Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12.0% |
| 1-2 | Al Nassr win | 9.1% |
| 0-1 | Al Nassr win | 8.2% |
| 2-1 | Al Ahli win | 7.5% |
| 0-2 | Al Nassr win | 7.0% |
| 1-0 | Al Ahli win | 6.6% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 6.1% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 6.0% |
| 1-3 | Al Nassr win | 4.9% |
| 2-0 | Al Ahli win | 4.7% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Al Ahli clean sheet | 20% |
| Al Nassr clean sheet | 27% |
The most likely score in Al Ahli vs Al Nassr is 1-1, a 12% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-2 at 9%. The Saudi Pro League game kicks off at 17:30 UK time on Friday 20 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Al Ahli 1.30 - 1.59 Al Nassr in goals for Al Ahli vs Al Nassr, with over 2.5 goals 55% likely and both teams to score 59%.
Statz projects 21 players for Al Ahli vs Al Nassr on Friday 20 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 17:30 UK time kick-off.
Al Ahli host Al Nassr at Alinma Stadium, Jeddah on 20 November 2026 at 17:30 in the Saudi Pro League. Al Ahli's last five results: W W W W L (4 wins and 1 loss). Al Nassr's last five: D W W W W (4 wins and 1 draw). In their last 6 meetings, Al Ahli have won 1, Al Nassr 4, with 1 draw.
Al Ahli vs Al Nassr kicks off at 17:30 UK time on Friday 20 November 2026 in the Saudi Pro League, at Alinma Stadium, Jeddah. Alinma Stadium holds 64,200 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 17:30.
Al Ahli vs Al Nassr is being played at Alinma Stadium in Jeddah on Friday 20 November 2026, the home ground of Al Ahli, which holds 64,200 people. Kick-off is at 17:30 UK time, and the match is part of the Saudi Pro League.
Al Ahli have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 10, with results reading W W W W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-6 defeat away to Al Shabab in the Saudi Pro League on 30 October.
Al Nassr have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 5, with results reading D W W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 5-3 win at home to Al Kholood in the Saudi Pro League on 29 October.
Across the last 6 meetings Al Ahli have won 1, Al Nassr have won 4 and 1 was drawn, with Al Ahli scoring 9 goals to Al Nassr's 13. The most recent was Al Nassr 2-0 Al Ahli on 29 April 2026 in the Saudi Pro League.
Ivan Toney leads Al Ahli with 13 goals across their last 10 games, 1.3 a game, the most of any Al Ahli player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Al Ahli player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Cristiano Ronaldo leads Al Nassr with 8 goals across their last 10 games, 0.8 a game, the most of any Al Nassr player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Al Nassr player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Al Ahli vs Al Nassr with 11 starters a side: Al Ahli line up 4-2-3-1 and Al Nassr 4-4-2, ahead of the 17:30 UK time kick-off on Friday 20 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Al Nassr the favourite with a 44% chance of winning, against 31% for Al Ahli and 26% for the draw. Projected goals are Al Ahli 1.3 - 1.6 Al Nassr.
The most likely score in Al Ahli vs Al Nassr is 1-1, a draw, at 12%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 59% likely and over 2.5 goals 55%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Al Ahli vs Al Nassr, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr vs Al Ahli | 2-0 |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Saudi Pro League | Al Ahli vs Al Nassr | 3-2 |
| 13 Feb 2025 | Saudi Pro League | Al Ahli vs Al Nassr | 2-3 |
| 13 Sep 2024 | Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr vs Al Ahli | 1-1 |
| 15 Mar 2024 | Saudi Pro League | Al Ahli vs Al Nassr | 0-1 |
| 22 Sep 2023 | Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr vs Al Ahli | 4-3 |
Statz's projection model expects Al Ahli 1.3 - 1.6 Al Nassr in goals. It gives Al Ahli a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Al Nassr 44%. Both teams to score is 59% likely, over 1.5 goals 79% and over 2.5 goals 55%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 0-2 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 1-2 | Al Nassr win | 9% |
| 0-1 | Al Nassr win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Al Ahli win | 7% |
| 0-2 | Al Nassr win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Al Ahli vs Al Nassr, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Al Ahli | Fouls committed | Al Nassr | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Atangana | 30 | S. Costa | 29 |
| 2 | F. Trincão | 13 | S. Mané | 17 |
| 3 | E. Spertsyan | 12 | J. Félix | 14 |
| 4 | S. Balobaid | 11 | N. Boushal | 13 |
| 5 | R. Ibañez | 10 | A. Al-Khaibari | 12 |
| # | Al Ahli | Shots | Al Nassr | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Toney | 32 | C. Ronaldo | 37 |
| 2 | F. Trincão | 26 | J. Félix | 29 |
| 3 | Galeno | 14 | S. Mané | 16 |
| 4 | E. Spertsyan | 13 | Ângelo | 16 |
| 5 | V. Atangana | 9 | A. Al-Hamdan | 13 |
| # | Al Ahli | Shots on target | Al Nassr | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Toney | 20 | C. Ronaldo | 17 |
| 2 | F. Trincão | 11 | J. Félix | 12 |
| 3 | Galeno | 5 | S. Mané | 8 |
| 4 | V. Atangana | 4 | Ângelo | 6 |
| 5 | R. Ibañez | 3 | S. Costa | 6 |
| # | Al Ahli | Goals | Al Nassr | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Toney | 13 | C. Ronaldo | 8 |
| 2 | F. Trincão | 6 | Ângelo | 4 |
| 3 | A. Bondarenko | 3 | A. Al-Hamdan | 3 |
| 4 | F. Al-Buraikan | 2 | S. Mané | 3 |
| 5 | E. Spertsyan | 1 | A. Al-Amri | 2 |
| # | Al Ahli | Yellow cards | Al Nassr | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Atangana | 2 | S. Costa | 4 |
| 2 | I. Toney | 2 | J. Félix | 4 |
| 3 | S. Balobaid | 1 | A. Al-Amri | 1 |
| 4 | R. Ibañez | 1 | A. Al-Khaibari | 1 |
| 5 | M. Demiral | 1 | S. Al-Najdi | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.5 | 4 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.7 | 13 of 18 |
| Shots | 14.9 | 4 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6.5 | 3 of 18 |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 2 of 18 |
| Tackles | 16.4 | 2 of 18 |
| Passes | 403.6 | 8 of 18 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 15 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.5 | 3 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1 | 3 of 18 |
| Shots | 15.9 | 2 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6.4 | 4 of 18 |
| Fouls | 14.3 | 1 of 18 |
| Tackles | 14.7 | 13 of 18 |
| Passes | 427.6 | 5 of 18 |
| Corners | 7.5 | 1 of 18 |