Glamorgan vs Essex - Projections & Predictions · County Championship Division One 2026
Glamorgan
W
L
L
D
L
Division 1
County Championship Division One · Division 1
9:30 AM UTC
Thu, Sep 24
Essex
L
L
L
D
L
Snater 13 straight wickets (1+)
GLAGlamorgan
9:30 AM
ESSEssex
County Championship Division One · Division 1
Projected win probability
toss pending · blend of both scenarios
GLA
ESS
Middle segment = projected draw
Projected totalTotal
1st innings1st inn
Match sixesSixes
Match foursFours
MODEL CONFIDENCE
High
Model vs market
best available oddsWinner
Odds
Implied
Statz edge
Glamorgan2.00
50%
-22.7%
Essex1.80
55.6%
-26.8%
Edge = model probability minus market implied probability.
GLA projected boundaries
1.2 6s
34.2 4s
ESS projected boundaries
2.7 6s
39 4s
Player projections
Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs
| Glamorgan | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | Ov | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiran Carlson | 70.3 | 122 | 58 | 8.3 | 0.5 | 4.4 | 0.4 | 15 | 3.4 | 1.0 | - | - | 87.0 | 134.6 |
| Colin Ingram | 69.3 | 122 | 57 | 8.2 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 1.2 | - | - | 80.9 | 127.0 |
| Billy Root | 15.0 | 28 | 54 | 1.6 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 1.0 | - | - | 24.6 | 34.0 |
| Sean Dickson | 35.9 | 72 | 50 | 4.6 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | - | 0.1 | 41.3 | 66.6 |
| Asa Tribe | 55.2 | 98 | 56 | 7.8 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 4 | 5.4 | 1.5 | - | - | 70.1 | 108.8 |
| Ben Kellaway | 66.8 | 115 | 58 | 7.8 | 0.4 | 18.9 | 1.4 | 53 | 2.8 | 0.5 | - | 0.1 | 99.8 | 149.3 |
| Chris Cooke | 41.5 | 81 | 51 | 4.4 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 2.5 | - | - | 66.6 | 88.8 |
| Timm van der Gugten | 25.9 | 63 | 41 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 28.5 | 3.3 | 71 | 2.5 | 0.2 | - | - | 93.7 | 120.3 |
| Mason Crane | 29.5 | 69 | 43 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 23.0 | 2.1 | 88 | 3.8 | 0.2 | - | 0.0 | 72.9 | 97.0 |
| Tom Norton | 10.6 | 26 | 41 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 23.2 | 4.9 | 105 | 4.5 | 0.2 | - | - | 110.8 | 137.7 |
| Jamie McIlroy | 4.7 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 27 | 7.7 | 0.5 | - | - | 19.8 | 26.4 |
| Ryan Hadley | 13.9 | 59 | 24 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 24.9 | 3.6 | 85 | 3.4 | 0.1 | - | - | 87.7 | 109.6 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (14 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Nathan McAndrew | 33.9 | 72 | 47 | 4.9 | 0.3 | 26.2 | 3.3 | 83 | 3.2 | 0.3 | - | - | 102.1 | 138.4 |
| Zain Ul Hassan | 37.6 | 96 | 39 | 5.0 | 0.1 | 16.7 | 1.4 | 46 | 2.8 | 0.4 | - | 0.1 | 68.5 | 98.9 |
| Andy Gorvin | 21.0 | 63 | 34 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 19.1 | 2.6 | 62 | 3.2 | 0.6 | - | - | 78.1 | 98.2 |
| Ned Leonard | 15.0 | 29 | 51 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 19.3 | 2.0 | 75 | 3.9 | 0.2 | - | - | 56.4 | 75.0 |
| Eddie Byrom | 32.6 | 78 | 42 | 4.6 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.7 | - | - | 39.5 | 63.0 |
| Alex Horton | 16.7 | 13 | 135 | 1.4 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 19.7 | 34.2 |
| Henry Hurle | 16.7 | 13 | 135 | 1.4 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 19.7 | 34.2 |
| Daniel Douthwaite | 9.3 | 7 | 130 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 27 | 7.7 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 22.3 | 33.8 |
| Ben Morris | 9.3 | 7 | 130 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 27 | 7.7 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 22.3 | 33.8 |
| Callum Nicholls | 9.3 | 7 | 130 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 27 | 7.7 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 22.3 | 33.8 |
| Jack Hope-Bell | 9.3 | 7 | 130 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 27 | 7.7 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 22.3 | 33.8 |
| Fazalhaq Farooqi | 4.7 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 27 | 7.7 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.7 | 26.1 |
| Will Smale | 4.7 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 27 | 7.7 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.7 | 26.1 |
| Romano Franco | 4.7 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 27 | 7.7 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.7 | 26.1 |
| Essex | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | Ov | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Elgar | 61.6 | 124 | 50 | 8.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.7 | - | - | 68.2 | 111.1 |
