Updated 15 November 2026.
Poland host Sweden at Tarczyński Arena on 17 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Poland's last five results: D L W L L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). Sweden's last five: W W D W W (4 wins and 1 draw). In their last 2 meetings, Poland have won 0, Sweden 2, with 0 draws.
Poland vs Sweden kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Tarczyński Arena. Tarczyński Arena holds 45,105 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Poland vs Sweden is being played at Tarczyński Arena on Tuesday 17 November 2026, the home ground of Poland, which holds 45,105 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Poland have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6, with results reading D L W L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat away to Romania in the UEFA Nations League on 14 November.
Sweden have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5, with results reading W W D W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-2 win at home to Bosnia in the UEFA Nations League on 14 November.
Across the last 2 meetings Poland have won 0, Sweden have won 2 and 0 were drawn, with Poland scoring 3 goals to Sweden's 6. The most recent was Sweden 3-1 Poland on 28 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Robert Lewandowski leads Poland with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Poland player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Poland player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Viktor Gyökeres leads Sweden with 8 goals across their last 10 games, 0.8 a game, the most of any Sweden player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Sweden player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Poland vs Sweden is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Poland's XI from their 1-2 defeat at Romania on Sat 14 Nov 2026, and Sweden's XI from their 3-2 win v Bosnia at home on Sat 14 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Poland the favourite with a 44% chance of winning, against 31% for Sweden and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Poland 1.6 - 1.4 Sweden.
The most likely score in Poland vs Sweden is 1-1, a draw, at 11%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 60% likely and over 2.5 goals 57%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Poland vs Sweden, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Sweden vs Poland | 3-1 |
| 31 Mar 2026 | WC Qualification Europe | Sweden vs Poland | 3-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Poland 1.6 - 1.4 Sweden in goals. It gives Poland a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sweden 31%. Both teams to score is 60% likely, over 1.5 goals 80% and over 2.5 goals 57%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-1 | Poland win | 9% |
| 1-0 | Poland win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Sweden win | 8% |
| 2-0 | Poland win | 7% |
Predicted lineups for Poland vs Sweden are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Poland's XI from their 1-2 defeat at Romania on Sat 14 Nov 2026, and Sweden's XI from their 3-2 win v Bosnia at home on Sat 14 Nov 2026.
| # | Poland | Fouls committed | Sweden | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Lewandowski | 13 | L. Bergvall | 12 |
| 2 | M. Cash | 12 | G. Gudmundsson | 10 |
| 3 | N. Zalewski | 8 | Y. Ayari | 10 |
| 4 | S. Szymanski | 7 | V. Gyökeres | 10 |
| 5 | K. Potulski | 7 | A. Isak | 6 |
| # | Poland | Shots | Sweden | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Zieliński | 23 | V. Gyökeres | 29 |
| 2 | R. Lewandowski | 21 | A. Isak | 14 |
| 3 | M. Cash | 15 | Y. Ayari | 12 |
| 4 | S. Szymanski | 10 | A. Elanga | 7 |
| 5 | W. Nowak | 8 | A. Bernhardsson | 6 |
| # | Poland | Shots on target | Sweden | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Lewandowski | 7 | V. Gyökeres | 16 |
| 2 | P. Zieliński | 7 | A. Isak | 7 |
| 3 | K. Świderski | 5 | A. Elanga | 6 |
| 4 | S. Szymanski | 5 | Y. Ayari | 5 |
| 5 | J. Kamiński | 3 | M. Svanberg | 2 |
| # | Poland | Goals | Sweden | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Lewandowski | 5 | V. Gyökeres | 8 |
| 2 | P. Zieliński | 3 | Y. Ayari | 3 |
| 3 | K. Świderski | 2 | A. Isak | 2 |
| 4 | P. Wszolek | 1 | A. Elanga | 2 |
| 5 | N. Zalewski | 1 | M. Svanberg | 1 |
| # | Poland | Yellow cards | Sweden | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Lewandowski | 3 | G. Gudmundsson | 1 |
| 2 | J. Kiwior | 3 | L. Bergvall | 1 |
| 3 | N. Zalewski | 2 | Y. Ayari | 1 |
| 4 | K. Świderski | 2 | I. Hien | 1 |
| 5 | J. Bednarek | 2 | V. Gyökeres | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Poland vs Sweden: Adrian Benedyczak 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.48); Yasin Ayari 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.22); Alexander Isak 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.28); Viktor Gyökeres 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.36). Combined odds 3.14 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 15 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 35 of 54 |
| Shots | 17.8 | 7 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5.4 | 13 of 54 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 26 of 54 |
| Tackles | 16.2 | 15 of 54 |
| Passes | 483.6 | 25 of 54 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 11 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 11 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1 | 23 of 54 |
| Shots | 11.2 | 34 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4.6 | 23 of 54 |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 48 of 54 |
| Tackles | 11.8 | 47 of 54 |
| Passes | 486.6 | 23 of 54 |
| Corners | 2.8 | 45 of 54 |