Major League Soccer xG Table 2025

Which sides have got more from their chances than they deserved, and which have got less.

Updated 6 December 2025, after the last game

Who the Major League Soccer xG table says is due a correction

Atlanta United have the biggest shortfall in the Major League Soccer: 28 points from chances worth 45.8 xPts, a gap of 17.8. At the other end, Cincinnati have taken 65 points from an xPts figure of 43.6, 21.4 more than the underlying numbers justify.

How these xG numbers are calculated

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a team creates and concedes, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. Expected points come from running each finished match through a Poisson model using both sides' xG, giving a win, draw and loss probability, then awarding three points and one point against those probabilities. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks.

Major League Soccer 2025 xG table, Home

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps174242.5-0.52017.1+2.9+2225.4-3.43435.9-1.9
2Philadelphia Union173637.2-1.21515.3-0.3+2121.9-0.94035.7+4.3
3Los Angeles FC173132.7-1.71314.3-1.3+1818.4-0.43533.7+1.3
4Columbus Crew172933.3-4.32017.8+2.2+915.5-6.53233.2-1.2
5San Diego172528.9-3.91714.2+2.8+814.7-6.72633.1-7.1
6Nashville SC173635.8+0.21719.4-2.4+1916.5+2.53632.3+3.7
7Inter Miami174435.5+8.52622.0+4.0+1813.6+4.43631.3+4.7
8Seattle Sounders173832.2+5.82022.4-2.4+189.9+8.13629.0+7.0
9SJ Earthquakes173734.6+2.43225.4+6.6+59.3-4.32128.6-7.6
10Orlando City173629.8+6.22622.9+3.1+106.8+3.22828.4-0.4
11Colorado Rapids172532.7-7.72121.1-0.1+411.7-7.72828.3-0.3
12St. Louis City172332.0-9.02823.1+4.9-58.9-13.91827.5-9.5
13New York City172828.7-0.72120.7+0.3+78.1-1.13327.5+5.5
14New York RB173629.8+6.22322.6+0.4+137.2+5.83327.1+5.9
15Minnesota United172925.2+3.82020.5-0.5+94.7+4.32826.7+1.3
16Austin171824.3-6.31619.8-3.8+24.4-2.42826.7+1.3
17Atlanta United172928.3+0.72923.5+5.5+04.9-4.92026.2-6.2
18Chicago Fire172530.1-5.12526.2-1.2+03.9-3.92425.9-1.9
19Real Salt Lake172324.3-1.32121.5-0.5+22.8-0.82825.8+2.2
20Houston Dynamo172025.2-5.23021.1+8.9-104.1-14.11825.7-7.7
21Cincinnati172724.6+2.41922.1-3.1+82.5+5.53025.1+4.9
22LA Galaxy172727.3-0.32825.8+2.2-11.5-2.52324.4-1.4
23Charlotte173326.8+6.21627.4-11.4+17-0.6+17.64023.8+16.2
24Portland Timbers172526.7-1.72626.4-0.4-10.3-1.32723.4+3.6
25Dallas172521.6+3.42523.0+2.0+0-1.3+1.32123.2-2.2
26DC United171320.2-7.23121.7+9.3-18-1.5-16.51322.2-9.2
27Sporting KC172526.0-1.03228.6+3.4-7-2.6-4.41721.8-4.8
28CF Montréal171421.0-7.03324.9+8.1-19-3.8-15.21221.2-9.2
29New England172019.9+0.12522.3+2.7-5-2.4-2.61621.0-5.0
30Toronto171718.7-1.71926.5-7.5-2-7.8+5.81618.7-2.7

