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Warwickshire vs Leicestershire - Projections & Predictions · County Championship Division One 2026

Warwickshire WAR 9:30 AM LEI Leicestershire

Projected win probability

toss pending · blend of both scenarios
WAR
LEI
Middle segment = projected draw
Total
1st inn
Sixes
Fours
MODEL CONFIDENCE
High

Model vs market

best available odds
Winner
Odds
Implied
Statz edge
Warwickshire Warwickshire
1.40
71.4%
-37.5%
Leicestershire Leicestershire
2.90
34.5%
-9.2%
Edge = model probability minus market implied probability.
WAR projected boundaries
3.2 6s
46.3 4s
LEI projected boundaries
1.8 6s
40.1 4s

Player projections

Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs
Warwickshire Runs Balls SR 4s 6s Ov Wkts Conc Econ Ct St RO Perf D11
Alex Davies 51.9 91 57 7.4 0.4 - - - - 1.7 - - 69.1 106.7
Robert Yates 61.1 120 51 8.9 0.2 10.4 0.6 32 3.1 1.8 - - 92.2 137.6
Sam Hain 82.2 184 45 8.6 0.5 - - - - 1.0 - 0.0 92.1 141.5
Beau Webster 60.6 100 60 7.5 0.7 19.9 1.7 64 3.2 0.9 - - 103.5 150.7
Dan Mousley 51.1 86 60 7.3 0.3 3.5 0.2 14 3.8 0.7 - - 61.1 100.0
Zen Malik 45.5 89 51 5.6 0.6 - - - - 0.7 - - 52.7 85.3
Ed Barnard 68.8 112 61 8.5 0.6 21.0 2.2 62 3.0 0.5 - 0.1 116.7 171.6
Jordan Thompson 33.4 54 62 4.0 0.8 23.6 2.7 74 3.1 0.2 - 0.0 90.3 125.0
Manav Suthar 25.3 37 68 3.3 0.8 23.7 2.2 130 5.5 0.5 - - 73.9 102.0
Ethan Bamber 21.4 40 53 2.6 0.5 33.4 4.2 94 2.8 0.2 - 0.0 107.6 138.9
Nathan Gilchrist 12.2 30 40 1.9 0.2 26.1 3.7 98 3.8 0.2 - 0.0 87.6 110.9
Full squad projections (14 more)
Leicestershire Runs Balls SR 4s 6s Ov Wkts Conc Econ Ct St RO Perf D11
Nick Kelly 54.0 83 65 6.5 1.4 - - - - 1.0 - - 64.1 105.6
Rishi Patel 59.8 99 61 8.9 0.4 3.0 0.1 9 3.1 0.8 - - 69.6 116.8
Sheridon Gumbs 29.8 56 53 3.0 0.5 - - - - 0.5 - - 34.9 54.8
Lewis Hill 58.1 113 52 7.0 0.1 - - - - 0.4 - 0.0 62.2 100.1
Rehan Ahmed 69.5 93 75 9.9 0.7 19.9 2.2 50 2.5 0.3 - - 116.6 178.0
Ben Green 25.3 53 48 3.2 0.3 24.0 3.1 63 2.6 0.3 - - 89.9 117.3
Ben Cox 55.9 93 60 7.2 0.3 - - - - 3.0 - 0.1 85.8 120.5
Joey Evison 46.0 93 50 5.8 0.6 17.8 1.8 58 3.3 0.4 - - 84.8 123.4
Josh Davey 25.6 54 47 3.2 0.3 20.2 2.7 63 3.1 0.3 - 0.0 82.5 109.0
Ajaz Patel 20.9 38 54 3.0 0.0 32.4 2.1 110 3.4 0.1 - - 63.9 85.8
Alex Green 4.7 11 42 0.4 0.1 10.3 1.5 64 6.2 0.0 - - 35.1 45.6
Full squad projections (13 more)
Rehan Ahmed LEI 69.5 runs 178.0 D11 116.6 PP
Ed Barnard WAR 68.8 runs 171.6 D11 116.7 PP
Keith Barker WAR 40.1 runs 155.7 D11 115.3 PP
Ashton Turner LEI 86.9 runs 152.6 D11 96.6 PP
Beau Webster WAR 60.6 runs 150.7 D11 103.5 PP
Chris Woakes WAR 40.3 runs 148.4 D11 106.0 PP
Sam Hain WAR 82.2 runs 141.5 D11 92.1 PP
Jake Weatherald LEI 77.6 runs 139.7 D11 79.4 PP
Track record
57.9% model win rate across 530 settled matches · see history →
Projections generated by the Statz AI engine · v3 · 1 month ago

Warwickshire vs Leicestershire: preview and key facts

Warwickshire play Leicestershire on Thursday 24 September in County Championship Division One 2026. Confirmed XIs land around the toss; until then this page shows each side's likely team and full squad.

More on this match


Frequently asked questions

Who is playing in Warwickshire vs Leicestershire?

Confirmed XIs are announced around the toss, about 30 minutes before the start. Based on their last matches, Warwickshire are likely to field Robert Yates, Zen Malik, Dan Mousley, Sam Hain and 7 more, and Leicestershire Rishi Patel, Sheridon Gumbs, Rehan Ahmed, Hamza Shaikh and 7 more. The full predicted XIs and squads are on this page.

What is Warwickshire's current form in 2026?

Warwickshire have won 6 and lost 1 of their 13 matches in 2026, averaging 290.6 runs per match.

What is Leicestershire's current form in 2026?

Leicestershire have won 3 and lost 6 of their 13 matches in 2026, averaging 317.8 runs per match.

When and where is Warwickshire vs Leicestershire being played?

Warwickshire vs Leicestershire is being played on Thursday 24 September 2026, starting 09:30 UTC (15:00 IST).

Who are the in-form batters for Warwickshire and Leicestershire?

Across each side's last 10 matches, the leading run-scorers are Sam Hain (442 runs), Ed Barnard (362 runs) and Robert Yates (295 runs).

Who are the in-form bowlers for Warwickshire and Leicestershire?

Across each side's last 10 matches, the leading wicket-takers are Ethan Bamber (30 wickets), Oliver Hannon-Dalby (17 wickets) and Ian Holland (17 wickets).

Where are Warwickshire and Leicestershire in the standings?

Warwickshire are 4th with 72 points and Leicestershire are 10th with 32 points.