Updated 12 November 2026.
Norway host Wales at Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo on 14 November 2026 at 17:00 in the UEFA Nations League. Norway's last five results: L W L L L (1 win and 4 losses). Wales's last five: L L L W L (1 win and 4 losses). In their last 1 meetings, Norway have won 0, Wales 1, with 0 draws.
Norway vs Wales kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Saturday 14 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo. Ullevaal Stadion holds 28,000 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 17:00.
Norway vs Wales is being played at Ullevaal Stadion in Oslo on Saturday 14 November 2026, the home ground of Norway, which holds 28,000 people. Kick-off is at 17:00 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Norway have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10, with results reading L W L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat away to Portugal in the UEFA Nations League on 4 October.
Wales have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7, with results reading L L L W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-1 defeat at home to Denmark in the UEFA Nations League on 4 October.
Across the last 1 meetings Norway have won 0, Wales have won 1 and 0 were drawn, with Norway scoring 1 goals to Wales's 2. The most recent was Wales 2-1 Norway on 1 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Erling Haaland leads Norway with 10 goals across their last 10 games, 1.0 a game, the most of any Norway player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Norway player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Ethan Ampadu leads Wales with 15 fouls committed across their last 10 games, 1.5 a game, the most of any Wales player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Wales player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Norway vs Wales with 11 starters a side: Norway line up 4-2-3-1 and Wales 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 17:00 UK time kick-off on Saturday 14 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Norway the favourite with a 71% chance of winning, against 12% for Wales and 17% for the draw. Projected goals are Norway 2.4 - 0.9 Wales.
The most likely score in Norway vs Wales is 2-0, a Norway win, at 11%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 53% likely and over 2.5 goals 64%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Norway vs Wales, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Wales vs Norway | 2-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Norway 2.4 - 0.9 Wales in goals. It gives Norway a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Wales 12%. Both teams to score is 53% likely, over 1.5 goals 84% and over 2.5 goals 64%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%), 3-0 (9%), 1-1 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Norway win | 11% |
| 2-1 | Norway win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Norway win | 9% |
| 3-0 | Norway win | 9% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Norway vs Wales, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Norway | Fouls committed | Wales | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Wolfe | 10 | E. Ampadu | 15 |
| 2 | S. Berge | 10 | N. Williams | 12 |
| 3 | J. Ryerson | 9 | L. Koumas | 11 |
| 4 | M. Ødegaard | 8 | L. Cullen | 7 |
| 5 | E. Haaland | 7 | D. Brooks | 5 |
| # | Norway | Shots | Wales | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Haaland | 38 | D. James | 18 |
| 2 | M. Ødegaard | 16 | H. Wilson | 13 |
| 3 | A. Nusa | 12 | N. Williams | 12 |
| 4 | A. Schjelderup | 9 | L. Koumas | 12 |
| 5 | P. Berg | 7 | D. Brooks | 11 |
| # | Norway | Shots on target | Wales | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Haaland | 22 | L. Koumas | 7 |
| 2 | M. Ødegaard | 5 | D. James | 7 |
| 3 | O. Bobb | 4 | J. James | 4 |
| 4 | A. Schjelderup | 4 | N. Williams | 4 |
| 5 | A. Nusa | 3 | D. Brooks | 4 |
| # | Norway | Goals | Wales | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Haaland | 10 | H. Wilson | 3 |
| 2 | O. Bobb | 2 | D. James | 3 |
| 3 | A. Nusa | 1 | D. Brooks | 2 |
| 4 | A. Schjelderup | 1 | J. James | 1 |
| 5 | T. Aasgaard | 1 | B. Johnson | 1 |
| # | Norway | Yellow cards | Wales | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Ajer | 2 | E. Ampadu | 2 |
| 2 | A. Nusa | 1 | J. James | 2 |
| 3 | P. Berg | 1 | L. Cullen | 2 |
| 4 | M. Ødegaard | 1 | B. Cabango | 2 |
| 5 | F. Aursnes | 1 | S. Thomas | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Norway vs Wales: Kristoffer Ajer 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.36); Erling Haaland 2+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.30); Patrick Berg 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.33); Sander Berge 1+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.25). Combined odds 2.94 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.5 | 23 of 54 |
| Goals against | 2 | 46 of 54 |
| Shots | 14 | 19 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 16 of 54 |
| Fouls | 9 | 50 of 54 |
| Tackles | 12.5 | 43 of 54 |
| Passes | 487 | 23 of 54 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 23 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.5 | 48 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 31 of 54 |
| Shots | 8.3 | 49 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 2.8 | 46 of 54 |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 23 of 54 |
| Tackles | 11.3 | 50 of 54 |
| Passes | 457.5 | 32 of 54 |
| Corners | 3 | 42 of 54 |