Major League Soccer 2025 xG table, Away

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Los Angeles FC173429.1+4.92723.1+3.9+76.0+1.02527.4-2.4
2Seattle Sounders172024.1-4.12821.7+6.3-82.4-10.41925.0-6.0
3Orlando City172728.7-1.72526.2-1.2+22.5-0.52524.5+0.5
4Philadelphia Union172126.8-5.82027.6-7.6+1-0.8+1.82624.5+1.5
5SJ Earthquakes172325.9-2.93125.8+5.2-80.1-8.12024.0-4.0
6Inter Miami173726.8+10.22926.5+2.5+80.3+7.72923.8+5.2
7Nashville SC172225.6-3.62824.9+3.1-60.7-6.71823.7-5.7
8Vancouver Whitecaps172423.4+0.61821.8-3.8+61.6+4.42923.6+5.4
9Chicago Fire174328.2+14.83531.3+3.7+8-3.1+11.12923.4+5.6
10New York City172220.9+1.12322.7+0.3-1-1.7+0.72322.1+0.9
11Columbus Crew172620.8+5.23126.0+5.0-5-5.1+0.12220.5+1.5
12Houston Dynamo172319.6+3.42624.2+1.8-3-4.5+1.51920.2-1.2
13CF Montréal172020.1-0.12724.8+2.2-7-4.7-2.31620.0-4.0
14Toronto172016.9+3.12521.7+3.3-5-4.8-0.21619.7-3.7
15Atlanta United17920.1-11.13426.3+7.7-25-6.1-18.9819.5-11.5
16Charlotte172221.5+0.53028.9+1.1-8-7.4-0.61919.5-0.5
17Minnesota United172720.9+6.11927.5-8.5+8-6.6+14.63019.4+10.6
18San Diego173921.2+17.82428.9-4.9+15-7.7+22.73719.4+17.6
19LA Galaxy171920.9-1.93828.9+9.1-19-8.0-11.0719.2-12.2
20Cincinnati172522.0+3.02131.8-10.8+4-9.9+13.93518.5+16.5
21DC United171719.3-2.33528.6+6.4-18-9.3-8.71317.7-4.7
22New England172423.4+0.62633.3-7.3-2-9.9+7.92017.6+2.4
23Dallas172722.4+4.63034.2-4.2-3-11.8+8.82317.3+5.7
24Real Salt Lake171520.1-5.12834.3-6.3-13-14.1+1.11316.4-3.4
25Colorado Rapids171923.0-4.03539.2-4.2-16-16.2+0.21316.0-3.0
26Portland Timbers171616.2-0.22228.9-6.9-6-12.7+6.71715.7+1.3
27Austin171917.2+1.82930.7-1.7-10-13.5+3.51915.7+3.3
28New York RB171215.1-3.12428.6-4.6-12-13.5+1.51015.5-5.5
29St. Louis City172121.1-0.13037.5-7.5-9-16.4+7.41415.5-1.5
30Sporting KC172117.9+3.13840.3-2.3-17-22.5+5.51112.7-1.7

Major League Soccer 2025 xG table, Last 5

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps51011.6-1.675.1+1.9+36.5-3.5810.3-2.3
2Los Angeles FC588.8-0.833.7-0.7+55.1-0.11010.1-0.1
3Inter Miami51713.4+3.698.6+0.4+84.8+3.2109.6+0.4
4San Diego51010.0+0.076.0+1.0+34.0-1.079.3-2.3
5Seattle Sounders577.9-0.954.4+0.6+23.5-1.5109.2+0.8
6Chicago Fire51410.1+3.977.1-0.1+73.0+4.0118.7+2.3
7Columbus Crew578.1-1.186.0+2.0-12.1-3.158.4-3.4
8CF Montréal558.0-3.096.1+2.9-41.9-5.947.9-3.9
9St. Louis City51010.8-0.878.7-1.7+32.1+0.9107.8+2.2
10Nashville SC599.4-0.4128.4+3.6-30.9-3.947.7-3.7
11LA Galaxy5119.0+2.087.9+0.1+31.1+1.997.3+1.7
12Houston Dynamo558.2-3.297.5+1.5-40.7-4.747.3-3.3
13New York City567.1-1.196.2+2.8-30.9-3.967.2-1.2
14Dallas5107.3+2.776.9+0.1+30.5+2.5107.2+2.8
15Philadelphia Union587.8+0.299.8-0.8-1-2.0+1.097.1+1.9
16Colorado Rapids568.0-2.088.5-0.5-2-0.5-1.556.8-1.8
17Cincinnati5108.2+1.848.9-4.9+6-0.7+6.7136.6+6.4
18SJ Earthquakes578.4-1.4129.2+2.8-5-0.8-4.266.5-0.5
19Orlando City589.2-1.21010.8-0.8-2-1.7-0.356.4-1.4
20Atlanta United525.6-3.697.9+1.1-7-2.4-4.625.5-3.5
21Minnesota United586.1+1.979.0-2.0+1-3.0+4.075.4+1.6
22DC United546.0-2.0128.8+3.2-8-2.7-5.325.3-3.3
23New England564.4+1.687.1+0.9-2-2.7+0.755.0+0.0
24Toronto585.2+2.888.7-0.7+0-3.5+3.564.8+1.2
25Sporting KC525.1-3.1119.2+1.8-9-4.1-4.914.5-3.5
26Charlotte575.9+1.1610.3-4.3+1-4.4+5.494.4+4.6
27Real Salt Lake574.8+2.2810.3-2.3-1-5.5+4.574.4+2.6
28New York RB565.3+0.7910.2-1.2-3-4.9+1.934.2-1.2
29Austin564.2+1.899.2-0.2-3-5.0+2.064.0+2.0
30Portland Timbers535.6-2.6911.0-2.0-6-5.4-0.623.7-1.7

