Almería host Burgos at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almeria on 3 October 2026 at 15:15 in La Liga 2. Almería's last five results: L W W W W (4 wins and 1 loss). Burgos's last five: D D W W W (3 wins and 2 draws). In their last 4 meetings, Almería have won 1, Burgos 2, with 1 draw.
Almería vs Burgos kicks off at 15:15 UK time on Saturday 3 October 2026 in La Liga 2, at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almeria.
Almería vs Burgos is being played at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos in Almeria, the home ground of Almería.
Almería's last five results read L W W W W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
Burgos's last five results read D D W W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 draws.
Across the last 4 meetings Almería have won 1, Burgos have won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Burgos 0-0 Almería on 9 May 2026 in the La Liga 2.
Stefan Dzodic leads Almería with 16 fouls committed across their last 10 games.
David González leads Burgos with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Almería and Burgos are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Almería the favourite with a 54% chance of winning, against 20% for Burgos and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Almería 1.6 - 0.8 Burgos.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0, a Almería win, at 14%. Both teams to score is 45% likely and over 2.5 goals 43%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | La Liga 2 | Burgos vs Almería | 0-0 |
| 14 Dec 2025 | La Liga 2 | Almería vs Burgos | 1-2 |
| 21 Mar 2025 | La Liga 2 | Burgos vs Almería | 3-1 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | La Liga 2 | Almería vs Burgos | 2-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Almería 1.6 - 0.8 Burgos in goals. It gives Almería a 54% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Burgos 20%. Both teams to score is 45% likely, over 1.5 goals 70% and over 2.5 goals 43%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Almería win | 14% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 2-0 | Almería win | 11% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Almería win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Almería vs Burgos, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Almería | Fouls committed | Burgos | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Dzodic | 16 | A. Dadie | 17 |
| 2 | M. Fuente | 13 | G. Sierra | 15 |
| 3 | Á. Muñoz | 11 | J. Gragera | 13 |
| 4 | D. Chirino | 9 | D. González | 10 |
| 5 | A. Embarba | 9 | C. Sánchez | 9 |
| # | Almería | Shots | Burgos | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Fuente | 20 | D. González | 16 |
| 2 | N. Melamed | 14 | Á. Forés | 15 |
| 3 | S. Dzodic | 14 | J. Llabrés | 9 |
| 4 | L. Baptistão | 13 | V. Mollejo | 7 |
| 5 | A. Embarba | 12 | C. Sánchez | 7 |
| # | Almería | Shots on target | Burgos | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Embarba | 6 | D. González | 7 |
| 2 | M. Fuente | 6 | Á. Forés | 5 |
| 3 | N. Melamed | 5 | C. Sánchez | 3 |
| 4 | L. Baptistão | 5 | J. Llabrés | 2 |
| 5 | S. Dzodic | 3 | A. Dadie | 2 |
| # | Almería | Goals | Burgos | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Dzodic | 2 | D. González | 6 |
| 2 | L. Baptistão | 2 | Á. Forés | 3 |
| 3 | M. Fuente | 2 | J. Karrikaburu | 1 |
| 4 | N. Melamed | 2 | A. Dadie | 1 |
| 5 | J. Muñoz | 2 | C. Sánchez | 1 |
| # | Almería | Yellow cards | Burgos | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Ely | 2 | G. Sierra | 3 |
| 2 | N. Melamed | 2 | J. Gragera | 3 |
| 3 | F. Bonini | 2 | C. Sánchez | 2 |
| 4 | S. Dzodic | 2 | K. Appin | 2 |
| 5 | D. Chirino | 1 | D. González | 2 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 9 of 22 |
| Goals against | 0.6 | 4 of 22 |
| Shots | 11.7 | 14 of 22 |
| Shots on target | 3.7 | 17 of 22 |
| Fouls | 10.4 | 21 of 22 |
| Tackles | 15 | 18 of 22 |
| Passes | 468.4 | 4 of 22 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 17 of 22 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 4 of 22 |
| Goals against | 1 | 9 of 22 |
| Shots | 9.9 | 21 of 22 |
| Shots on target | 2.7 | 22 of 22 |
| Fouls | 17.1 | 3 of 22 |
| Tackles | 21.7 | 1 of 22 |
| Passes | 421.9 | 12 of 22 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 19 of 22 |