Atlético-MG host Cruzeiro at Arena MRV on 29 October 2026 at 22:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Atlético-MG's last five results: W W W L L (3 wins and 2 losses). Cruzeiro's last five: W W L W W (4 wins and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Atlético-MG have won 2, Cruzeiro 1, with 3 draws.
Atlético-MG vs Cruzeiro kicks off at 22:30 UK time on Thursday 29 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Arena MRV.
Atlético-MG vs Cruzeiro is being played at Arena MRV, the home ground of Atlético-MG.
Atlético-MG's last five results read W W W L L (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Cruzeiro's last five results read W W L W W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Atlético-MG have won 2, Cruzeiro have won 1 and 3 were drawn. The most recent was Cruzeiro 1-3 Atlético Mineiro on 3 May 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Tomás Cuello leads Atlético-MG with 13 shots across their last 10 games.
Kaio Jorge leads Cruzeiro with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
Raphael Claus is the referee for Atlético-MG vs Cruzeiro, averaging 23.0 fouls and 3.7 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Atlético-MG and Cruzeiro are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Atlético-MG the favourite with a 44% chance of winning, against 30% for Cruzeiro and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Atlético-MG 1.6 - 1.3 Cruzeiro.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 59% likely and over 2.5 goals 55%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro | 1-3 |
| 16 Oct 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro | 1-1 |
| 18 May 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro | 0-0 |
| 11 Aug 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro | 0-0 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro | 3-0 |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro | 0-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Atlético-MG 1.6 - 1.3 Cruzeiro in goals. It gives Atlético-MG a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cruzeiro 30%. Both teams to score is 59% likely, over 1.5 goals 80% and over 2.5 goals 55%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 2-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 2-1 | Atlético-MG win | 9% |
| 1-0 | Atlético-MG win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Cruzeiro win | 7% |
| 2-0 | Atlético-MG win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Atlético-MG vs Cruzeiro, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Atlético-MG | Fouls committed | Cruzeiro | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fred | 11 | William | 14 |
| 2 | M. Cissé | 11 | M. Pereira | 11 |
| 3 | Natanael | 9 | Z. Lucas | 10 |
| 4 | K. Pascini | 7 | F. Morais | 9 |
| 5 | Alexsander | 7 | J. Marcelo | 9 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Shots | Cruzeiro | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Cuello | 13 | M. Pereira | 29 |
| 2 | Bernard | 12 | K. Arroyo | 22 |
| 3 | V. Hugo | 11 | K. Jorge | 22 |
| 4 | T. Borbas | 10 | F. Morais | 14 |
| 5 | Reinier | 10 | Gerson | 10 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Shots on target | Cruzeiro | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Cuello | 5 | M. Pereira | 11 |
| 2 | Bernard | 5 | K. Jorge | 11 |
| 3 | A. Minda | 4 | K. Arroyo | 8 |
| 4 | Alexsander | 4 | F. Morais | 7 |
| 5 | Reinier | 4 | J. Costa | 4 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Goals | Cruzeiro | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bernard | 3 | K. Jorge | 5 |
| 2 | T. Borbas | 2 | M. Pereira | 4 |
| 3 | Reinier | 2 | Z. Lucas | 2 |
| 4 | R. Lodi | 1 | K. Arroyo | 2 |
| 5 | I. Gomes | 1 | F. Bruno | 1 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Yellow cards | Cruzeiro | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Hugo | 2 | J. Marcelo | 4 |
| 2 | A. Franco | 2 | F. Morais | 3 |
| 3 | K. Castaño | 2 | F. Bruno | 3 |
| 4 | T. Cuello | 2 | M. Pereira | 2 |
| 5 | Fred | 2 | G. Rojas | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Atlético-MG vs Cruzeiro: Matheus Pereira 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.04); Fabrício Bruno 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.36); Kaio Jorge 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.36); Victor Hugo 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.20). Combined odds 2.5 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 | 9 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 5 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.7 | 11 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.9 | 9 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 18 of 20 |
| Tackles | 12.8 | 20 of 20 |
| Passes | 434.6 | 9 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 14 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 4 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 14 of 20 |
| Shots | 14.9 | 5 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.3 | 5 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 3 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.8 | 13 of 20 |
| Passes | 455.7 | 4 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 9 of 20 |