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England vs Sri Lanka - Projections & Predictions · T20 Internationals

England

W W W W W

2nd T20I

T20 Internationals · 2nd T20I · Sophia Gardens

5:30 PM UTC

Thu, Sep 17 · Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Sophia Gardens

Sri Lanka

L L W L L

ENG lead H2H 14–1 337 avg total here 57.0% boundary rate 16°C, fair Dawson 6 straight wickets (1+)

ENGEngland 5:30 PM SLSri Lanka T20 Internationals · 2nd T20I · Sophia Gardens

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Projected win probability

toss pending · blend of both scenarios

ENG

Projected totalTotal

ground avg 336.7

1st innings1st inn

ground avg 179.0

Match sixesSixes

ground avg 12.6

Match foursFours

ground avg 29.1

MODEL CONFIDENCE

High

Model vs market

best available odds

Winner

Odds

Implied

Statz edge

England

1.14

87.7%

-20.7%

Sri Lanka

6.00

16.7%

+14.4%

Edge = model probability minus market implied probability.

ENG projected boundaries

8.4 6s

16.8 4s

Ground 6s factor 0.93x

SL projected boundaries

5.3 6s

15.9 4s

Ground 4s factor 1.09x

Player projections

expected XI · per-player output

Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs

England	Runs	Balls	SR	4s	6s	Ov	Wkts	Conc	Econ	Ct	St	RO	Perf	D11
Tom Banton	21.2	15	139	2.1	0.8	-	-	-	-	0.9	-	0.1	29.7	49.9
Will Jacks	26.1	16	166	2.2	1.5	2.0	0.6	18	9.0	0.5	-	0.0	42.6	86.5
Aneurin Donald	26.4	12	214	2.7	1.8	-	-	-	-	0.6	-	0.1	32.1	65.9
Jos Buttler	32.9	21	161	3.2	1.6	-	-	-	-	1.2	-	0.2	44.9	78.8
Jordan Cox	21.0	16	132	1.8	0.9	-	-	-	-	0.7	-	0.1	27.8	46.8
Harry Brook	28.5	16	181	2.4	1.4	-	-	-	-	0.5	-	0.1	33.3	64.3
Liam Dawson	15.5	11	141	1.3	0.5	3.4	0.9	29	8.5	0.4	-	0.0	36.8	78.1
Jamie Overton	12.2	9	137	1.0	0.5	2.9	1.5	28	9.5	0.5	-	0.0	46.4	89.5
Adil Rashid	5.7	5	120	0.5	0.3	3.6	1.2	30	8.3	0.3	-	-	32.4	71.3
Josh Tongue	2.7	3	100	0.1	0.1	3.4	1.3	33	9.8	0.1	-	0.1	30.4	67.7
Sonny Baker	3.5	4	95	0.2	0.1	3.8	2.4	34	8.9	0.2	-	-	53.1	108.5
▾ Full squad projections (11 more)
Jofra Archer	6.6	5	142	0.5	0.4	3.8	1.7	37	9.9	0.4	-	0.1	45.2	93.2
James Coles	27.1	18	148	2.3	1.0	2.8	0.7	26	9.2	0.5	-	0.1	45.7	90.4
Sam Curran	22.3	16	137	1.8	0.9	2.5	1.0	26	10.2	0.8	-	0.0	49.1	89.2
Saqib Mahmood	2.9	4	68	0.1	0.1	3.7	1.8	34	9.1	0.2	-	-	40.6	86.3
Rehan Ahmed	16.9	13	133	1.7	0.9	2.9	0.8	27	9.1	0.3	-	0.1	35.6	77.7
Brydon Carse	10.0	8	131	0.5	0.5	3.1	1.2	29	9.3	0.5	-	-	39.2	77.4
Luke Wood	4.2	4	103	0.3	0.1	3.5	1.3	32	9.4	0.4	-	0.0	33.9	71.4
Gus Atkinson	4.1	5	80	0.2	0.0	3.2	1.3	33	10.3	0.3	-	0.1	32.5	66.3
Ben Duckett	25.8	17	154	3.3	0.6	-	-	-	-	0.7	-	0.0	33.2	59.0
Philip Salt	26.1	17	151	2.6	1.1	-	-	-	-	0.6	-	-	32.1	58.3
Jacob Bethell	19.5	13	147	1.8	1.0	0.6	0.3	6	9.5	0.6	-	0.1	30.0	55.8

