Coast player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Ivory Coast player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Mehrez Malki is the referee for Gambia vs Ivory Coast, averaging 24.8 fouls and 4.8 yellow cards per game across 4 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Until the team news for Gambia vs Ivory Coast is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Gambia's XI from their 1-2 defeat at Ivory Coast on Thu 12 Nov 2026, and Ivory Coast's XI from their 2-1 win v Gambia at home on Thu 12 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Ivory Coast the favourite with a 54% chance of winning, against 19% for Gambia and 26% for the draw. Projected goals are Gambia 0.8 - 1.5 Ivory Coast.
The most likely score in Gambia vs Ivory Coast is 0-1, a Ivory Coast win, at 16%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 42% likely and over 2.5 goals 39%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Gambia vs Ivory Coast, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Côte d'Ivoire vs Gambia | 2-1 |
| 24 Mar 2025 | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Côte d'Ivoire vs Gambia | 1-0 |
| 20 Nov 2023 | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Gambia vs Côte d'Ivoire | 0-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Gambia 0.8 - 1.5 Ivory Coast in goals. It gives Gambia a 19% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ivory Coast 54%. Both teams to score is 42% likely, over 1.5 goals 66% and over 2.5 goals 39%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (16%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%), 0-0 (10%), 1-2 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Ivory Coast win | 16% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 0-2 | Ivory Coast win | 12% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 10% |
| 1-2 | Ivory Coast win | 9% |
Predicted lineups for Gambia vs Ivory Coast are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Gambia's XI from their 1-2 defeat at Ivory Coast on Thu 12 Nov 2026, and Ivory Coast's XI from their 2-1 win v Gambia at home on Thu 12 Nov 2026.
| # | Gambia | Fouls committed | Ivory Coast | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Saine | 6 | F. Kessié | 9 |
| 2 | E. Adams | 6 | C. Oulaï | 9 |
| 3 | S. Camara | 6 | I. Sangaré | 8 |
| 4 | M. Badamosi | 6 | M. Yalcouyé | 8 |
| 5 | A. Barry | 6 | L. Zogbé | 8 |
| # | Gambia | Shots | Ivory Coast | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Colley | 7 | N. Pépé | 19 |
| 2 | M. Badamosi | 4 | A. Diallo | 13 |
| 3 | O. Colley | 3 | Y. Diomande | 12 |
| 4 | A. Saine | 2 | F. Kessié | 10 |
| 5 | S. Camara | 2 | E. Wahi | 9 |
| # | Gambia | Shots on target | Ivory Coast | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Badamosi | 3 | A. Diallo | 8 |
| 2 | E. Colley | 3 | N. Pépé | 6 |
| 3 | O. Colley | 2 | F. Kessié | 4 |
| 4 | A. Sanyang | 1 | E. Wahi | 3 |
| 5 | S. Camara | 1 | Y. Diomande | 2 |
| # | Gambia | Goals | Ivory Coast | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Sidibeh | 4 | A. Diallo | 3 |
| 2 | M. Barrow | 3 | N. Pépé | 3 |
| 3 | A. Manneh | 3 | F. Kessié | 2 |
| 4 | O. Colley | 3 | M. Yalcouyé | 2 |
| 5 | E. Colley | 3 | G. Doué | 1 |
| # | Gambia | Yellow cards | Ivory Coast | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Barry | 3 | F. Kessié | 2 |
| 2 | J. Ceesay | 2 | S. Fofana | 1 |
| 3 | M. Sanneh | 2 | G. Doué | 1 |
| 4 | S. Sinyan | 1 | N. Pépé | 1 |
| 5 | J. Gomez | 1 | Zabi | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.7 | 3 of 58 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 44 of 58 |
| Shots | 10.1 | 13 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 5.8 | 4 of 58 |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 45 of 58 |
| Passes | 2 | 18 of 58 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 25 of 58 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3.1 | 1 of 58 |
| Goals against | 0 | 1 of 58 |
| Shots | 13.6 | 2 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 5.8 | 3 of 58 |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 34 of 58 |
| Passes | 1 | 30 of 58 |
| Corners | 6.9 | 1 of 58 |