Elversberg host Mainz at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg on 30 October 2026 at 19:30 in the Bundesliga. Elversberg's last five results: L D L W L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). Mainz's last five: L W L W L (2 wins and 3 losses).
Elversberg vs Mainz kicks off at 19:30 UK time on Friday 30 October 2026 in the Bundesliga, at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg.
Elversberg vs Mainz is being played at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde in Spiesen-Elversberg, the home ground of Elversberg.
Elversberg's last five results read L D L W L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Mainz's last five results read L W L W L (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 losses.
Felix Keidel leads Elversberg with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Phillip Tietz leads Mainz with 7 goals across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Elversberg and Mainz are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Mainz the favourite with a 43% chance of winning, against 34% for Elversberg and 23% for the draw. Projected goals are Elversberg 1.7 - 1.9 Mainz.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 9%. Both teams to score is 70% likely and over 2.5 goals 70%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Elversberg 1.7 - 1.9 Mainz in goals. It gives Elversberg a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mainz 43%. Both teams to score is 70% likely, over 1.5 goals 88% and over 2.5 goals 70%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (5%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 9% |
| 1-2 | Mainz win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Elversberg win | 7% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 7% |
| 1-3 | Mainz win | 5% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Elversberg vs Mainz, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Elversberg | Fouls committed | Mainz | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ł. Poręba | 12 | P. Tietz | 20 |
| 2 | L. Petkov | 11 | K. Potulski | 18 |
| 3 | M. Krattenmacher | 7 | S. Posch | 11 |
| 4 | M. Rohr | 7 | S. Becker | 10 |
| 5 | F. Keidel | 7 | A. Caci | 10 |
| # | Elversberg | Shots | Mainz | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Krattenmacher | 13 | P. Tietz | 35 |
| 2 | L. Petkov | 11 | S. Becker | 24 |
| 3 | C. Campbell | 7 | N. Amiri | 21 |
| 4 | D. Mokwa | 7 | P. Mwene | 13 |
| 5 | M. Rohr | 5 | K. Potulski | 11 |
| # | Elversberg | Shots on target | Mainz | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Krattenmacher | 6 | S. Becker | 14 |
| 2 | L. Petkov | 6 | P. Tietz | 13 |
| 3 | C. Campbell | 4 | P. Mwene | 5 |
| 4 | D. Mokwa | 3 | N. Amiri | 5 |
| 5 | L. Günther | 2 | K. Potulski | 4 |
| # | Elversberg | Goals | Mainz | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Krattenmacher | 3 | P. Tietz | 7 |
| 2 | L. Petkov | 2 | S. Becker | 3 |
| 3 | D. Mokwa | 2 | A. Caci | 3 |
| 4 | F. Schmahl | 1 | P. Mwene | 2 |
| 5 | L. Günther | 1 | N. Amiri | 1 |
| # | Elversberg | Yellow cards | Mainz | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Keidel | 3 | P. Mwene | 4 |
| 2 | N. Kristof | 2 | S. Becker | 3 |
| 3 | L. Günther | 1 | J. Lee | 2 |
| 4 | F. Schmahl | 1 | A. Caci | 2 |
| 5 | L. Pinckert | 1 | A. Schwolow | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Elversberg vs Mainz: Phillip Tietz 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.44); Łukasz Poręba 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.25); Sheraldo Becker 2+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.20); Phillipp Mwene 2+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.62). Combined odds 3.5 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 10 of 18 |
| Goals against | 2.1 | 14 of 18 |
| Shots | 10.3 | 17 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 4.1 | 14 of 18 |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 4 of 18 |
| Tackles | 14.7 | 14 of 18 |
| Passes | 384 | 15 of 18 |
| Corners | 4 | 15 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.7 | 3 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.9 | 9 of 18 |
| Shots | 17.7 | 5 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6.3 | 5 of 18 |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 5 of 18 |
| Tackles | 16.9 | 7 of 18 |
| Passes | 461.3 | 8 of 18 |
| Corners | 5 | 11 of 18 |