Cruz Azul host Toluca at Mexico City Stadium, Mexico City on 26 September 2026 at 23:50 in Liga MX. Cruz Azul's last five results: L W W W L (3 wins and 2 losses). Toluca's last five: W W W W L (4 wins and 1 loss). In their last 4 meetings, Cruz Azul have won 1, Toluca 0, with 3 draws.
Cruz Azul vs Toluca kicks off at 23:50 UK time on Saturday 26 September 2026 in Liga MX, at Mexico City Stadium, Mexico City.
Cruz Azul vs Toluca is being played at Mexico City Stadium in Mexico City, the home ground of Cruz Azul.
Cruz Azul's last five results read L W W W L (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Toluca's last five results read W W W W L (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
Across the last 4 meetings Cruz Azul have won 1, Toluca have won 0 and 3 were drawn. The most recent was Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul on 7 February 2026 in the Liga MX.
Carlos RodrÃguez leads Cruz Azul with 5 assists across their last 10 games.
Federico Viñas leads Toluca with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Katia Itzel GarcÃa is the referee for Cruz Azul vs Toluca, averaging 11.5 fouls and 3.5 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Cruz Azul and Toluca are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Cruz Azul the favourite with a 41% chance of winning, against 34% for Toluca and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Cruz Azul 1.6 - 1.5 Toluca.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 11%. Both teams to score is 62% likely and over 2.5 goals 59%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Liga MX | Toluca vs Cruz Azul | 1-1 |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Liga MX | Cruz Azul vs Toluca | 1-0 |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Liga MX | Toluca vs Cruz Azul | 2-2 |
| 21 Jul 2024 | Liga MX | Cruz Azul vs Toluca | 1-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Cruz Azul 1.6 - 1.5 Toluca in goals. It gives Cruz Azul a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Toluca 34%. Both teams to score is 62% likely, over 1.5 goals 82% and over 2.5 goals 59%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 1-0 (7%), 2-2 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-1 | Cruz Azul win | 9% |
| 1-2 | Toluca win | 8% |
| 1-0 | Cruz Azul win | 7% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Cruz Azul vs Toluca, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Cruz Azul | Fouls committed | Toluca | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. RodrÃguez | 9 | E. Villar | 14 |
| 2 | J. Chiquete | 9 | J. Gallardo | 12 |
| 3 | O. Ebere | 8 | F. Pereira | 10 |
| 4 | A. GarcÃa | 8 | D. Barbosa | 9 |
| 5 | W. Ditta | 8 | V. Guzmán | 6 |
| # | Cruz Azul | Shots | Toluca | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Palavecino | 34 | F. Viñas | 23 |
| 2 | N. Ibáñez | 24 | Helinho | 21 |
| 3 | J. Paradela | 22 | A. Vega | 16 |
| 4 | G. Fernández | 21 | J. Angulo | 13 |
| 5 | J. Márquez | 16 | J. DÃaz | 13 |
| # | Cruz Azul | Shots on target | Toluca | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Ibáñez | 14 | Helinho | 9 |
| 2 | A. Palavecino | 9 | F. Viñas | 6 |
| 3 | J. Paradela | 8 | Paulinho | 6 |
| 4 | C. Rotondi | 7 | N. Castro | 5 |
| 5 | J. Márquez | 7 | A. Vega | 5 |
| # | Cruz Azul | Goals | Toluca | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Ibáñez | 3 | F. Viñas | 4 |
| 2 | J. Márquez | 3 | Paulinho | 2 |
| 3 | J. Paradela | 2 | A. Vega | 2 |
| 4 | G. Fernández | 2 | Helinho | 2 |
| 5 | C. Rotondi | 1 | J. Angulo | 1 |
| # | Cruz Azul | Yellow cards | Toluca | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Ibáñez | 2 | Helinho | 3 |
| 2 | J. Márquez | 2 | N. Castro | 2 |
| 3 | J. Paradela | 2 | F. Romero | 2 |
| 4 | W. Ditta | 2 | B. Méndez | 1 |
| 5 | C. RodrÃguez | 2 | A. Vega | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 5 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.7 | 14 of 18 |
| Shots | 19.7 | 2 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 7.6 | 1 of 18 |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 11 of 18 |
| Tackles | 18.9 | 3 of 18 |
| Passes | 487.1 | 5 of 18 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 6 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.5 | 1 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1 | 3 of 18 |
| Shots | 17.8 | 4 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6 | 4 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 15 of 18 |
| Tackles | 17.8 | 8 of 18 |
| Passes | 531.7 | 2 of 18 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 7 of 18 |