Liga Profesional de Fútbol xG Table 2025

Who the Liga Profesional de Fútbol xG table says is due a correction

Talleres Córdoba have the biggest shortfall in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol: 34 points from chances worth 47.0 xPts, a gap of 13.0. At the other end, Rosario Central have taken 66 points from an xPts figure of 52.6, 13.4 more than the underlying numbers justify.

How these xG numbers are calculated

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a team creates and concedes, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. Expected points come from running each finished match through a Poisson model using both sides' xG, giving a win, draw and loss probability, then awarding three points and one point against those probabilities. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks.

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2025 xG table, Home

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1River Plate162428.4-4.41414.1-0.1+1014.3-4.33031.1-1.1
2Boca Juniors163025.0+5.0811.4-3.4+2213.6+8.43730.5+6.5
3San Lorenzo161523.9-8.9912.0-3.0+611.9-5.92929.4-0.4
4Independiente162522.4+2.6810.9-2.9+1711.5+5.53129.4+1.6
5Estudiantes162222.9-0.91412.2+1.8+810.7-2.73029.1+0.9
6Argentinos Juniors162822.4+5.6611.9-5.9+2210.4+11.63729.1+7.9
7Rosario Central162222.8-0.8911.7-2.7+1311.1+1.93629.0+7.0
8Tigre161719.7-2.71111.3-0.3+68.3-2.32727.6-0.6
9Talleres Córdoba161018.2-8.21510.8+4.2-57.4-12.41426.9-12.9
10Huracán161421.0-7.01313.5-0.5+17.5-6.52526.8-1.8
11Instituto161720.1-3.11514.0+1.0+26.1-4.12426.5-2.5
12Lanús162122.3-1.31016.6-6.6+115.8+5.23226.3+5.7
13Unión Santa Fe161520.8-5.81113.9-2.9+46.9-2.92325.7-2.7
14Central Cordoba SdE162122.1-1.11316.5-3.5+85.6+2.42625.6+0.4
15Banfield161719.9-2.91615.3+0.7+14.6-3.62125.5-4.5
16Deportivo Riestra161618.0-2.0413.0-9.0+125.0+7.03125.1+5.9
17Vélez Sarsfield161319.3-6.31314.4-1.4+04.9-4.92124.9-3.9
18Platense161416.1-2.11611.7+4.3-24.4-6.42124.8-3.8
19Barracas Central162218.0+4.02114.4+6.6+13.6-2.62524.2+0.8
20Newell's Old Boys161317.8-4.81314.7-1.7+03.1-3.11723.7-6.7
21Belgrano161517.3-2.31614.8+1.2-12.5-3.52023.7-3.7
22Atlético Tucumán162620.6+5.41518.1-3.1+112.6+8.42923.6+5.4
23Godoy Cruz16714.3-7.31211.8+0.2-52.6-7.61523.0-8.0
24Racing Club162119.3+1.71218.0-6.0+91.3+7.72622.8+3.2
25Sarmiento161419.4-5.41717.3-0.3-32.1-5.11722.7-5.7
26San Martín San Juan161117.0-6.01715.7+1.3-61.4-7.41822.0-4.0
27Defensa y Justicia161718.6-1.61718.6-1.6+00.0+0.02422.0+2.0
28Aldosivi161817.6+0.42519.5+5.5-7-1.9-5.12020.8-0.8
29Independiente Rivadavia151520.3-5.31820.3-2.3-30.0-3.01920.7-1.7
30Gimnasia La Plata161416.5-2.51820.0-2.0-4-3.6-0.42120.1+0.9

