Australia vs England 2nd ODI Prediction (15 Nov): Projections & Preview

Adelaide Oval is a ground that rewards aggressive batting. Across the last 6 ODI matches here, the average match total stands at 495.9, with an average first-innings score of 249.6. The pitch is tagged as Balanced by Statz. Teams batting first have won 33.3% of matches at this venue – a significant edge to bowling first.

The projected match total of 522 is 24.2 runs above the Adelaide Oval average of 497.8, suggesting both sides will come out swinging. Australia gain a 3.2-point edge if they bowl first (54.8% win probability versus 51.6% batting first), while England’s position improves marginally by the same margin if they bowl first (45.4% versus 42.2%). The toss will matter here: expect the captain who wins it to bowl.

Australia

Australia have won their last 2, including the opening ODI at Perth three days ago. Their last five matches were played across 1 home and 4 away venues:

• 13 Nov vs ENG (H): W – AUS 132/3 (23.3), ENG 131/10 (33.4)
• 30 Sep vs RSA (A): W – AUS 322/9 (50), RSA 145/4 (28)
• 27 Sep vs RSA (A): L – AUS 333/10 (49.5), RSA 365/9 (50)
• 24 Sep vs RSA (A): L – AUS 230/10 (41.2), RSA 297/8 (50)
• 20 Sep vs ZIM (A): W – AUS 272/9 (49.5), ZIM 271/8 (50)

England

England have lost their last match – the Perth defeat to Australia – and sit 1-0 down in the series. Their last five were spread across 3 away and 2 neutral venues:

• 13 Nov vs AUS (A): L – ENG 131/10 (33.4), AUS 132/3 (23.3)
• 29 Oct vs SRI (N): W – ENG 386/5 (50), SRI 331/10 (45.1)
• 25 Oct vs PAK (A): L – ENG 241/10 (46.4), PAK 243/9 (47.1)
• 22 Oct vs SRI (N): L – ENG 429/4 (50), SRI 430/8 (49.5)
• 20 Oct vs PAK (A): L – ENG 215/10 (38.4), PAK 302/9 (50)

Australia lead the all-time ODI record between these sides 5-11 in England’s favour from 16 meetings. The most recent clash came three days ago at Perth, where Australia won by 7 wickets with 159 balls remaining. Before that, Australia won at the County Ground in September 2024 by 49 runs (D/L Method). England’s last victory came in September 2024 at Lord’s, a 186-run win.

In the last 25 ODI meetings, Travis Head has been Australia’s standout performer with 829 runs across 19 matches, while Adam Zampa leads the bowling with 36 wickets from 7 appearances. For England, Jos Buttler has 508 runs from 17 matches, and Adil Rashid has taken 35 wickets across 13 games.

The Statz projections favour Australia, but England remain very much in this contest.

If Australia bat first: Projected first-innings total of 274.3, match total of 524.4. Win probability – AUS 51.6%, ENG 45.4%, tie/no result 3%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 230 to 314.

If England bat first: Projected first-innings total of 268.2, match total of 519.7. Win probability – AUS 54.8%, ENG 42.2%, tie/no result 3%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 217 to 312.

If Australia bat first their projected first innings of 274.3 is 24.7 runs above the ground’s first-innings average of 249.6; if England bat first their projected first innings of 268.2 is 18.6 runs above the ground’s first-innings average of 249.6. The projected match totals (520-524) sit well above the Adelaide Oval average of 497.8, suggesting a high-scoring contest. Match total P10-P90 range: 445 to 595.

Australia – One Day Internationals 2026

Runs: Cooper Connolly – 435 runs, 39.55 a match, HS 149 | Matt Renshaw – 370 runs, 28.46 a match, HS 109 | Josh Inglis – 357 runs, 32.45 a match, HS 103

Wickets: Nathan Ellis – 22 wickets, 2.2 a match | Adam Zampa – 11 wickets, 0.92 a match | Matt Renshaw – 9 wickets, 0.69 a match

England – One Day Internationals 2026

Runs: Joe Root – 590 runs, 59 a match, HS 111 | Ben Duckett – 400 runs, 40 a match, HS 141 | Harry Brook – 361 runs, 36.1 a match, HS 136

Wickets: Will Jacks – 10 wickets, 1.11 a match | Gus Atkinson – 9 wickets, 1.5 a match | Adil Rashid – 8 wickets, 1.33 a match

Australia (based on XI vs England, 13 Nov 2026)

1. Mitchell Marsh (c)
2. Travis Head
3. Cooper Connolly
4. Josh Inglis (wk)
5. Matt Renshaw
6. Cameron Green
7. Jack Edwards
8. Xavier Bartlett
9. Adam Zampa
10. Spencer Johnson
11. Mahli Beardman

England (based on XI vs Australia, 13 Nov 2026)

1. Tom Banton
2. Ben Duckett
3. Joe Root
4. Harry Brook (c)
5. Jordan Cox (wk)
6. Sam Curran
7. Will Jacks
8. Liam Dawson
9. Jamie Overton
10. Gus Atkinson
11. Jofra Archer

These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Captain: Xavier Bartlett (AUS) – projected 121.6 points. The right-arm seamer has taken a wicket in 87.5% of his matches this season and projects for 2.42 wickets here. His batting cameo adds value across all formats.