Major League Soccer xG Table Questions

Which Major League Soccer team is overperforming their xG the most in 2025?

Inter Miami overperformed their xG by more than any other side in Major League Soccer in 2025, with 81 goals from chances worth 62.3 xG, a gap of 18.7. San Diego were next on 13.9.

Which Major League Soccer team is underperforming their xG the most in 2025?

Colorado Rapids underperformed their xG by more than any other side in Major League Soccer in 2025, with 44 goals from chances worth 55.7 xG, a shortfall of 11.7. Atlanta United were next on 10.5.

Which Major League Soccer team has been the luckiest on expected points in 2025?

Cincinnati were the luckiest side in Major League Soccer in 2025, with 65 points from performances worth 43.6 xPts, 21.4 more than their chances deserved. Charlotte were next on 15.8.

Which Major League Soccer team has been the unluckiest on expected points in 2025?

Atlanta United were the unluckiest side in Major League Soccer in 2025, with 28 points from performances worth 45.8 xPts, 17.8 short of what they deserved. DC United were next on 14.0.

Who would be top of Major League Soccer on xG in 2025?

Los Angeles FC would be top of Major League Soccer in 2025 on expected points, with 61.1 xPts from 61.8 xG created and 37.5 conceded across 34 matches. Philadelphia Union were next on 60.2.

Which Major League Soccer team has the most xG in 2025?

Vancouver Whitecaps created the most xG in Major League Soccer in 2025, 65.9 from 34 matches, 1.9 a game against a competition average of 1.5. Philadelphia Union were next on 64.0.

Which Major League Soccer team has the least xG in 2025?

Toronto created the least xG in Major League Soccer in 2025, 35.6 from 34 matches, 1.1 a game against a competition average of 1.5. DC United were next on 39.5.

Which Major League Soccer team has conceded the most xG in 2025?

Sporting KC conceded the most xG in Major League Soccer in 2025, 68.9 from 34 matches, 2.0 a game against a competition average of 1.5. St. Louis City were next on 60.6.

Which Major League Soccer team has conceded the least xG in 2025?

Los Angeles FC conceded the least xG in Major League Soccer in 2025, 37.5 from 34 matches, 1.1 a game against a competition average of 1.5. Vancouver Whitecaps were next on 38.9.

What is the average xG per game in Major League Soccer in 2025?

Major League Soccer teams averaged 1.49 xG a game in 2025, from the 510 matches played, and scored 1.50 goals a game from it. That is up from 1.46 xG a game in 2024.

Did Major League Soccer teams create more xG at home or away in 2025?

Major League Soccer teams created more xG at home in 2025, 1.68 a game against 1.29 away, a home advantage of +0.39, against +0.32 in 2024.

Major League Soccer player expected goals

The same season by player, with the goals each one scored against the chances they had.

