Major League Soccer xG Table 2024

Which sides have got more from their chances than they deserved, and which have got less.

Updated 7 December 2024, after the last game

Who the Major League Soccer xG table says is due a correction

Philadelphia Union have the biggest shortfall in the Major League Soccer: 27 points from chances worth 42.8 xPts, a gap of 15.8. At the other end, Inter Miami have taken 68 points from an xPts figure of 39.8, 28.2 more than the underlying numbers justify.

How these xG numbers are calculated

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a team creates and concedes, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. Expected points come from running each finished match through a Poisson model using both sides' xG, giving a win, draw and loss probability, then awarding three points and one point against those probabilities. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks.

Major League Soccer 2024 xG table, Home

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Portland Timbers163537.5-2.52421.2+2.8+1116.3-5.32930.5-1.5
2Colorado Rapids173332.5+0.52220.4+1.6+1112.1-1.13330.3+2.7
3Minnesota United162926.2+2.82214.3+7.7+711.9-4.92428.8-4.8
4Seattle Sounders162025.5-5.51416.2-2.2+69.4-3.42828.1-0.1
5Atlanta United173030.7-0.72722.0+5.0+38.8-5.82228.0-6.0
6Real Salt Lake163826.4+11.62019.2+0.8+187.2+10.83526.7+8.3
7Columbus Crew153624.9+11.12016.2+3.8+168.7+7.33026.6+3.4
8Philadelphia Union162528.8-3.82121.0+0.0+47.8-3.81626.2-10.2
9Sporting KC173328.6+4.43222.9+9.1+15.7-4.72225.9-3.9
10LA Galaxy164233.6+8.42425.7-1.7+187.9+10.14125.8+15.2
11Houston Dynamo162123.7-2.71419.0-5.0+74.7+2.32725.6+1.4
12Cincinnati142425.9-1.92015.4+4.6+410.5-6.52025.5-5.5
13Vancouver Whitecaps152126.4-5.42420.1+3.9-36.3-9.31924.7-5.7
14Orlando City152725.9+1.11718.6-1.6+107.3+2.72324.5-1.5
15Toronto172723.1+3.93222.8+9.2-50.4-5.42123.4-2.4
16St. Louis City152225.6-3.62021.3-1.3+24.3-2.32423.0+1.0
17CF Montréal172823.1+4.92324.6-1.6+5-1.4+6.42922.8+6.2
18Charlotte162420.6+3.41519.6-4.6+91.0+8.02922.6+6.4
19Nashville SC152323.8-0.82319.7+3.3+04.1-4.12022.0-2.0
20Chicago Fire161822.2-4.23021.8+8.2-120.3-12.31622.0-6.0
21DC United152222.8-0.83521.6+13.4-131.2-14.21121.4-10.4
22Inter Miami154121.9+19.12021.0-1.0+210.9+20.13320.8+12.2
23Dallas163220.5+11.52424.5-0.5+8-4.0+12.02920.7+8.3
24Austin152222.3-0.32024.2-4.2+2-1.9+3.92319.3+3.7
25New England161817.4+0.63021.4+8.6-12-4.0-8.01619.2-3.2
26New York City364.9+1.133.8-0.8+31.1+1.974.8+2.2
27New York RB101.4-1.400.4-0.4+01.0-1.012.1-1.1
28Los Angeles FC131.7+1.311.1-0.1+20.7+1.331.8+1.2
29SJ Earthquakes100.5-0.511.0+0.0-1-0.5-0.500.9-0.9

