Everton host Chelsea at Hill Dickinson Stadium on 17 October 2026 at 12:30 in the Premier League. Everton's last five results: D D W W D (2 wins and 3 draws). Chelsea's last five: L W D L W (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Everton have won 2, Chelsea 3, with 1 draw.
Everton vs Chelsea kicks off at 12:30 UK time on Saturday 17 October 2026 in the Premier League, at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Everton vs Chelsea is being played at Hill Dickinson Stadium, the home ground of Everton.
Everton's last five results read D D W W D (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 draws.
Chelsea's last five results read L W D L W (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Across the last 6 meetings Everton have won 2, Chelsea have won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Everton 3-0 Chelsea on 21 March 2026 in the Premier League.
Thierno Barry leads Everton with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
João Pedro leads Chelsea with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Paul Tierney is the referee for Everton vs Chelsea, averaging 25.3 fouls and 3.3 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Everton and Chelsea are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Chelsea the favourite with a 46% chance of winning, against 29% for Everton and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Everton 1.3 - 1.7 Chelsea.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 60% likely and over 2.5 goals 57%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Premier League | Everton vs Chelsea | 3-0 |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Premier League | Chelsea vs Everton | 2-0 |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Premier League | Chelsea vs Everton | 1-0 |
| 22 Dec 2024 | Premier League | Everton vs Chelsea | 0-0 |
| 15 Apr 2024 | Premier League | Chelsea vs Everton | 6-0 |
| 10 Dec 2023 | Premier League | Everton vs Chelsea | 2-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Everton 1.3 - 1.7 Chelsea in goals. It gives Everton a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chelsea 46%. Both teams to score is 60% likely, over 1.5 goals 80% and over 2.5 goals 57%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 0-2 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 1-2 | Chelsea win | 9% |
| 0-1 | Chelsea win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Everton win | 7% |
| 0-2 | Chelsea win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Everton vs Chelsea, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Everton | Fouls committed | Chelsea | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Röhl | 14 | M. Caicedo | 12 |
| 2 | T. Barry | 10 | J. Pedro | 11 |
| 3 | J. Garner | 10 | W. Fofana | 11 |
| 4 | H. Armstrong | 9 | C. Palmer | 7 |
| 5 | J. Tarkowski | 8 | P. Neto | 6 |
| # | Everton | Shots | Chelsea | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Barry | 25 | C. Palmer | 28 |
| 2 | K. Dewsbury-Hall | 25 | J. Pedro | 20 |
| 3 | T. George | 11 | M. Rogers | 17 |
| 4 | J. Tarkowski | 8 | P. Neto | 11 |
| 5 | M. Keane | 7 | R. James | 9 |
| # | Everton | Shots on target | Chelsea | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Barry | 10 | C. Palmer | 11 |
| 2 | K. Dewsbury-Hall | 7 | J. Pedro | 7 |
| 3 | J. Tarkowski | 3 | P. Neto | 6 |
| 4 | J. Garner | 3 | M. Rogers | 6 |
| 5 | T. George | 3 | R. James | 5 |
| # | Everton | Goals | Chelsea | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Barry | 5 | J. Pedro | 6 |
| 2 | J. Tarkowski | 2 | M. Rogers | 4 |
| 3 | K. Dewsbury-Hall | 2 | C. Palmer | 3 |
| 4 | J. O'Brien | 1 | J. Henderson | 2 |
| 5 | M. Röhl | 1 | P. Neto | 1 |
| # | Everton | Yellow cards | Chelsea | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Garner | 4 | M. Caicedo | 2 |
| 2 | J. O'Brien | 3 | J. Hato | 2 |
| 3 | J. Tarkowski | 2 | C. Palmer | 2 |
| 4 | V. Mykolenko | 2 | J. Pedro | 2 |
| 5 | H. Armstrong | 2 | W. Fofana | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Everton vs Chelsea: Pedro Neto 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.20); Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.22); James Tarkowski 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.25); João Pedro 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.44). Combined odds 2.64 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 8 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 4 of 20 |
| Shots | 15.8 | 4 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 6 of 20 |
| Fouls | 7.3 | 20 of 20 |
| Tackles | 17.5 | 3 of 20 |
| Passes | 439.5 | 8 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 7 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.5 | 3 of 20 |
| Goals against | 2.2 | 18 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.7 | 10 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.3 | 3 of 20 |
| Fouls | 8.3 | 19 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.8 | 11 of 20 |
| Passes | 426.7 | 10 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 4 of 20 |