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2025 xG table, Away

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Rosario Central161818.0+0.0715.0-8.0+113.1+7.93023.5+6.5
2Argentinos Juniors161420.3-6.31617.2-1.2-23.1-5.12023.3-3.3
3River Plate161715.9+1.11015.3-5.3+70.6+6.42322.0+1.0
4San Lorenzo161212.7-0.71211.8+0.2+00.9-0.92221.3+0.7
5Boca Juniors162218.1+3.91518.8-3.8+7-0.7+7.72521.3+3.7
6Talleres Córdoba161016.1-6.11218.1-6.1-2-2.1+0.12020.2-0.2
7Huracán161514.5+0.51416.5-2.5+1-2.0+3.02220.1+1.9
8Estudiantes161315.8-2.82318.7+4.3-10-2.9-7.11219.3-7.3
9Racing Club162117.8+3.21722.0-5.0+4-4.2+8.22719.3+7.7
10Barracas Central161713.2+3.81416.5-2.5+3-3.2+6.22419.2+4.8
11Unión Santa Fe161615.8+0.21919.4-0.4-3-3.6+0.61619.0-3.0
12Tigre161516.0-1.01419.4-5.4+1-3.5+4.52218.9+3.1
13Platense161116.2-5.22021.3-1.3-9-5.0-4.01418.9-4.9
14Belgrano161114.1-3.11818.2-0.2-7-4.1-2.91718.4-1.4
15Independiente161214.7-2.71720.0-3.0-5-5.2+0.21618.2-2.2
16Banfield161216.7-4.72422.8+1.2-12-6.1-5.91417.5-3.5
17Lanús161213.5-1.51419.4-5.4-2-5.9+3.91817.4+0.6
18Independiente Rivadavia161813.8+4.21620.1-4.1+2-6.4+8.42117.4+3.6
19Central Cordoba SdE161714.7+2.32021.7-1.7-3-7.0+4.01616.8-0.8
20Defensa y Justicia161513.9+1.12421.5+2.5-9-7.6-1.41416.8-2.8
21Newell's Old Boys161215.9-3.92525.3-0.3-13-9.4-3.61616.8-0.8
22San Martín San Juan16712.1-5.11720.9-3.9-10-8.8-1.21015.3-5.3
23Godoy Cruz161212.8-0.82522.4+2.6-13-9.5-3.51415.3-1.3
24Instituto16813.8-5.82224.1-2.1-14-10.3-3.71015.2-5.2
25Vélez Sarsfield16139.5+3.52118.7+2.3-8-9.1+1.11915.0+4.0
26Atlético Tucumán16814.6-6.62825.5+2.5-20-10.9-9.1515.0-10.0
27Aldosivi151312.7+0.32021.2-1.2-7-8.5+1.51314.9-1.9
28Gimnasia La Plata16912.6-3.61624.1-8.1-7-11.5+4.51714.3+2.7
29Deportivo Riestra161610.7+5.31523.1-8.1+1-12.3+13.32113.6+7.4
30Sarmiento161011.5-1.51923.4-4.4-9-11.9+2.91813.2+4.8

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2025 xG table, Last 5

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1San Lorenzo547.1-3.132.8+0.2+14.3-3.389.7-1.7
2Estudiantes557.6-2.664.1+1.9-13.4-4.449.1-5.1
3Boca Juniors5107.8+2.244.9-0.9+62.9+3.1129.1+2.9
4Independiente Rivadavia547.3-3.354.6+0.4-12.7-3.758.8-3.8
5Independiente586.1+1.913.7-2.7+72.3+4.7128.4+3.6
6Banfield568.3-2.375.8+1.2-12.5-3.578.3-1.3
7River Plate526.8-4.845.0-1.0-21.8-3.848.0-4.0
8Aldosivi5107.6+2.446.1-2.1+61.5+4.5127.8+4.2
9Argentinos Juniors566.6-0.654.9+0.1+11.7-0.797.7+1.3
10Racing Club566.4-0.415.2-4.2+51.2+3.8137.6+5.4
11Godoy Cruz526.2-4.255.2-0.2-31.0-4.037.5-4.5
12Rosario Central554.6+0.423.7-1.7+30.9+2.1107.5+2.5
13Belgrano535.6-2.635.2-2.2+00.4-0.467.2-1.2
14Huracán546.2-2.276.4+0.6-3-0.2-2.846.9-2.9
15Gimnasia La Plata576.1+0.946.6-2.6+3-0.5+3.596.8+2.2
16Instituto545.0-1.065.3+0.7-2-0.3-1.746.7-2.7
17Barracas Central564.6+1.464.5+1.5+00.1-0.166.5-0.5
18Lanús596.2+2.847.0-3.0+5-0.8+5.8106.2+3.8
19Vélez Sarsfield534.8-1.855.9-0.9-2-1.1-0.946.2-2.2
20Newell's Old Boys545.0-1.066.3-0.3-2-1.3-0.746.2-2.2
21Unión Santa Fe554.2+0.834.8-1.8+2-0.6+2.686.1+1.9
22Talleres Córdoba544.2-0.235.4-2.4+1-1.3+2.3105.7+4.3
23Platense514.1-3.195.6+3.4-8-1.4-6.615.6-4.6
24San Martín San Juan555.4-0.457.8-2.8+0-2.4+2.485.4+2.6
25Tigre543.7+0.355.6-0.6-1-1.9+0.965.2+0.8
26Deportivo Riestra533.9-0.947.0-3.0-1-3.1+2.155.0+0.0
27Sarmiento543.0+1.064.8+1.2-2-1.8-0.254.8+0.2
28Defensa y Justicia524.4-2.497.2+1.8-7-2.8-4.234.8-1.8
29Central Cordoba SdE554.4+0.628.1-6.1+3-3.7+6.794.7+4.3
30Atlético Tucumán543.5+0.5118.2+2.8-7-4.7-2.333.5-0.5