Major League Soccer 2024 xG table, Away

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Los Angeles FC162622.5+3.52222.4-0.4+40.0+4.02722.0+5.0
2Seattle Sounders152319.3+3.71619.4-3.4+7-0.1+7.12620.4+5.6
3Columbus Crew132319.1+3.91415.7-1.7+93.4+5.62219.9+2.1
4Cincinnati142516.6+8.41815.0+3.0+71.7+5.33219.7+12.3
5DC United152320.8+2.23122.3+8.7-8-1.5-6.52119.7+1.3
6Orlando City142821.1+6.92721.5+5.5+1-0.4+1.42419.6+4.4
7Inter Miami143218.8+13.22119.1+1.9+11-0.4+11.43519.0+16.0
8New York City141417.5-3.52117.9+3.1-7-0.4-6.61418.8-4.8
9Atlanta United141319.0-6.01820.0-2.0-5-1.0-4.01618.4-2.4
10Vancouver Whitecaps142317.3+5.71920.4-1.4+4-3.0+7.02118.4+2.6
11LA Galaxy141920.3-1.32223.5-1.5-3-3.2+0.21617.5-1.5
12Toronto141315.6-2.62218.7+3.3-9-3.2-5.81517.2-2.2
13Nashville SC151318.8-5.82124.0-3.0-8-5.2-2.81517.1-2.1
14Charlotte141918.6+0.41622.2-6.2+3-3.5+6.51917.0+2.0
15St. Louis City152520.2+4.84028.7+11.3-15-8.5-6.5817.0-9.0
16Philadelphia Union142620.7+5.33025.4+4.6-4-4.8+0.81116.7-5.7
17Chicago Fire141818.4-0.42823.9+4.1-10-5.4-4.6916.6-7.6
18Colorado Rapids122022.6-2.62924.1+4.9-9-1.4-7.61016.1-6.1
19Real Salt Lake122218.1+3.92219.1+2.9+0-1.0+1.01715.6+1.4
20Portland Timbers142016.4+3.62623.1+2.9-6-6.7+0.7915.1-6.1
21Minnesota United142417.4+6.62227.4-5.4+2-10.0+12.02114.7+6.3
22SJ Earthquakes131615.9+0.12923.5+5.5-13-7.6-5.4814.2-6.2
23Austin151013.5-3.52123.0-2.0-11-9.5-1.51413.8+0.2
24New York RB121816.7+1.32121.2-0.2-3-4.5+1.51313.6-0.6
25Dallas131717.5-0.52525.6-0.6-8-8.1+0.1813.5-5.5
26Houston Dynamo142115.5+5.52225.2-3.2-1-9.7+8.72013.5+6.5
27Sporting KC131413.1+0.93121.8+9.2-17-8.7-8.3312.5-9.5
28CF Montréal121814.0+4.03123.0+8.0-13-9.0-4.01211.6+0.4
29New England141515.6-0.63531.6+3.4-20-16.0-4.01210.9+1.1

Major League Soccer 2024 xG table, Last 5

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Sporting KC569.8-3.8115.2+5.8-54.6-9.639.4-6.4
2Columbus Crew5159.3+5.7106.1+3.9+53.2+1.8108.9+1.1
3Charlotte51410.6+3.447.3-3.3+103.2+6.8138.9+4.1
4Minnesota United5107.5+2.514.9-3.9+92.6+6.4138.6+4.4
5Orlando City51210.9+1.198.2+0.8+32.7+0.398.5+0.5
6Real Salt Lake587.4+0.664.9+1.1+22.5-0.598.4+0.6
7Los Angeles FC5117.8+3.265.9+0.1+52.0+3.0128.1+3.9
8Seattle Sounders587.0+1.035.2-2.2+51.8+3.2118.1+2.9
9Atlanta United588.5-0.576.7+0.3+11.8-0.888.1-0.1
10LA Galaxy51210.0+2.0108.9+1.1+21.1+0.997.8+1.2
11Portland Timbers557.2-2.265.8+0.2-11.4-2.447.5-3.5
12Inter Miami5137.4+5.677.1-0.1+60.2+5.8116.8+4.2
13St. Louis City5107.4+2.6107.8+2.2+0-0.4+0.476.8+0.2
14Toronto526.5-4.5107.2+2.8-8-0.8-7.216.8-5.8
15Cincinnati586.4+1.696.8+2.2-1-0.4-0.676.7+0.3
16Colorado Rapids557.5-2.5107.9+2.1-5-0.3-4.736.4-3.4
17New York RB587.5+0.578.5-1.5+1-0.9+1.956.3-1.3
18New York City565.9+0.1107.4+2.6-4-1.5-2.536.2-3.2
19Dallas586.8+1.287.8+0.2+0-1.0+1.076.1+0.9
20Nashville SC596.1+2.977.5-0.5+2-1.3+3.376.1+0.9
21Philadelphia Union597.5+1.589.0-1.0+1-1.6+2.645.9-1.9
22Vancouver Whitecaps535.8-2.897.7+1.3-6-1.9-4.115.9-4.9
23DC United587.9+0.1139.3+3.7-5-1.4-3.675.8+1.2
24Chicago Fire545.5-1.5117.8+3.2-7-2.3-4.715.6-4.6
25CF Montréal595.0+4.036.9-3.9+6-1.8+7.8125.4+6.6
26Houston Dynamo557.3-2.369.5-3.5-1-2.2+1.295.3+3.7
27Austin576.5+0.579.8-2.8+0-3.3+3.375.2+1.8
28New England556.1-1.1149.6+4.4-9-3.5-5.535.1-2.1
29SJ Earthquakes535.2-2.2118.4+2.6-8-3.3-4.714.7-3.7

