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Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leeds - Projections & Predictions · The Hundred

Manchester Super Giants MSG 5:00 PM SL Sunrisers Leeds
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Projected win probability

toss pending · blend of both scenarios
MSG
SL
Total
ground avg 291.4
1st inn
ground avg 149.9
Sixes
ground avg 14.1
Fours
ground avg 23.3
MODEL CONFIDENCE
High

Model vs market

best available odds
Winner
Odds
Implied
Statz edge
Manchester Super Giants Manchester Super Giants
1.91
52.4%
-6%
Sunrisers Leeds Sunrisers Leeds
1.91
52.4%
-5.2%
Edge = model probability minus market implied probability.
MSG projected boundaries
8.6 6s
13.4 4s
Ground 6s factor 1.37x
SL projected boundaries
8.8 6s
12.8 4s
Ground 4s factor 1.12x

Player projections

Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs
Manchester Super Giants Runs Balls SR 4s 6s B Wkts Conc Econ Ct St RO Perf D11
Tim Seifert 41.4 25 168 4.0 2.0 - - - - 0.4 - - 45.3 61.9
Jos Buttler 38.5 25 153 3.1 2.1 - - - - 0.8 - 0.1 46.7 62.0
Leus du Plooy 18.8 14 130 1.5 0.6 - - - - 0.6 - - 24.6 31.4
Heinrich Klaasen 22.6 16 143 1.5 1.3 - - - - 0.3 - - 25.4 34.9
Paul Walter 16.0 11 149 1.2 1.0 15 0.8 25 13.3 0.7 - - 38.3 51.0
Michael Bracewell 6.5 6 103 0.4 0.2 11 0.8 20 13.0 0.1 - - 24.5 35.9
Liam Dawson 7.9 6 129 0.7 0.2 18 0.9 27 10.6 0.2 - 0.0 28.4 40.9
Gus Atkinson 5.5 5 103 0.7 0.0 21 1.7 32 11.2 0.4 - 0.1 43.6 63.5
Noor Ahmad 3.1 3 109 0.3 0.1 21 0.5 35 11.9 0.3 - - 16.5 24.8
Josh Tongue 3.4 4 90 0.3 0.0 21 1.9 31 10.6 0.1 - - 41.7 63.1
Sonny Baker 2.1 4 56 0.1 0.0 19 1.5 31 11.5 0.3 - 0.1 34.4 51.4
Full squad projections (8 more)
Sunrisers Leeds Runs Balls SR 4s 6s B Wkts Conc Econ Ct St RO Perf D11
Ryan Rickelton 35.4 20 178 2.7 2.4 - - - - 0.5 - - 40.6 55.5
Zak Crawley 26.2 18 146 2.6 1.1 - - - - 0.4 - 0.0 30.5 41.5
Mitchell Marsh 43.1 26 169 3.9 2.9 - - - - 0.1 - - 44.2 63.6
Harry Brook 30.8 18 172 2.7 1.7 - - - - 0.4 - 0.0 35.0 48.0
Daniel Lawrence 18.5 13 146 1.6 0.7 8 0.1 12 16.0 0.2 - 0.1 22.9 31.8
Matthew Revis 9.0 6 146 0.7 0.3 - - - - 1.0 - - 18.8 22.4
Brydon Carse 8.2 7 119 0.8 0.2 15 1.0 29 12.7 0.2 - - 30.8 43.8
Matty Potts 7.6 6 129 0.7 0.2 21 0.9 33 11.6 0.3 - 0.1 29.0 41.7
Nathan Ellis 2.1 3 63 0.2 0.0 19 1.2 31 10.0 0.3 - 0.0 29.0 42.9
Tom Lawes 2.4 5 44 0.0 0.0 13 1.0 31 14.5 0.4 - - 26.0 37.0
Abrar Ahmed 4.4 4 121 0.2 0.3 16 0.4 31 12.8 0.1 - - 14.0 21.7
Full squad projections (6 more)
Mitchell Marsh SL 43.1 runs 63.6 D11 44.2 PP
Gus Atkinson MSG 1.7 wkts 63.5 D11 43.6 PP
Josh Tongue MSG 1.9 wkts 63.1 D11 41.7 PP
Jos Buttler MSG 38.5 runs 62.0 D11 46.7 PP
Tim Seifert MSG 41.4 runs 61.9 D11 45.3 PP
Ryan Rickelton SL 35.4 runs 55.5 D11 40.6 PP
Sonny Baker MSG 1.5 wkts 51.4 D11 34.4 PP
Paul Walter MSG 16.0 runs 51.0 D11 38.3 PP
Track record
56.7% model win rate across 423 settled matches · see history →
Projections generated by the Statz AI engine · v2 · 4 hours ago