| Tom Westley | 60.8 | 132 | 46 | 8.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | - | 63.9 | 107.0 |
| Michael Pepper | 38.6 | 63 | 61 | 4.7 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 2.8 | - | 0.0 | 66.6 | 88.9 |
| Paul Walter | 56.8 | 99 | 58 | 7.3 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 12 | 4.0 | 0.9 | - | 0.0 | 72.6 | 114.5 |
| Charlie Allison | 61.4 | 110 | 56 | 8.1 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | 0.1 | 65.4 | 112.3 |
| Matthew Critchley | 59.6 | 100 | 59 | 7.2 | 0.6 | 14.7 | 1.6 | 48 | 3.3 | 0.6 | - | - | 97.4 | 142.9 |
| Luc Benkenstein | 25.4 | 61 | 42 | 3.6 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.7 | - | - | 31.9 | 50.0 |
| Simon Harmer | 32.9 | 70 | 47 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 36.9 | 2.9 | 94 | 2.6 | 1.2 | - | - | 103.1 | 133.1 |
| Shane Snater | 23.0 | 34 | 68 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 23.7 | 3.1 | 69 | 2.9 | 0.4 | - | 0.0 | 88.1 | 115.0 |
| James Porter | 5.8 | 19 | 31 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 4.7 | 239 | 2.5 | 0.4 | - | 0.0 | 103.1 | 125.6 |
| Charlie Bennett | 11.5 | 24 | 49 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 17.4 | 2.2 | 83 | 4.8 | 0.0 | - | - | 55.7 | 74.6 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (9 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Wiaan Mulder | 43.9 | 77 | 57 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 21.1 | 3.1 | 66 | 3.1 | 0.2 | - | 0.1 | 106.5 | 146.7 |
| Jordan Cox | 77.6 | 120 | 65 | 10.4 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 1.1 | - | - | 88.2 | 144.6 |
| Samuel Cook | 12.6 | 29 | 44 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 27.5 | 4.3 | 71 | 2.6 | 0.4 | - | 0.0 | 101.4 | 124.4 |
| Zaman Akhter | 31.9 | 50 | 64 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 19.0 | 2.2 | 121 | 6.4 | 0.2 | - | 0.1 | 77.3 | 108.9 |
| Noah Thain | 25.6 | 64 | 40 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 1.1 | 50 | 4.6 | 0.3 | - | - | 49.8 | 70.8 |
| Simon Fernandes | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 4.0 | - | 1.0 | 44.9 | 52.8 |
| Robin Das | 20.0 | 50 | 40 | 2.6 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.8 | - | - | 27.6 | 40.6 |
| Mackenzie Jones | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 26 | 7.4 | 1.0 | - | - | 24.7 | 30.4 |
| Mitchell Killeen | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 26 | 7.4 | 0.0 | - | - | 14.9 | 22.6 |
Ben Kellaway GLA
66.8 runs
149.3 D11
99.8 PP
Wiaan Mulder ESS
43.9 runs
146.7 D11
106.5 PP
Jordan Cox ESS
77.6 runs
144.6 D11
88.2 PP
Matthew Critchley ESS
59.6 runs
142.9 D11
97.4 PP
Nathan McAndrew GLA
33.9 runs
138.4 D11
102.1 PP
Tom Norton GLA
4.9 wkts
137.7 D11
110.8 PP
Kiran Carlson GLA
70.3 runs
134.6 D11
87.0 PP
Simon Harmer ESS
32.9 runs
133.1 D11
103.1 PP
Track record
57.9% model win rate across 530 settled matches · see history →
Projections generated by the Statz AI engine
· v3 · 1 month ago
Next: Dream11
These projections power the optimal fantasy XI for this match.
Glamorgan vs Essex: preview and key facts
Glamorgan play Essex on Thursday 24 September in County Championship Division One 2026. Confirmed XIs land around the toss; until then this page shows each side's likely team and full squad.
Frequently asked questions
Who is playing in Glamorgan vs Essex?
Confirmed XIs are announced around the toss, about 30 minutes before the start. Based on their last matches, Glamorgan are likely to field Zain Ul Hassan, Asa Tribe, Jack Hope-Bell, Kiran Carlson and 7 more, and Essex Dean Elgar, Paul Walter, Tom Westley, Noah Thain and 7 more. The full predicted XIs and squads are on this page.
What is Glamorgan's current form in 2026?
Glamorgan have won 4 and lost 5 of their 13 matches in 2026, averaging 246.2 runs per match.
What is Essex's current form in 2026?
Essex have won 4 and lost 7 of their 13 matches in 2026, averaging 253.4 runs per match.
When and where is Glamorgan vs Essex being played?
Glamorgan vs Essex is being played on Thursday 24 September 2026, starting 09:30 UTC (15:00 IST).
Who are the in-form batters for Glamorgan and Essex?
Across each side's last 10 matches, the leading run-scorers are Ben Kellaway (376 runs), Dean Elgar (342 runs) and Kiran Carlson (340 runs).
Who are the in-form bowlers for Glamorgan and Essex?
Across each side's last 10 matches, the leading wicket-takers are Timm van der Gugten (21 wickets), Shane Snater (21 wickets) and Samuel Cook (17 wickets).
Where are Glamorgan and Essex in the standings?
Glamorgan are 5th with 72 points and Essex are 6th with 56 points.