Sri Lanka	Runs	Balls	SR	4s	6s	Ov	Wkts	Conc	Econ	Ct	St	RO	Perf	D11
Pathum Nissanka	26.2	17	152	2.7	1.2	-	-	-	-	0.3	-	-	28.8	56.5
Kamil Mishara	21.6	17	128	2.1	0.9	-	-	-	-	0.2	-	0.2	23.3	44.0
Lahiru Udara	26.8	21	135	2.4	1.0	-	-	-	-	0.0	-	-	26.8	50.9
Kamindu Mendis	16.6	13	130	1.1	0.8	0.8	0.2	7	9.8	0.5	-	0.1	26.0	45.9
Charith Asalanka	15.0	12	122	0.9	0.7	0.7	0.1	7	9.6	0.3	-	0.0	20.6	38.0
Dasun Shanaka	23.3	13	178	1.4	1.9	1.4	0.6	17	12.0	0.5	-	0.0	39.8	81.2
Wanindu Hasaranga	8.6	7	129	0.7	0.4	3.8	1.3	33	8.7	0.4	-	0.1	39.1	82.6
Dunith Wellalage	16.4	14	117	2.1	0.3	3.6	1.0	33	9.2	0.4	-	-	39.6	82.4
Dushmantha Chameera	2.2	5	48	0.0	0.1	3.6	1.8	37	10.4	0.3	-	0.0	41.4	83.9
Maheesh Theekshana	3.2	6	58	0.2	0.0	3.8	0.9	36	9.6	0.3	-	-	23.8	56.2
Eshan Malinga	3.6	4	96	0.1	0.2	3.7	1.5	41	11.1	0.3	-	0.1	36.7	74.1
▾ Full squad projections (18 more)
Milan Rathnayake	36.0	61	59	4.1	0.6	4.0	0.6	17	4.2	0.6	-	-	54.4	112.7
Binura Fernando	3.9	4	93	0.2	0.1	3.5	1.7	32	8.9	0.2	-	0.0	40.2	84.7
Pramod Madushan	3.2	4	89	0.2	0.1	3.1	1.6	33	10.6	0.4	-	-	39.2	75.9
Matheesha Pathirana	1.4	2	59	0.0	0.0	3.1	1.5	33	10.7	0.2	-	-	32.6	66.5
Vijayakanth Viyaskanth	3.9	5	78	0.1	0.0	3.5	1.2	33	9.5	0.3	-	0.1	30.9	66.2
Kusal Mendis	31.6	22	147	3.0	1.2	-	-	-	-	0.5	-	0.2	36.5	65.6
Tharindu Ratnayake	4.8	5	110	0.3	0.2	3.6	1.0	28	7.8	0.0	-	-	25.2	61.7
Dushan Hemantha	5.3	6	83	0.4	0.0	3.4	1.1	36	10.7	0.5	-	-	31.3	61.6
Nuwan Thushara	0.3	3	13	0.0	0.0	3.6	1.3	38	10.6	0.2	-	0.0	27.5	61.1
Dhananjaya de Silva	18.1	15	121	1.7	0.5	1.1	0.4	10	8.7	0.6	-	0.1	31.5	55.2
Dilshan Madushanka	0.4	2	21	0.0	0.0	3.4	1.1	40	11.8	0.2	-	0.1	25.4	54.3
Asitha Fernando	3.3	2	138	0.4	0.1	3.3	0.8	39	11.9	0.3	-	-	23.2	48.5
Lasith Croospulle	24.9	19	138	2.2	0.9	-	-	-	-	0.0	-	-	24.9	47.0
Kusal Perera	19.2	14	136	1.9	0.6	-	-	-	-	0.4	-	0.0	22.8	40.8
Pavan Rathnayake	17.6	13	134	1.8	0.5	-	-	-	-	0.2	-	0.1	19.3	36.9
Traveen Mathews	4.8	5	110	0.3	0.2	3.3	0.3	35	10.5	0.0	-	-	10.5	32.6
Bhanuka Rajapaksa	15.2	12	122	1.3	0.6	-	-	-	-	0.3	-	0.0	17.8	31.3
Janith Liyanage	15.6	15	107	1.2	0.3	-	-	-	-	0.5	-	-	20.5	30.8

Milan Rathnayake SL 36.0 runs 112.7 D11 54.4 PP

Sonny Baker ENG 2.4 wkts 108.5 D11 53.1 PP

Jofra Archer ENG 1.7 wkts 93.2 D11 45.2 PP

James Coles ENG 27.1 runs 90.4 D11 45.7 PP

Jamie Overton ENG 1.5 wkts 89.5 D11 46.4 PP

Sam Curran ENG 22.3 runs 89.2 D11 49.1 PP

Will Jacks ENG 26.1 runs 86.5 D11 42.6 PP

Saqib Mahmood ENG 1.8 wkts 86.3 D11 40.6 PP

Track record

58% model win rate across 512 settled matches · see history →

Projections generated by the Statz AI engine · v19 · 14 minutes ago

Track record

58%model win rate · 512 matches

See every past projection →

Next: Dream11

These projections power the optimal fantasy XI for this match.

