Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11.5% |
| 1-2 | Freiburg win | 9.2% |
| 2-1 | Elversberg win | 7.4% |
| 0-1 | Freiburg win | 6.9% |
| 0-2 | Freiburg win | 6.6% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 6.4% |
| 1-0 | Elversberg win | 5.4% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 5.3% |
| 1-3 | Freiburg win | 5.3% |
| 2-0 | Elversberg win | 4.3% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Elversberg clean sheet | 18% |
| Freiburg clean sheet | 25% |
The most likely score in Elversberg vs Freiburg is 1-1, a 11% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-2 at 9%. The Bundesliga game kicks off at 14:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Elversberg 1.39 - 1.72 Freiburg in goals for Elversberg vs Freiburg, with over 2.5 goals 60% likely and both teams to score 62%.
Statz projects 18 players for Elversberg vs Freiburg on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 14:30 UK time kick-off.
Elversberg host Freiburg at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg on 21 November 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga. Elversberg's last five results: L W L W L (2 wins and 3 losses). Freiburg's last five: L L W W W (3 wins and 2 losses).
Elversberg vs Freiburg kicks off at 14:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Bundesliga, at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg. URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde holds 10,000 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 14:30.
Elversberg vs Freiburg is being played at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde in Spiesen-Elversberg on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of Elversberg, which holds 10,000 people. Kick-off is at 14:30 UK time, and the match is part of the Bundesliga.
Elversberg have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 11, with results reading L W L W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat away to Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 7 November.
Freiburg have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7, with results reading W L L W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-0 win at home to U Berlin in the Bundesliga on 8 November.
Maurice Krattenmacher leads Elversberg with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Elversberg player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Elversberg player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Igor Matanovic leads Freiburg with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Freiburg player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Freiburg player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Elversberg vs Freiburg with 11 starters a side: Elversberg line up 4-2-3-1 and Freiburg 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 14:30 UK time kick-off on Saturday 21 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Freiburg the favourite with a 45% chance of winning, against 30% for Elversberg and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Elversberg 1.4 - 1.7 Freiburg.
The most likely score in Elversberg vs Freiburg is 1-1, a draw, at 11%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 62% likely and over 2.5 goals 60%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Elversberg vs Freiburg, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
Statz's projection model expects Elversberg 1.4 - 1.7 Freiburg in goals. It gives Elversberg a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Freiburg 45%. Both teams to score is 62% likely, over 1.5 goals 82% and over 2.5 goals 60%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%), 0-1 (7%), 0-2 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | Freiburg win | 9% |
| 2-1 | Elversberg win | 7% |
| 0-1 | Freiburg win | 7% |
| 0-2 | Freiburg win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Elversberg vs Freiburg, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Elversberg | Fouls committed | Freiburg | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ł. Poręba | 15 | D. Scherhant | 14 |
| 2 | L. Petkov | 13 | Y. Engelhardt | 10 |
| 3 | M. Krattenmacher | 11 | I. Matanovic | 8 |
| 4 | D. Mokwa | 10 | Y. Suzuki | 8 |
| 5 | F. Keidel | 10 | P. Lienhart | 7 |
| # | Elversberg | Shots | Freiburg | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Petkov | 18 | I. Matanovic | 31 |
| 2 | M. Krattenmacher | 14 | D. Scherhant | 24 |
| 3 | C. Campbell | 11 | M. Ginter | 15 |
| 4 | D. Mokwa | 9 | M. Eggestein | 14 |
| 5 | F. Onyeka | 8 | Y. Suzuki | 13 |
| # | Elversberg | Shots on target | Freiburg | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Petkov | 9 | I. Matanovic | 16 |
| 2 | C. Campbell | 7 | D. Scherhant | 8 |
| 3 | M. Krattenmacher | 7 | Y. Suzuki | 7 |
| 4 | F. Onyeka | 4 | M. Eggestein | 5 |
| 5 | D. Mokwa | 4 | M. Ginter | 3 |
| # | Elversberg | Goals | Freiburg | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Krattenmacher | 4 | I. Matanovic | 5 |
| 2 | C. Campbell | 2 | Y. Suzuki | 5 |
| 3 | F. Keidel | 2 | D. Scherhant | 3 |
| 4 | L. Petkov | 2 | M. Eggestein | 3 |
| 5 | D. Mokwa | 2 | Y. Engelhardt | 2 |
| # | Elversberg | Yellow cards | Freiburg | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Keidel | 3 | Y. Engelhardt | 2 |
| 2 | L. Günther | 2 | M. Eggestein | 2 |
| 3 | N. Kristof | 2 | M. Ginter | 2 |
| 4 | F. Schmahl | 1 | L. Höler | 2 |
| 5 | L. Pinckert | 1 | Y. Suzuki | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Elversberg vs Freiburg: Francis Onyeka 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.73); Igor Matanovic 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.25). Combined odds 2.16 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.1 | 7 of 18 |
| Goals against | 2 | 12 of 18 |
| Shots | 11.2 | 16 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 14 of 18 |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 5 of 18 |
| Tackles | 14.7 | 16 of 18 |
| Passes | 392.2 | 14 of 18 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 15 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.2 | 6 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.1 | 3 of 18 |
| Shots | 15.9 | 8 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 5.2 | 11 of 18 |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 16 of 18 |
| Tackles | 13.4 | 17 of 18 |
| Passes | 465.2 | 9 of 18 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 12 of 18 |