| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | Bahia win | 10.0% |
| 2-0 | Bahia win | 9.9% |
| 1-0 | Bahia win | 8.6% |
| 3-1 | Bahia win | 6.8% |
| 3-0 | Bahia win | 6.8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 5.6% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.0% |
| 1-2 | Coritiba win | 4.9% |
| 0-1 | Coritiba win | 3.7% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| Bahia clean sheet | 37% |
| Coritiba clean sheet | 13% |
The most likely score in Bahia vs Coritiba is 1-1, a 11% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 2-1 at 10%. The Campeonato Brasileiro game kicks off at 20:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Bahia 2.06 - 1.01 Coritiba in goals for Bahia vs Coritiba, with over 2.5 goals 59% likely and both teams to score 56%.
Statz projects 22 players for Bahia vs Coritiba on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 20:30 UK time kick-off.
Bahia host Coritiba at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador on 21 November 2026 at 20:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Bahia's last five results: W L D W L (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Coritiba's last five: D L L W L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). In their last 3 meetings, Bahia have won 2, Coritiba 1, with 0 draws.
Bahia vs Coritiba kicks off at 20:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador. Arena Fonte Nova holds 48,902 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 20:30.
Bahia vs Coritiba is being played at Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of Bahia, which holds 48,902 people. Kick-off is at 20:30 UK time, and the match is part of the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Bahia have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9, with results reading W L D W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-3 defeat away to Cruzeiro in the Campeonato Brasileiro on 6 November.
Coritiba have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4, with results reading D L L W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-1 defeat away to Internacional in the Campeonato Brasileiro on 4 November.
Across the last 3 meetings Bahia have won 2, Coritiba have won 1 and 0 were drawn, with Bahia scoring 9 goals to Coritiba's 6. The most recent was Coritiba 3-2 Bahia on 26 May 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Erick Pulga leads Bahia with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Bahia player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Bahia player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Pedro Rocha leads Coritiba with 13 shots on target across their last 10 games, 1.3 a game, the most of any Coritiba player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Coritiba player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Bahia vs Coritiba is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Bahia's XI from their 2-3 defeat at Cruzeiro on Fri 6 Nov 2026, and Coritiba's XI from their 0-1 defeat at Internacional on Wed 4 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Bahia the favourite with a 61% chance of winning, against 17% for Coritiba and 23% for the draw. Projected goals are Bahia 2.1 - 1.0 Coritiba.
The most likely score in Bahia vs Coritiba is 1-1, a draw, at 11%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 56% likely and over 2.5 goals 59%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Bahia vs Coritiba, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Coritiba vs Bahia | 3-2 |
| 14 Sep 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Coritiba vs Bahia | 2-4 |
| 7 May 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia vs Coritiba | 3-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Bahia 2.1 - 1.0 Coritiba in goals. It gives Bahia a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Coritiba 17%. Both teams to score is 56% likely, over 1.5 goals 82% and over 2.5 goals 59%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-0 (9%), 3-1 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-1 | Bahia win | 10% |
| 2-0 | Bahia win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Bahia win | 9% |
| 3-1 | Bahia win | 7% |
Predicted lineups for Bahia vs Coritiba are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Bahia's XI from their 2-3 defeat at Cruzeiro on Fri 6 Nov 2026, and Coritiba's XI from their 0-1 defeat at Internacional on Wed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Bahia | Fouls committed | Coritiba | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Acevedo | 17 | N. Fonseca | 17 |
| 2 | R. Nestor | 13 | T. Santos | 16 |
| 3 | J. Lucas | 13 | S. Gómez | 13 |
| 4 | A. Veliz | 13 | P. Rocha | 12 |
| 5 | D. Duarte | 10 | T. Cóser | 11 |
| # | Bahia | Shots | Coritiba | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Veliz | 23 | P. Rocha | 22 |
| 2 | E. Pulga | 23 | Josué | 16 |
| 3 | C. Olivera | 17 | S. Gómez | 10 |
| 4 | R. Nestor | 13 | J. Lavega | 9 |
| 5 | L. Juba | 11 | Tinga | 7 |
| # | Bahia | Shots on target | Coritiba | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Veliz | 7 | P. Rocha | 13 |
| 2 | C. Olivera | 7 | Josué | 4 |
| 3 | E. Pulga | 7 | J. Lavega | 3 |
| 4 | R. Nestor | 5 | P. Roberto | 3 |
| 5 | L. Juba | 5 | T. Cóser | 3 |
| # | Bahia | Goals | Coritiba | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Pulga | 4 | P. Rocha | 3 |
| 2 | L. Juba | 4 | R. Moledo | 2 |
| 3 | A. Veliz | 2 | Tinga | 1 |
| 4 | Erick | 2 | T. Cóser | 1 |
| 5 | C. Olivera | 1 | Fabinho | 1 |
| # | Bahia | Yellow cards | Coritiba | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Acevedo | 5 | T. Cóser | 3 |
| 2 | J. Lucas | 3 | B. Melo | 3 |
| 3 | C. Olivera | 3 | T. Santos | 3 |
| 4 | D. Duarte | 2 | N. Fonseca | 2 |
| 5 | R. Gómez | 2 | R. Moledo | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 6 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 10 of 20 |
| Shots | 14.2 | 8 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.6 | 10 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 2 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.8 | 6 of 20 |
| Passes | 436.9 | 9 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 | 15 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 17 of 20 |
| Shots | 11.3 | 20 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.4 | 20 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 19 of 20 |
| Tackles | 13.4 | 19 of 20 |
| Passes | 329.9 | 20 of 20 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 20 of 20 |