Who is playing in England vs Sri Lanka?

Confirmed XIs are announced around the toss, ~30 minutes before the start. Based on their last matches, England are likely to field Jos Buttler, Aneurin Donald, Harry Brook, Tom Banton and 7 more, and Sri Lanka Pathum Nissanka, Kamil Mishara, Lahiru Udara, Charith Asalanka and 7 more — full predicted XIs and squads are on this page.

Who leads the England vs Sri Lanka head-to-head record?

England lead 14–1 from 15 matches.

What is England's current form in 2026?

England have won 8 and lost 0 from 9 matches in 2026, averaging 165.3 runs per match.

What is Sri Lanka's current form in 2026?

Sri Lanka have won 2 and lost 7 from 10 matches in 2026, averaging 137.1 runs per match.

Where is England vs Sri Lanka being played?

England vs Sri Lanka is being played at Sophia Gardens on 17 Sep 2026 at 23:00 IST.

Who are the top run-scorers in England vs Sri Lanka head-to-head matches?

The top run-scorers in England vs Sri Lanka H2H are Jos Buttler (454 runs), Dasun Shanaka (198 runs), Harry Brook (188 runs).

Who are the top wicket-takers in England vs Sri Lanka head-to-head matches?

The top wicket-takers in England vs Sri Lanka H2H are Adil Rashid (18 wkts), Dushmantha Chameera (14 wkts), Chris Jordan (13 wkts).

Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for England and Sri Lanka?

The leading run-scorers in 2026 are Harry Brook (490 runs), Jos Buttler (289 runs), Dasun Shanaka (285 runs).

Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for England and Sri Lanka?

The leading wicket-takers in 2026 are Adil Rashid (14 wkts), Dushmantha Chameera (14 wkts), Jofra Archer (12 wkts).

Where are England and Sri Lanka in the standings?

England are 2nd with 10186 points and Sri Lanka are 9th with 9703 points.

What is the pitch like at Sophia Gardens?

At Sophia Gardens, 61.5% of wickets fall to seam and 32.2% to spin. The average match total is 303.5 runs with a first-innings average of 162.1. There are an average of 8.8 sixes per match and teams batting first have won 50.8% of matches.

What is England's record at Sophia Gardens?

England have won 5 and lost 2 from 8 matches at Sophia Gardens.

What is Sri Lanka's record at Sophia Gardens?

Sri Lanka have won 0 and lost 2 from 2 matches at Sophia Gardens.

What is the weather forecast at Sophia Gardens for England vs Sri Lanka?

The forecast at Sophia Gardens for England vs Sri Lanka is Fair, 16°C, humidity 70%, wind 9 km/h.

England vs Sri Lanka - Projections & Predictions · T20 Internationals

The Statz verdict

Head-to-head record

Season comparison

Projected win probability

Model vs market

Player projections

Sophia Gardens, Cardiff

Last 5 matches here

Hit rates: who delivers?

Top performers in this fixture

Full squads

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is playing in England vs Sri Lanka?

Who leads the England vs Sri Lanka head-to-head record?

What is England's current form in 2026?

What is Sri Lanka's current form in 2026?

Where is England vs Sri Lanka being played?

Who are the top run-scorers in England vs Sri Lanka head-to-head matches?

Who are the top wicket-takers in England vs Sri Lanka head-to-head matches?

Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for England and Sri Lanka?

Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for England and Sri Lanka?

Where are England and Sri Lanka in the standings?

What is the pitch like at Sophia Gardens?

What is England's record at Sophia Gardens?

What is Sri Lanka's record at Sophia Gardens?

What is the weather forecast at Sophia Gardens for England vs Sri Lanka?

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England vs Sri Lanka - Projections & Predictions · T20 Internationals

The Statz verdict

Head-to-head record

Season comparison

Projected win probability

Model vs market

Player projections

Sophia Gardens, Cardiff

Last 5 matches here

Hit rates: who delivers?

Top performers in this fixture

Full squads

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is playing in England vs Sri Lanka?

Who leads the England vs Sri Lanka head-to-head record?

What is England's current form in 2026?

What is Sri Lanka's current form in 2026?

Where is England vs Sri Lanka being played?

Who are the top run-scorers in England vs Sri Lanka head-to-head matches?

Who are the top wicket-takers in England vs Sri Lanka head-to-head matches?

Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for England and Sri Lanka?

Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for England and Sri Lanka?

Where are England and Sri Lanka in the standings?

What is the pitch like at Sophia Gardens?

What is England's record at Sophia Gardens?

What is Sri Lanka's record at Sophia Gardens?

What is the weather forecast at Sophia Gardens for England vs Sri Lanka?

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