Major League Soccer xG Table Questions

Which Major League Soccer team is overperforming their xG the most in 2024?

Inter Miami overperformed their xG by more than any other side in Major League Soccer in 2024, with 73 goals from chances worth 40.7 xG, a gap of 32.3. Real Salt Lake were next on 15.5.

Which Major League Soccer team is underperforming their xG the most in 2024?

Atlanta United underperformed their xG by more than any other side in Major League Soccer in 2024, with 43 goals from chances worth 49.7 xG, a shortfall of 6.7. Nashville SC were next on 6.6.

Which Major League Soccer team has been the luckiest on expected points in 2024?

Inter Miami were the luckiest side in Major League Soccer in 2024, with 68 points from performances worth 39.8 xPts, 28.2 more than their chances deserved. LA Galaxy were next on 13.7.

Which Major League Soccer team has been the unluckiest on expected points in 2024?

Philadelphia Union were the unluckiest side in Major League Soccer in 2024, with 27 points from performances worth 42.8 xPts, 15.8 short of what they deserved. Chicago Fire were next on 13.6.

Who would be top of Major League Soccer on xG in 2024?

Seattle Sounders would be top of Major League Soccer in 2024 on expected points, with 48.5 xPts from 44.9 xG created and 35.6 conceded across 31 matches. Atlanta United were next on 46.5.

Which Major League Soccer team has the most xG in 2024?

Colorado Rapids created the most xG in Major League Soccer in 2024, 55.1 from 29 matches, 1.9 a game against a competition average of 1.5. LA Galaxy were next on 53.9.

Which Major League Soccer team has the least xG in 2024?

SJ Earthquakes created the least xG in Major League Soccer in 2024, 16.4 from 14 matches, 1.2 a game against a competition average of 1.5. New York RB were next on 18.1.

Which Major League Soccer team has conceded the most xG in 2024?

New England conceded the most xG in Major League Soccer in 2024, 53.0 from 30 matches, 1.8 a game against a competition average of 1.5. Dallas were next on 50.1.

Which Major League Soccer team has conceded the least xG in 2024?

New York RB conceded the least xG in Major League Soccer in 2024, 21.6 from 13 matches, 1.7 a game against a competition average of 1.5. New York City were next on 21.7.

What is the average xG per game in Major League Soccer in 2024?

Major League Soccer teams averaged 1.46 xG a game in 2024, from the 401 matches played, and scored 1.59 goals a game from it.

Did Major League Soccer teams create more xG at home or away in 2024?

Major League Soccer teams created more xG at home in 2024, 1.62 a game against 1.30 away, a home advantage of +0.32.

Major League Soccer player expected goals

The same season by player, with the goals each one scored against the chances they had.

