CAF World Cup Qualifiers xG Table 2026

Which sides have got more from their chances than they deserved, and which have got less.

Updated 16 November 2025, after the last game

How these xG numbers are calculated

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a team creates and concedes, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. Expected points come from running each finished match through a Poisson model using both sides' xG, giving a win, draw and loss probability, then awarding three points and one point against those probabilities. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks. How xG is calculated How xPts is calculated

CAF World Cup Qualifiers 2026 xG table, Home

#	Team	Played	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG	Goals against	xGA	Goals against minus xGA	Goal difference	xGD	Goal difference minus xGD	Points	xPts	Points minus xPts
1	Nigeria	6	12	10.2	+1.8	4	4.7	-0.7	+8	5.5	+2.5	12	11.8	+0.2
2	Côte d'Ivoire	5	15	10.8	+4.2	0	2.9	-2.9	+15	7.9	+7.1	15	10.7	+4.3
3	Tunisia	5	13	9.8	+3.2	0	4.5	-4.5	+13	5.3	+7.7	15	10.0	+5.0
4	South Africa	5	11	7.0	+4.0	3	2.8	+0.2	+8	4.2	+3.8	13	9.7	+3.3
5	Morocco	4	10	8.0	+2.0	1	1.5	-0.5	+9	6.5	+2.5	12	9.6	+2.4
6	Algeria	5	14	8.5	+5.5	6	4.5	+1.5	+8	4.1	+3.9	12	9.6	+2.4
7	Uganda	5	9	7.3	+1.7	2	3.6	-1.6	+7	3.7	+3.3	12	9.5	+2.5
8	Mali	5	12	7.1	+4.9	5	3.2	+1.8	+7	3.8	+3.2	10	9.4	+0.6
9	Cape Verde Islands	5	6	7.2	-1.2	0	3.8	-3.8	+6	3.4	+2.6	13	9.3	+3.7
10	Senegal	5	13	8.3	+4.7	1	4.2	-3.2	+12	4.1	+7.9	13	9.2	+3.8
11	Cameroon	5	13	8.0	+5.0	3	4.5	-1.5	+10	3.5	+6.5	12	9.2	+2.8
12	Gabon	5	10	7.3	+2.7	3	3.8	-0.8	+7	3.5	+3.5	13	9.1	+3.9
13	Burkina Faso	5	10	8.7	+1.3	5	5.1	-0.1	+5	3.6	+1.4	9	9.0	+0.0
14	Togo	5	4	7.1	-3.1	4	4.8	-0.8	+0	2.3	-2.3	6	8.5	-2.5
15	Kenya	5	8	6.9	+1.1	6	4.6	+1.4	+2	2.3	-0.3	5	8.4	-3.4
16	Ghana	5	12	6.7	+5.3	3	4.6	-1.6	+9	2.1	+6.9	15	8.3	+6.7
17	Egypt	4	11	8.0	+3.0	1	3.4	-2.4	+10	4.6	+5.4	12	8.2	+3.8
18	Angola	5	6	5.8	+0.2	5	3.9	+1.1	+1	1.9	-0.9	7	8.2	-1.2
19	Guinea	5	4	6.0	-2.0	4	4.3	-0.3	+0	1.7	-1.7	6	8.2	-2.2