Liga Profesional de Fútbol xG Table Questions

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team is overperforming their xG the most in 2025?

Boca Juniors overperformed their xG by more than any other side in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2025, with 52 goals from chances worth 43.1 xG, a gap of 8.9. Barracas Central were next on 7.8.

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team is underperforming their xG the most in 2025?

Talleres Córdoba underperformed their xG by more than any other side in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2025, with 20 goals from chances worth 34.3 xG, a shortfall of 14.3. San Martín San Juan were next on 11.1.

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team has been the luckiest on expected points in 2025?

Rosario Central were the luckiest side in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2025, with 66 points from performances worth 52.6 xPts, 13.4 more than their chances deserved. Deportivo Riestra were next on 13.3.

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team has been the unluckiest on expected points in 2025?

Talleres Córdoba were the unluckiest side in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2025, with 34 points from performances worth 47.0 xPts, 13.0 short of what they deserved. Godoy Cruz and San Martín San Juan were next on 9.3.

Who would be top of Liga Profesional de Fútbol on xG in 2025?

River Plate would be top of Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2025 on expected points, with 53.1 xPts from 44.3 xG created and 29.4 conceded across 32 matches. Rosario Central were next on 52.6.

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team has the most xG in 2025?

River Plate created the most xG in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2025, 44.3 from 32 matches, 1.4 a game against a competition average of 1.1. Boca Juniors were next on 43.1.

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team has the least xG in 2025?

Godoy Cruz created the least xG in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2025, 27.2 from 32 matches, 0.9 a game against a competition average of 1.1. Deportivo Riestra were next on 28.7.

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team has conceded the most xG in 2025?

Gimnasia La Plata conceded the most xG in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2025, 44.1 from 32 matches, 1.4 a game against a competition average of 1.1. Atlético Tucumán were next on 43.6.

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team has conceded the least xG in 2025?

San Lorenzo conceded the least xG in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2025, 23.8 from 32 matches, 0.7 a game against a competition average of 1.1. Rosario Central were next on 26.7.

What is the average xG per game in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2025?

Liga Profesional de Fútbol teams averaged 1.09 xG a game in 2025, from the 479 matches played, and scored 0.98 goals a game from it.

Did Liga Profesional de Fútbol teams create more xG at home or away in 2025?

Liga Profesional de Fútbol teams created more xG at home in 2025, 1.26 a game against 0.91 away, a home advantage of +0.34.

Liga Profesional de Fútbol player expected goals

The same season by player, with the goals each one scored against the chances they had.