  • Major League Soccer Player xG Stats 2025

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Major League Soccer 2025 xG table

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1 Los Angeles FC 34 65 61.8 +3.2 40 37.5 +2.5 +25 24.4 +0.6 60 61.1 -1.1
2 Philadelphia Union 34 57 64.0 -7.0 35 42.9 -7.9 +22 21.1 +0.9 66 60.2 +5.8
3 Vancouver Whitecaps 34 66 65.9 +0.1 38 38.9 -0.9 +28 27.0 +1.0 63 59.5 +3.5
4 Nashville SC 34 58 61.5 -3.5 45 44.3 +0.7 +13 17.2 -4.2 54 56.0 -2.0
5 Inter Miami 34 81 62.3 +18.7 55 48.5 +6.5 +26 13.9 +12.1 65 55.1 +9.9
6 Seattle Sounders 34 58 56.3 +1.7 48 44.1 +3.9 +10 12.2 -2.2 55 53.9 +1.1
7 Columbus Crew 34 55 54.1 +0.9 51 43.8 +7.2 +4 10.3 -6.3 54 53.7 +0.3
8 Orlando City 34 63 58.5 +4.5 51 49.1 +1.9 +12 9.4 +2.6 53 53.0 +0.0
9 SJ Earthquakes 34 60 60.5 -0.5 63 51.2 +11.8 -3 9.4 -12.4 41 52.6 -11.6
10 San Diego 34 64 50.1 +13.9 41 43.1 -2.1 +23 7.0 +16.0 63 52.5 +10.5
11 New York City 34 50 49.7 +0.3 44 43.3 +0.7 +6 6.3 -0.3 56 49.6 +6.4
12 Chicago Fire 34 68 58.4 +9.6 60 57.5 +2.5 +8 0.8 +7.2 53 49.3 +3.7
13 Minnesota United 34 56 46.1 +9.9 39 47.9 -8.9 +17 -1.8 +18.8 58 46.1 +11.9
14 Houston Dynamo 34 43 44.8 -1.8 56 45.3 +10.7 -13 -0.5 -12.5 37 45.9 -8.9
15 Atlanta United 34 38 48.5 -10.5 63 49.8 +13.2 -25 -1.3 -23.7 28 45.8 -17.8
16 Colorado Rapids 34 44 55.7 -11.7 56 60.3 -4.3 -12 -4.5 -7.5 41 44.3 -3.3
17 LA Galaxy 34 46 48.2 -2.2 66 54.8 +11.2 -20 -6.6 -13.4 30 43.6 -13.6
18 Cincinnati 34 52 46.6 +5.4 40 53.9 -13.9 +12 -7.4 +19.4 65 43.6 +21.4
19 Charlotte 34 55 48.3 +6.7 46 56.3 -10.3 +9 -8.0 +17.0 59 43.2 +15.8
20 St. Louis City 34 44 53.0 -9.0 58 60.6 -2.6 -14 -7.6 -6.4 32 43.0 -11.0
21 New York RB 34 48 44.9 +3.1 47 51.2 -4.2 +1 -6.3 +7.3 43 42.6 +0.4
22 Austin 34 37 41.5 -4.5 45 50.5 -5.5 -8 -9.1 +1.1 47 42.3 +4.7
23 Real Salt Lake 34 38 44.5 -6.5 49 55.7 -6.7 -11 -11.3 +0.3 41 42.2 -1.2
24 CF Montréal 34 34 41.1 -7.1 60 49.6 +10.4 -26 -8.5 -17.5 28 41.2 -13.2
25 Dallas 34 52 44.0 +8.0 55 57.1 -2.1 -3 -13.1 +10.1 44 40.4 +3.6
26 DC United 34 30 39.5 -9.5 66 50.2 +15.8 -36 -10.7 -25.3 26 40.0 -14.0
27 Portland Timbers 34 41 42.9 -1.9 48 55.3 -7.3 -7 -12.4 +5.4 44 39.1 +4.9
28 New England 34 44 43.3 +0.7 51 55.6 -4.6 -7 -12.2 +5.2 36 38.6 -2.6
29 Toronto 34 37 35.6 +1.4 44 48.2 -4.2 -7 -12.6 +5.6 32 38.3 -6.3
30 Sporting KC 34 46 43.8 +2.2 70 68.9 +1.1 -24 -25.1 +1.1 28 34.5 -6.5

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