20	Namibia	5	6	6.8	-0.8	4	4.4	-0.4	+2	2.5	-0.5	6	8.1	-2.1
21	Comoros	5	7	7.4	-0.4	7	5.4	+1.6	+0	2.0	-2.0	9	8.1	+0.9
22	Gambia	5	13	6.9	+6.1	10	4.9	+5.1	+3	2.0	+1.0	7	8.1	-1.1
23	Mauritania	5	2	5.6	-3.6	5	3.7	+1.3	-3	2.0	-5.0	4	8.1	-4.1
24	Congo DR	5	7	6.3	+0.7	3	4.9	-1.9	+4	1.5	+2.5	12	8.0	+4.0
25	Equatorial Guinea	4	4	5.3	-1.3	2	2.0	+0.0	+2	3.4	-1.4	7	7.8	-0.8
26	Sierra Leone	5	7	6.4	+0.6	5	5.5	-0.5	+2	0.9	+1.1	9	7.5	+1.5
27	Guinea-Bissau	5	5	4.4	+0.6	4	3.2	+0.8	+1	1.2	-0.2	6	7.4	-1.4
28	Burundi	5	9	4.8	+4.2	6	3.9	+2.1	+3	0.8	+2.2	6	7.3	-1.3
29	Zambia	4	4	7.5	-3.5	6	4.9	+1.1	-2	2.6	-4.6	3	7.2	-4.2
30	Botswana	5	6	6.5	-0.5	7	5.7	+1.3	-1	0.8	-1.8	6	7.0	-1.0
31	Benin	5	8	4.7	+3.3	3	4.5	-1.5	+5	0.2	+4.8	12	6.9	+5.1
32	Libya	5	9	5.6	+3.4	6	5.7	+0.3	+3	0.0	+3.0	9	6.8	+2.2
33	Rwanda	4	3	4.5	-1.5	2	2.7	-0.7	+1	1.8	-0.8	5	6.7	-1.7
34	Sudan	5	3	5.5	-2.5	2	6.4	-4.4	+1	-0.9	+1.9	7	6.4	+0.6
35	Malawi	4	5	5.5	-0.5	5	4.3	+0.7	+0	1.2	-1.2	4	6.3	-2.3
36	Madagascar	5	7	4.5	+2.5	5	5.5	-0.5	+2	-1.0	+3.0	10	6.2	+3.8
37	Zimbabwe	5	3	5.2	-2.2	6	6.5	-0.5	-3	-1.3	-1.7	3	5.9	-2.9
38	Eswatini	5	5	6.0	-1.0	8	8.1	-0.1	-3	-2.1	-0.9	3	5.9	-2.9
39	Mozambique	4	5	3.8	+1.2	5	3.3	+1.7	+0	0.5	-0.5	6	5.7	+0.3
40	Niger	4	6	5.2	+0.8	5	5.3	-0.3	+1	-0.1	+1.1	6	5.5	+0.5
41	Lesotho	5	2	5.3	-3.3	6	8.4	-2.4	-4	-3.1	-0.9	4	5.0	-1.0
42	Liberia	4	5	3.8	+1.2	4	4.7	-0.7	+1	-0.8	+1.8	6	4.8	+1.2
43	South Sudan	5	1	5.1	-4.1	12	8.5	+3.5	-11	-3.4	-7.6	2	4.5	-2.5
44	Ethiopia	4	7	4.9	+2.1	6	7.2	-1.2	+1	-2.2	+3.2	6	4.2	+1.8
45	Djibouti	5	2	3.4	-1.4	13	6.4	+6.6	-11	-3.1	-7.9	1	4.2	-3.2
46	Mauritius	5	2	3.8	-1.8	5	7.4	-2.4	-3	-3.6	+0.6	5	4.2	+0.8
47	Somalia	5	1	3.2	-2.2	11	6.9	+4.1	-10	-3.7	-6.3	0	4.1	-4.1
48	Tanzania	3	0	2.9	-2.9	4	3.1	+0.9	-4	-0.2	-3.8	0	3.9	-3.9
49	Chad	4	3	3.8	-0.8	9	6.2	+2.8	-6	-2.4	-3.6	1	3.8	-2.8
50	Central African Republic	5	2	3.8	-1.8	11	9.5	+1.5	-9	-5.6	-3.4	4	3.8	+0.2
51	São Tomé and Príncipe	5	3	3.7	-0.7	12	8.8	+3.2	-9	-5.1	-3.9	3	3.5	-0.5
52	Congo	2	1	1.4	-0.4	7	3.1	+3.9	-6	-1.6	-4.4	1	1.9	-0.9
53	Seychelles	5	1	2.3	-1.3	26	11.5	+14.5	-25	-9.1	-15.9	0	1.8	-1.8

