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- Gary Player
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CoursesNewsBetting GuidesUpdated 1 November 2026
The model this week
131 players simulated over 72 holes
Overall Winner
Win probability over the full field
D. GhimDoug GhimWorld #9712.8%B. JamesBen JamesWorld #839.9%W. ClarkWyndham ClarkWorld #56.1%
T. KimTom KimWorld #306.4%Z. BauchouZach BauchouWorld #1414.9%First Round Leader
Softmax over projected opening rounds
D. GhimDoug GhimR1 67.04.7%B. JamesBen JamesR1 67.02.4%W. ClarkWyndham ClarkR1 67.02.4%T. KimTom KimR1 67.02.4%Z. BauchouZach BauchouR1 67.02.4%DraftKings
Projected fantasy points for the DFS slate
D. GhimDoug GhimProj. -20113.9ptsB. JamesBen JamesProj. -19108.8ptsW. ClarkWyndham ClarkProj. -18104.4ptsT. KimTom KimProj. -18103.9ptsZ. BauchouZach BauchouProj. -18103.0ptsDoug Ghim is the Statz model's favourite to win the VidantaWorld Mexico Open 2026, with a 12.8% chance across the 131-player field, projected to finish at -20 to par over 72 holes.
The Statz model projects a winning score of -20 to par at the VidantaWorld Mexico Open 2026, simulating all 131 players in the field over 72 holes from their strokes gained form and course fit.
The Statz model projects the 36-hole cut at the VidantaWorld Mexico Open 2026 to fall at -4 to par, with 64 of the 131 players more likely than not to play the weekend.
Favourite: Doug Ghim, 12.8% to win. Projected winning score: -20 to par. Projected 36-hole cut: -4 to par. Field: 131 players, each simulated over 72 holes.
Updated 1 November 2026.
| Rank | Player | World ranking | Win chance | Top 10 chance | First round leader chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doug Ghim | 97 | 12.8% | 56.1% | 4.7% |
| 2 | Ben James | 83 | 9.9% | 49.4% | 2.4% |
| 3 | Tom Kim | 30 | 6.4% | 40.9% | 2.4% |
| 4 | Wyndham Clark | 5 | 6.1% | 41.1% | 2.4% |
| 5 | Johnny Keefer | 65 | 5.2% | 34.7% | 2.4% |
| 6 | Zach Bauchou | 141 | 4.9% | 37.7% | 2.4% |
| 7 | Harry Hall | 71 | 4.0% | 34.1% | 2.4% |
| 8 | Jordan Smith | 68 | 3.5% | 29.2% | 2.4% |
| 9 | Neal Shipley | 166 | 3.0% | 28.1% | 2.4% |
| 10 | Jackson Suber | 100 | 2.8% | 27.8% | 2.4% |
| Rank | Player | World ranking | Win chance | Top 10 chance | First round leader chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doug Ghim | 97 | 12.8% | 56.1% | 4.7% |
| 2 | Ben James | 83 | 9.9% | 49.4% | 2.4% |
| 3 | Wyndham Clark | 5 | 6.1% | 41.1% | 2.4% |
| 4 | Tom Kim | 30 | 6.4% | 40.9% | 2.4% |
| 5 | Zach Bauchou | 141 | 4.9% | 37.7% | 2.4% |
| 6 | Johnny Keefer | 65 | 5.2% | 34.7% | 2.4% |
| 7 | Harry Hall | 71 | 4.0% | 34.1% | 2.4% |
| 8 | Jordan Smith | 68 | 3.5% | 29.2% | 2.4% |
| 9 | Neal Shipley | 166 | 3.0% | 28.1% | 2.4% |
| 10 | Jackson Suber | 100 | 2.8% | 27.8% | 2.4% |
| Rank | Player | World ranking | Win chance | Top 10 chance | First round leader chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doug Ghim | 97 | 12.8% | 56.1% | 4.7% |
| 2 | Ben James | 83 | 9.9% | 49.4% | 2.4% |
| 3 | Wyndham Clark | 5 | 6.1% | 41.1% | 2.4% |
| 4 | Tom Kim | 30 | 6.4% | 40.9% | 2.4% |
| 5 | Zach Bauchou | 141 | 4.9% | 37.7% | 2.4% |
| 6 | Harry Hall | 71 | 4.0% | 34.1% | 2.4% |
| 7 | Johnny Keefer | 65 | 5.2% | 34.7% | 2.4% |
| 8 | Jordan Smith | 68 | 3.5% | 29.2% | 2.4% |
| 9 | Neal Shipley | 166 | 3.0% | 28.1% | 2.4% |
| 10 | Jackson Suber | 100 | 2.8% | 27.8% | 2.4% |