  • Major League Soccer Player xG Stats 2024

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Major League Soccer 2024 xG table

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1 Seattle Sounders 31 43 44.9 -1.9 30 35.6 -5.6 +13 9.3 +3.7 54 48.5 +5.5
2 Atlanta United 31 43 49.7 -6.7 45 41.9 +3.1 -2 7.8 -9.8 38 46.5 -8.5
3 Columbus Crew 28 59 44.0 +15.0 34 32.0 +2.0 +25 12.1 +12.9 52 46.4 +5.6
4 Colorado Rapids 29 53 55.1 -2.1 51 44.4 +6.6 +2 10.7 -8.7 43 46.3 -3.3
5 Portland Timbers 30 55 53.8 +1.2 50 44.3 +5.7 +5 9.5 -4.5 38 45.6 -7.6
6 Cincinnati 28 49 42.5 +6.5 38 30.3 +7.7 +11 12.2 -1.2 52 45.2 +6.8
7 Orlando City 29 55 47.0 +8.0 44 40.1 +3.9 +11 6.9 +4.1 47 44.0 +3.0
8 Minnesota United 30 53 43.6 +9.4 44 41.6 +2.4 +9 2.0 +7.0 45 43.5 +1.5
9 LA Galaxy 30 61 53.9 +7.1 46 49.2 -3.2 +15 4.7 +10.3 57 43.3 +13.7
10 Vancouver Whitecaps 29 44 43.7 +0.3 43 40.5 +2.5 +1 3.2 -2.2 40 43.0 -3.0
11 Philadelphia Union 30 51 49.5 +1.5 51 46.4 +4.6 +0 3.1 -3.1 27 42.8 -15.8
12 Real Salt Lake 28 60 44.5 +15.5 42 38.3 +3.7 +18 6.2 +11.8 52 42.3 +9.7
13 DC United 30 45 43.6 +1.4 66 43.9 +22.1 -21 -0.3 -20.7 32 41.1 -9.1
14 Toronto 31 40 38.7 +1.3 54 41.5 +12.5 -14 -2.8 -11.2 36 40.6 -4.6
15 St. Louis City 30 47 45.8 +1.2 60 50.0 +10.0 -13 -4.2 -8.8 32 40.0 -8.0
16 Inter Miami 29 73 40.7 +32.3 41 40.1 +0.9 +32 0.5 +31.5 68 39.8 +28.2
17 Charlotte 30 43 39.3 +3.7 31 41.8 -10.8 +12 -2.5 +14.5 48 39.6 +8.4
18 Nashville SC 30 36 42.6 -6.6 44 43.7 +0.3 -8 -1.0 -7.0 35 39.2 -4.2
19 Houston Dynamo 30 42 39.2 +2.8 36 44.2 -8.2 +6 -5.0 +11.0 47 39.1 +7.9
20 Chicago Fire 30 36 40.6 -4.6 58 45.7 +12.3 -22 -5.1 -16.9 25 38.6 -13.6
21 Sporting KC 30 47 41.7 +5.3 63 44.7 +18.3 -16 -3.0 -13.0 25 38.4 -13.4
22 CF Montréal 29 46 37.1 +8.9 54 47.5 +6.5 -8 -10.4 +2.4 41 34.4 +6.6
23 Dallas 29 49 38.0 +11.0 49 50.1 -1.1 +0 -12.2 +12.2 37 34.2 +2.8
24 Austin 30 32 35.7 -3.7 41 47.1 -6.1 -9 -11.4 +2.4 37 33.0 +4.0
25 New England 30 33 33.0 +0.0 65 53.0 +12.0 -32 -20.0 -12.0 28 30.1 -2.1
26 Los Angeles FC 17 29 24.2 +4.8 23 23.5 -0.5 +6 0.7 +5.3 30 23.9 +6.1
27 New York City 17 20 22.4 -2.4 24 21.7 +2.3 -4 0.7 -4.7 21 23.6 -2.6
28 New York RB 13 18 18.1 -0.1 21 21.6 -0.6 -3 -3.5 +0.5 14 15.7 -1.7
29 SJ Earthquakes 14 16 16.4 -0.4 30 24.4 +5.6 -14 -8.1 -5.9 8 15.1 -7.1

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