Benfica host Celtic at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa on 15 October 2026 at 20:00 in the Europa League. Benfica's last five results: W W W L W (4 wins and 1 loss). Celtic's last five: W W L L W (3 wins and 2 losses).
Benfica vs Celtic kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Thursday 15 October 2026 in the Europa League, at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa.
Benfica vs Celtic is being played at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica in Lisboa, the home ground of Benfica.
Benfica's last five results read W W W L W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
Celtic's last five results read W W L L W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Vangelis Pavlidis leads Benfica with 8 goals across their last 10 games.
Camilo Durán leads Celtic with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Nikola Dabanović is the referee for Benfica vs Celtic, averaging 23.7 fouls and 4.3 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Benfica and Celtic are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Benfica the favourite with a 75% chance of winning, against 10% for Celtic and 15% for the draw. Projected goals are Benfica 2.7 - 0.9 Celtic.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0, a Benfica win, at 10%. Both teams to score is 56% likely and over 2.5 goals 70%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Benfica 2.7 - 0.9 Celtic in goals. It gives Benfica a 75% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Celtic 10%. Both teams to score is 56% likely, over 1.5 goals 88% and over 2.5 goals 70%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Benfica win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Benfica win | 9% |
| 3-0 | Benfica win | 9% |
| 3-1 | Benfica win | 8% |
| 1-0 | Benfica win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Benfica vs Celtic, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Benfica | Fouls committed | Celtic | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Barreiro | 17 | K. Høgh | 13 |
| 2 | G. Sudakov | 11 | B. Nygren | 12 |
| 3 | V. Pavlidis | 10 | C. Durán | 11 |
| 4 | C. Lenglet | 9 | M. Baur | 10 |
| 5 | T. Araújo | 9 | C. Donovan | 10 |
| # | Benfica | Shots | Celtic | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Prestianni | 34 | C. Durán | 33 |
| 2 | V. Pavlidis | 29 | B. Nygren | 20 |
| 3 | R. Silva | 20 | K. Høgh | 18 |
| 4 | L. Barreiro | 17 | C. McGregor | 13 |
| 5 | A. Schjelderup | 12 | H. Yang | 12 |
| # | Benfica | Shots on target | Celtic | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Prestianni | 14 | C. Durán | 18 |
| 2 | V. Pavlidis | 13 | B. Nygren | 8 |
| 3 | R. Silva | 9 | K. Høgh | 8 |
| 4 | L. Barreiro | 6 | M. Baur | 8 |
| 5 | D. Lukébakio | 5 | J. Forrest | 5 |
| # | Benfica | Goals | Celtic | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Pavlidis | 8 | C. Durán | 6 |
| 2 | G. Prestianni | 6 | B. Nygren | 4 |
| 3 | L. Barreiro | 3 | K. Høgh | 3 |
| 4 | R. Silva | 3 | H. Yang | 2 |
| 5 | G. Sudakov | 1 | M. Baur | 2 |
| # | Benfica | Yellow cards | Celtic | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Araújo | 4 | C. Donovan | 2 |
| 2 | L. Barreiro | 3 | J. Lotomba | 1 |
| 3 | J. Palhinha | 2 | K. Tierney | 1 |
| 4 | J. Durán | 2 | S. Tounekti | 1 |
| 5 | C. Lenglet | 1 | C. McGregor | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Benfica vs Celtic: Liam Scales 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.22); João Palhinha 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.57); Colby Donovan 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.25); Benjamin Nygren 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.18). Combined odds 2.83 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3 | 1 of 18 |
| Goals against | 0.9 | 4 of 18 |
| Shots | 19.6 | 1 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6.9 | 1 of 18 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 10 of 18 |
| Tackles | 14.9 | 14 of 18 |
| Passes | 562.8 | 1 of 18 |
| Corners | 7.8 | 1 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 2 of 12 |
| Goals against | 0.5 | 1 of 12 |
| Shots | 20.6 | 1 of 12 |
| Shots on target | 9.1 | 1 of 12 |
| Fouls | 9.8 | 11 of 12 |
| Tackles | 15.8 | 9 of 12 |
| Passes | 619.5 | 1 of 12 |
| Corners | 9.4 | 1 of 12 |