B'mouth host Villa at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth on 28 October 2026 at 19:45 in the Carabao Cup. In their last 6 meetings, B'mouth have won 0, Villa 3, with 3 draws.
B'mouth vs Villa kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Wednesday 28 October 2026 in the Carabao Cup, at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.
B'mouth vs Villa is being played at Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth, the home ground of B'mouth.
B'mouth's recent form data is not available yet.
Villa's recent form data is not available yet.
Across the last 6 meetings B'mouth have won 0, Villa have won 3 and 3 were drawn. The most recent was AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa on 7 February 2026 in the Premier League.
Marcus Tavernier leads B'mouth with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
Nicolas Jackson leads Villa with 7 goals across their last 10 games.
Tony Harrington is the referee for B'mouth vs Villa, averaging 20.0 fouls and 4.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for B'mouth and Villa are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes B'mouth the favourite with a 49% chance of winning, against 26% for Villa and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are B'mouth 1.7 - 1.2 Villa.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 59% likely and over 2.5 goals 57%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Premier League | AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa | 1-1 |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Premier League | Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth | 4-0 |
| 10 May 2025 | Premier League | AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa | 0-1 |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Premier League | Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth | 1-1 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Premier League | Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth | 3-1 |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Premier League | AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa | 2-2 |
Statz's projection model expects B'mouth 1.7 - 1.2 Villa in goals. It gives B'mouth a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Villa 26%. Both teams to score is 59% likely, over 1.5 goals 80% and over 2.5 goals 57%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%), 2-0 (8%), 1-2 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 2-1 | B'mouth win | 10% |
| 1-0 | B'mouth win | 9% |
| 2-0 | B'mouth win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Villa win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for B'mouth vs Villa, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | B'mouth | Fouls committed | Villa | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Kluivert | 19 | B. Kamara | 15 |
| 2 | A. Truffert | 16 | R. Barkley | 12 |
| 3 | T. Adams | 16 | M. Cash | 12 |
| 4 | Evanilson | 11 | Alysson | 10 |
| 5 | A. Silva | 10 | J. McGinn | 9 |
| # | B'mouth | Shots | Villa | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayan | 27 | N. Jackson | 30 |
| 2 | Evanilson | 26 | E. Buendía | 21 |
| 3 | R. Christie | 20 | J. Manzambi | 18 |
| 4 | M. Tavernier | 18 | J. McGinn | 12 |
| 5 | J. Kluivert | 16 | I. Mbaye | 12 |
| # | B'mouth | Shots on target | Villa | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayan | 12 | N. Jackson | 16 |
| 2 | M. Tavernier | 11 | J. McGinn | 7 |
| 3 | Evanilson | 10 | E. Buendía | 7 |
| 4 | R. Christie | 6 | R. Barkley | 7 |
| 5 | J. Kluivert | 6 | I. Mbaye | 6 |
| # | B'mouth | Goals | Villa | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Tavernier | 5 | N. Jackson | 7 |
| 2 | Evanilson | 4 | R. Barkley | 4 |
| 3 | Rayan | 4 | J. Manzambi | 3 |
| 4 | J. Kluivert | 3 | E. Buendía | 3 |
| 5 | R. Christie | 3 | T. Abraham | 3 |
| # | B'mouth | Yellow cards | Villa | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Adams | 3 | M. Cash | 3 |
| 2 | A. Silva | 3 | E. Buendía | 3 |
| 3 | A. Truffert | 3 | J. Gomes | 2 |
| 4 | J. Kluivert | 3 | N. Jackson | 2 |
| 5 | B. Diakité | 3 | B. Madjo | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for B'mouth vs Villa: Ryan Christie 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.20); Ben Gannon-Doak 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.25); Ross Barkley 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.29); George Lawrence Hemmings 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.25). Combined odds 2.42 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.5 | 8 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.6 | 14 of 20 |
| Shots | 14.5 | 7 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 5 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.4 | 5 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.6 | 7 of 20 |
| Passes | 426.8 | 9 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 11 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 12 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 12 of 20 |
| Shots | 11.4 | 16 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3 | 20 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 8 of 20 |
| Tackles | 19 | 2 of 20 |
| Passes | 397.4 | 15 of 20 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 19 of 20 |