Ukraine host Northern Ireland at Štadión Antona Malatinského, Trnava on 2 October 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Ukraine's last five results: L W L W D (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Northern Ireland's last five: L W L W D (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses).
Ukraine vs Northern Ireland kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Friday 2 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Štadión Antona Malatinského, Trnava.
Ukraine vs Northern Ireland is being played at Štadión Antona Malatinského in Trnava, the home ground of Ukraine.
Ukraine's last five results read L W L W D (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Northern Ireland's last five results read L W L W D (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Oleksiy Gutsulyak leads Ukraine with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Dan Ballard leads Northern Ireland with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Jasper Vergoote is the referee for Ukraine vs Northern Ireland.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Ukraine and Northern Ireland are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Ukraine the favourite with a 45% chance of winning, against 26% for Northern Ireland and 29% for the draw. Projected goals are Ukraine 1.3 - 0.9 Northern Ireland.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0, a Ukraine win, at 15%. Both teams to score is 42% likely and over 2.5 goals 36%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Ukraine 1.3 - 0.9 Northern Ireland in goals. It gives Ukraine a 45% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Northern Ireland 26%. Both teams to score is 42% likely, over 1.5 goals 63% and over 2.5 goals 36%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Ukraine win | 15% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 12% |
| 0-1 | Northern Ireland win | 10% |
| 2-0 | Ukraine win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Ukraine vs Northern Ireland, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Ukraine | Fouls committed | Northern Ireland | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Ocheretko | 8 | C. O'Neill | 2 |
| 2 | Y. Konoplya | 6 | J. Lewis | 1 |
| 3 | R. Malinovskyi | 6 | ||
| 4 | V. Vanat | 6 | ||
| 5 | V. Bondar | 5 |
| # | Ukraine | Shots | Northern Ireland | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Malinovskyi | 9 | J. Lewis | 1 |
| 2 | O. Zubkov | 7 | C. O'Neill | 1 |
| 3 | O. Gutsulyak | 6 | ||
| 4 | V. Vanat | 6 | ||
| 5 | V. Tsygankov | 6 |
| # | Ukraine | Shots on target | Northern Ireland | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Malinovskyi | 5 | C. O'Neill | 1 |
| 2 | O. Gutsulyak | 4 | ||
| 3 | O. Zubkov | 4 | ||
| 4 | V. Vanat | 3 | ||
| 5 | R. Yaremchuk | 2 |
| # | Ukraine | Goals | Northern Ireland | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Gutsulyak | 4 | J. Donley | 2 |
| 2 | R. Malinovskyi | 3 | T. Hume | 1 |
| 3 | O. Zubkov | 1 | S. Charles | 1 |
| 4 | O. Ocheretko | 1 | P. Kelly | 1 |
| 5 | I. Kalyuzhnyi | 1 | T. Atcheson | 1 |
| # | Ukraine | Yellow cards | Northern Ireland | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Y. Konoplya | 2 | D. Ballard | 3 |
| 2 | R. Malinovskyi | 2 | E. Galbraith | 3 |
| 3 | O. Ocheretko | 2 | S. Charles | 2 |
| 4 | V. Mykolenko | 2 | C. Hazard | 1 |
| 5 | M. Matvienko | 2 | R. McConville | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Ukraine vs Northern Ireland: Volodymyr Brazhko 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.20); Isaac Price 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.67); Ethan Galbraith 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.44); Oleksandr Zubkov 1+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.20). Combined odds 2.7 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 27 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0 | 7 of 54 |
| Shots | 8.5 | 43 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 2.5 | 43 of 54 |
| Fouls | 16.5 | 5 of 54 |
| Tackles | 17 | 11 of 54 |
| Passes | 480.5 | 25 of 54 |
| Corners | 1 | 52 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 32 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0 | 2 of 54 |
| Shots | 11 | 35 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 30 of 54 |
| Fouls | 14.5 | 10 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13.5 | 32 of 54 |
| Passes | 340.5 | 47 of 54 |
| Corners | 2 | 49 of 54 |