  • Liga Profesional de Fútbol Player xG Stats 2025

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Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2025 xG table

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1 River Plate 32 41 44.3 -3.3 24 29.4 -5.4 +17 14.9 +2.1 53 53.1 -0.1
2 Rosario Central 32 40 40.9 -0.9 16 26.7 -10.7 +24 14.2 +9.8 66 52.6 +13.4
3 Argentinos Juniors 32 42 42.7 -0.7 22 29.1 -7.1 +20 13.5 +6.5 57 52.4 +4.6
4 Boca Juniors 32 52 43.1 +8.9 23 30.2 -7.2 +29 13.0 +16.0 62 51.8 +10.2
5 San Lorenzo 32 27 36.6 -9.6 21 23.8 -2.8 +6 12.8 -6.8 51 50.8 +0.2
6 Estudiantes 32 35 38.7 -3.7 37 30.9 +6.1 -2 7.8 -9.8 42 48.4 -6.4
7 Independiente 32 37 37.1 -0.1 25 30.8 -5.8 +12 6.2 +5.8 47 47.6 -0.6
8 Talleres Córdoba 32 20 34.3 -14.3 27 28.9 -1.9 -7 5.3 -12.3 34 47.0 -13.0
9 Huracán 32 29 35.5 -6.5 27 30.0 -3.0 +2 5.5 -3.5 47 46.9 +0.1
10 Tigre 32 32 35.6 -3.6 25 30.8 -5.8 +7 4.9 +2.1 49 46.5 +2.5
11 Unión Santa Fe 32 31 36.6 -5.6 30 33.2 -3.2 +1 3.3 -2.3 39 44.8 -5.8
12 Lanús 32 33 35.8 -2.8 24 35.9 -11.9 +9 -0.1 +9.1 50 43.7 +6.3
13 Platense 32 25 32.3 -7.3 36 33.0 +3.0 -11 -0.6 -10.4 35 43.7 -8.7
14 Barracas Central 32 39 31.2 +7.8 35 30.9 +4.1 +4 0.4 +3.6 49 43.3 +5.7
15 Banfield 32 29 36.6 -7.6 40 38.1 +1.9 -11 -1.5 -9.5 35 43.0 -8.0
16 Central Cordoba SdE 32 38 36.8 +1.2 33 38.2 -5.2 +5 -1.4 +6.4 42 42.4 -0.4
17 Belgrano 32 26 31.4 -5.4 34 33.0 +1.0 -8 -1.5 -6.5 37 42.1 -5.1
18 Racing Club 32 42 37.1 +4.9 29 40.0 -11.0 +13 -2.9 +15.9 53 42.1 +10.9
19 Instituto 32 25 33.9 -8.9 37 38.1 -1.1 -12 -4.2 -7.8 34 41.7 -7.7
20 Newell's Old Boys 32 25 33.7 -8.7 38 40.0 -2.0 -13 -6.3 -6.7 33 40.5 -7.5
21 Vélez Sarsfield 32 26 28.8 -2.8 34 33.0 +1.0 -8 -4.2 -3.8 40 39.9 +0.1
22 Defensa y Justicia 32 32 32.5 -0.5 41 40.1 +0.9 -9 -7.5 -1.5 38 38.8 -0.8
23 Deportivo Riestra 32 32 28.7 +3.3 19 36.0 -17.0 +13 -7.3 +20.3 52 38.7 +13.3
24 Atlético Tucumán 32 34 35.3 -1.3 43 43.6 -0.6 -9 -8.3 -0.7 34 38.6 -4.6
25 Godoy Cruz 32 19 27.2 -8.2 37 34.1 +2.9 -18 -6.9 -11.1 29 38.3 -9.3
26 Independiente Rivadavia 31 33 34.1 -1.1 34 40.4 -6.4 -1 -6.3 +5.3 40 38.1 +1.9
27 San Martín San Juan 32 18 29.1 -11.1 34 36.6 -2.6 -16 -7.4 -8.6 28 37.3 -9.3
28 Sarmiento 32 24 30.9 -6.9 36 40.7 -4.7 -12 -9.8 -2.2 35 35.9 -0.9
29 Aldosivi 31 31 30.4 +0.6 45 40.7 +4.3 -14 -10.4 -3.6 33 35.7 -2.7
30 Gimnasia La Plata 32 23 29.0 -6.0 34 44.1 -10.1 -11 -15.1 +4.1 38 34.3 +3.7

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