Portugal host Norway at Estádio Do Dragão, Porto on 4 October 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Portugal's last five results: W L W W W (4 wins and 1 loss). Norway's last five: W L W L L (2 wins and 3 losses). In their last 1 meetings, Portugal have won 1, Norway 0, with 0 draws.
Portugal vs Norway kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Sunday 4 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Estádio Do Dragão, Porto.
Portugal vs Norway is being played at Estádio Do Dragão in Porto, the home ground of Portugal.
Portugal's last five results read W L W W W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
Norway's last five results read W L W L L (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 losses.
Across the last 1 meetings Portugal have won 1, Norway have won 0 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was Norway 1-2 Portugal on 27 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Cristiano Ronaldo leads Portugal with 12 shots on target across their last 10 games.
Erling Haaland leads Norway with 10 goals across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Portugal and Norway are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Portugal the favourite with a 58% chance of winning, against 21% for Norway and 21% for the draw. Projected goals are Portugal 2.1 - 1.2 Norway.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1, a Portugal win, at 10%. Both teams to score is 61% likely and over 2.5 goals 64%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Norway vs Portugal | 1-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Portugal 2.1 - 1.2 Norway in goals. It gives Portugal a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Norway 21%. Both teams to score is 61% likely, over 1.5 goals 84% and over 2.5 goals 64%. The most likely scorelines are 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%), 1-0 (8%), 3-1 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Portugal win | 10% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 9% |
| 2-0 | Portugal win | 8% |
| 1-0 | Portugal win | 8% |
| 3-1 | Portugal win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Portugal vs Norway, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Portugal | Fouls committed | Norway | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Veiga | 13 | D. Wolfe | 12 |
| 2 | P. Neto | 12 | J. Ryerson | 11 |
| 3 | J. Cancelo | 10 | A. Sørloth | 10 |
| 4 | R. Dias | 7 | S. Berge | 8 |
| 5 | Vitinha | 6 | M. Ødegaard | 8 |
| # | Portugal | Shots | Norway | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Ronaldo | 32 | E. Haaland | 36 |
| 2 | J. Félix | 17 | M. Ødegaard | 17 |
| 3 | B. Fernandes | 13 | A. Nusa | 11 |
| 4 | G. Ramos | 11 | A. Schjelderup | 9 |
| 5 | P. Neto | 9 | A. Sørloth | 7 |
| # | Portugal | Shots on target | Norway | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Ronaldo | 12 | E. Haaland | 22 |
| 2 | J. Félix | 8 | M. Ødegaard | 6 |
| 3 | B. Fernandes | 6 | O. Bobb | 4 |
| 4 | G. Ramos | 5 | A. Schjelderup | 4 |
| 5 | R. Neves | 3 | A. Nusa | 3 |
| # | Portugal | Goals | Norway | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Ronaldo | 3 | E. Haaland | 10 |
| 2 | G. Ramos | 3 | O. Bobb | 2 |
| 3 | J. Félix | 3 | A. Nusa | 1 |
| 4 | R. Leão | 1 | A. Schjelderup | 1 |
| 5 | N. Mendes | 1 | T. Aasgaard | 1 |
| # | Portugal | Yellow cards | Norway | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Silva | 3 | K. Ajer | 2 |
| 2 | R. Veiga | 3 | A. Nusa | 1 |
| 3 | R. Dias | 2 | P. Berg | 1 |
| 4 | N. Semedo | 1 | M. Ødegaard | 1 |
| 5 | T. Araújo | 1 | F. Aursnes | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Portugal vs Norway: João Félix 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.25); Andreas Schjelderup 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.20); Patrick Berg 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.40); Antonio Nusa 1+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.50). Combined odds 3.15 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.3 | 9 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1 | 19 of 54 |
| Shots | 18 | 4 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 6.3 | 7 of 54 |
| Fouls | 12 | 28 of 54 |
| Tackles | 12.7 | 39 of 54 |
| Passes | 478 | 26 of 54 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 5 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 18 of 54 |
| Goals against | 2 | 45 of 54 |
| Shots | 15.7 | 13 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5.7 | 11 of 54 |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 42 of 54 |
| Tackles | 12.7 | 37 of 54 |
| Passes | 533.3 | 17 of 54 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 20 of 54 |