Vice Captain: Travis Head (AUS) – projected 105.6 points. The Australian batter has 829 runs in 19 ODIs against England and sits among the competition’s most consistent performers. Projected for 50.5 runs with a strike rate of 117.8.

Also consider:

• Joe Root (ENG) – projected ~100 points – 590 season runs at 59 a match, HS 111
• Mitchell Marsh (AUS) – projected ~97 points – 85.7% hit rate for 20+ runs this season
• Tom Banton (ENG) – projected ~100 points – 75% hit rate for 20+ runs, 58.5 a match

Travis Head (Australia)

The Australian right-hander has been the standout performer in this fixture. With 829 runs across 19 ODIs against England, Head averages well above his season rate. His last three scores of 84, 24 and 0 show a player capable of both explosive and measured innings. He has scored 20+ runs in 85.7% of his matches this season – a strike rate that makes him essential in any Adelaide contest.

Joe Root (England)

England’s leading run-scorer in ODI cricket this year with 590 runs at 59 a match. Root has hit 30+ runs in 70% of his matches this season and scored 20+ in 70% as well. His last three scores of 15, 18 and 17 suggest he is due a big one. Against Australia’s attack, his technical skill and experience will be crucial to England’s hopes.

Nathan Ellis (Australia)

Australia’s leading wicket-taker this season with 22 wickets at 2.2 a match. Ellis has taken a wicket in 80% of his matches and 2+ wickets in 60% of them. His last three returns of 3, 3 and 0 wickets show he is consistently among the runs. Against England’s top order, his pace and accuracy will be vital to Australia’s chances.

Harry Brook (England)

England’s captain for this match and a key middle-order player. Brook has 361 runs at 36.1 a match this season with a high score of 136. His last three scores of 1, 77 and 1 show the volatility of form, but his talent is undeniable. At Adelaide, where runs flow freely, Brook could prove decisive if he gets in.

Australia are the slight favourites here. The Statz model gives them a 53.2% win probability, with England at 43.8%. Australia’s home advantage, their recent form (two straight wins), and the fact they have already won this series 1-0 all point in their direction. However, England showed enough at Perth to suggest they can compete, and the projected totals of 520+ mean nothing is guaranteed.

The toss will matter. Both sides gain a 3.2-point edge if they bowl first, so expect the captain who wins it to put the opposition in. Adelaide Oval’s recent history favours the chasing side – teams batting first have won just 33.3% of matches here.

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture:

• Mitchell Marsh 20+ runs – 85.7% season hit rate. The Australian captain has scored 20+ in 80% of his last 5 matches.
• Nathan Ellis 1+ wicket – 80% season hit rate. He has taken a wicket in 80% of his matches this year.
• Joe Root 20+ runs – 70% season hit rate. England’s leading run-scorer is due a big innings.
• Xavier Bartlett 1+ wicket – 87.5% season hit rate. The seamer has taken a wicket in 80% of his last 5 matches.

Q: Who will win Australia vs England?

A: Australia are favoured at 53.2% win probability to England’s 43.8%, with 3% for a tie or no result. The hosts have momentum, home advantage, and already lead the series 1-0. However, the projected totals of 520+ mean England remain very much in this match.

Q: What is the projected score at Adelaide Oval?

A: The projected match total is 522 runs, which is 24.2 runs above the Adelaide Oval average of 497.8. If Australia bat first, expect around 274 in the first innings; if England bat first, around 268. Both scenarios point to a high-scoring contest.

Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?

A: The toss itself is neutral, but the captain who wins it should bowl first. Teams batting first have won just 33.3% of matches at Adelaide Oval. Both Australia and England gain a 3.2-point edge if they bowl first, so expect the side put in to chase.

Q: Is Australia a good bet?

A: At 53.2% win probability, Australia offer modest value. They have won their last two, including the Perth victory over England, and hold home advantage. However, Adelaide Oval’s recent form favours the chasing side, so the toss outcome will be crucial to the outcome.