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Ireland vs Afghanistan - Projections & Predictions · One Day Internationals

IRE 9:45 AM AFG
Bet Builder ↗

Projected win probability

toss pending · blend of both scenarios
IRE
AFG
Total
ground avg 463.3
1st inn
ground avg 251.7
Sixes
ground avg 7.4
Fours
ground avg 43.7
MODEL CONFIDENCE
High

Model vs market

best available odds
Winner
Odds
Implied
Statz edge
Ireland
3.10
32.3%
+1.6%
Afghanistan
1.40
71.4%
-8.3%
Edge = model probability minus market implied probability.
IRE projected boundaries
3 6s
21.7 4s
Ground 6s factor 0.8x
AFG projected boundaries
5.1 6s
23.3 4s
Ground 4s factor 1.08x

Player projections

Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs
Ireland Runs Balls SR 4s 6s Ov Wkts Conc Econ Ct St RO Perf D11
Paul Stirling 35.6 41 86 3.6 1.1 - - - - 0.5 - - 40.1 68.0
Andrew Balbirnie 29.1 39 75 2.8 0.5 - - - - 0.5 - - 34.3 54.9
Cade Carmichael 23.3 27 85 2.4 0.5 - - - - 0.5 - - 28.2 45.6
Harry Tector 35.0 42 82 2.7 0.8 - - - - 0.5 - 0.1 40.0 63.1
Lorcan Tucker 23.5 28 83 2.1 0.3 - - - - 1.2 - 0.1 35.0 50.0
Curtis Campher 26.5 32 82 2.6 0.6 4.2 0.7 22 5.4 0.3 - 0.3 44.1 82.8
Benjamin Calitz 15.3 14 111 1.3 0.7 - - - - 0.0 - - 15.3 29.1
Mark Adair 13.1 14 96 0.9 0.6 8.6 1.9 47 5.5 0.5 - 0.1 56.5 106.8
Gavin Hoey 12.0 21 58 0.8 0.2 9.4 1.7 50 5.3 0.2 - - 47.9 94.3
Liam McCarthy 4.8 5 110 0.3 0.2 5.3 0.6 34 6.4 0.0 - - 16.5 38.4
Byron McDonough 2.6 3 77 0.1 0.1 7.2 1.2 47 6.6 0.3 - - 29.5 60.1
Full squad projections (3 more)
Afghanistan Runs Balls SR 4s 6s Ov Wkts Conc Econ Ct St RO Perf D11
Rahmanullah Gurbaz 36.5 39 95 3.3 1.5 - - - - 0.5 - 0.2 41.6 73.5
Ibrahim Zadran 45.9 56 82 4.3 0.8 - - - - 0.4 - 0.1 49.9 81.5
Sediqullah Atal 40.7 46 89 4.4 0.9 - - - - 0.5 - 0.1 45.6 77.4
Rahmat Shah 25.8 35 74 2.3 0.1 - - - - 0.3 - 0.1 28.6 44.9
Hashmatullah Shahidi 26.6 36 75 2.5 0.2 - - - - 0.2 - 0.1 28.4 46.6
Darwish Rasooli 13.1 13 105 0.7 0.5 - - - - 0.6 - - 19.2 28.0
Azmatullah Omarzai 26.8 27 98 2.0 1.3 5.7 1.4 29 5.2 0.2 - 0.0 55.8 104.4
Rashid Khan 14.5 14 103 1.3 0.6 8.9 1.8 36 4.1 0.4 - 0.1 53.4 107.0
Yamin Ahmadzai 2.9 10 31 0.1 0.0 8.2 1.9 42 5.2 0.5 - - 45.1 87.5
AM Ghazanfar 5.7 6 95 0.4 0.4 6.8 1.2 29 4.2 0.2 - - 30.6 65.7
Ziaur Rahman Sharifi 4.3 6 67 0.4 0.1 4.8 0.5 34 6.9 0.0 - - 13.2 32.4
Full squad projections (7 more)
Rashid Khan AFG 1.8 wkts 107.0 D11 53.4 PP
Mark Adair IRE 1.9 wkts 106.8 D11 56.5 PP
Azmatullah Omarzai AFG 26.8 runs 104.4 D11 55.8 PP
Gavin Hoey IRE 1.7 wkts 94.3 D11 47.9 PP
Yamin Ahmadzai AFG 1.9 wkts 87.5 D11 45.1 PP
Curtis Campher IRE 26.5 runs 82.8 D11 44.1 PP
Ibrahim Zadran AFG 45.9 runs 81.5 D11 49.9 PP
Mohammad Nabi AFG 22.6 runs 80.9 D11 44.0 PP
Track record
56.7% model win rate across 423 settled matches · see history →
Projections generated by the Statz AI engine · v7 · 5 hours ago