CAF World Cup Qualifiers 2026 xG table, Away

#	Team	Played	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG	Goals against	xGA	Goals against minus xGA	Goal difference	xGD	Goal difference minus xGD	Points	xPts	Points minus xPts
1	Côte d'Ivoire	5	10	6.9	+3.1	0	2.8	-2.8	+10	4.1	+5.9	11	9.6	+1.4
2	Egypt	5	8	7.3	+0.7	1	3.6	-2.6	+7	3.7	+3.3	11	9.5	+1.5
3	Cameroon	5	4	8.3	-4.3	3	5.1	-2.1	+1	3.2	-2.2	6	8.9	-2.9
4	Ghana	5	11	8.1	+2.9	3	4.7	-1.7	+8	3.4	+4.6	10	8.8	+1.2
5	Senegal	5	9	7.8	+1.2	2	5.0	-3.0	+7	2.8	+4.2	11	8.8	+2.2
6	Congo DR	6	9	6.8	+2.2	3	5.8	-2.8	+6	1.0	+5.0	13	8.6	+4.4
7	South Africa	5	6	6.5	-0.5	3	4.3	-1.3	+3	2.2	+0.8	8	8.3	-0.3
8	Mali	4	3	7.0	-4.0	1	3.1	-2.1	+2	3.9	-1.9	5	8.0	-3.0
9	Burkina Faso	5	13	6.8	+6.2	3	5.4	-2.4	+10	1.4	+8.6	12	7.9	+4.1
10	Morocco	4	12	6.6	+5.4	1	3.2	-2.2	+11	3.4	+7.6	12	7.7	+4.3
11	Tunisia	5	9	6.5	+2.5	0	4.8	-4.8	+9	1.7	+7.3	13	7.7	+5.3
12	Gabon	6	13	6.3	+6.7	10	7.2	+2.8	+3	-0.9	+3.9	12	7.7	+4.3
13	Togo	5	1	6.0	-5.0	6	4.8	+1.2	-5	1.2	-6.2	2	7.6	-5.6
14	Gambia	5	14	7.2	+6.8	8	5.9	+2.1	+6	1.3	+4.7	6	7.5	-1.5
15	Angola	4	3	6.9	-3.9	3	4.0	-1.0	+0	2.9	-2.9	4	7.4	-3.4
16	Algeria	5	10	4.9	+5.1	2	4.1	-2.1	+8	0.8	+7.2	13	7.3	+5.7
17	Cape Verde Islands	5	10	5.9	+4.1	8	5.1	+2.9	+2	0.8	+1.2	10	7.3	+2.7
18	Madagascar	5	10	6.7	+3.3	7	6.2	+0.8	+3	0.5	+2.5	9	7.2	+1.8
19	Comoros	5	5	4.9	+0.1	6	4.2	+1.8	-1	0.7	-1.7	6	7.0	-1.0
20	Kenya	5	10	6.3	+3.7	8	5.2	+2.8	+2	1.1	+0.9	7	6.8	+0.2
21	Benin	5	4	5.3	-1.3	8	4.9	+3.1	-4	0.4	-4.4	5	6.8	-1.8
22	Guinea	5	7	5.7	+1.3	4	5.8	-1.8	+3	-0.1	+3.1	9	6.8	+2.2
23	Nigeria	4	5	4.9	+0.1	5	2.9	+2.1	+0	2.1	-2.1	5	6.7	-1.7
24	Guinea-Bissau	5	3	5.6	-2.6	6	6.8	-0.8	-3	-1.2	-1.8	4	6.1	-2.1
25	Malawi	5	3	4.5	-1.5	5	6.9	-1.9	-2	-2.5	+0.5	6	5.9	+0.1
26	Uganda	4	4	4.2	-0.2	4	3.9	+0.1	+0	0.4	-0.4	6	5.8	+0.2
27	Botswana	5	6	4.8	+1.2	9	6.2	+2.8	-3	-1.4	-1.6	4	5.8	-1.8
28	Namibia	4	4	4.4	-0.4	6	4.0	+2.0	-2	0.4	-2.4	6	5.7	+0.3
29	Liberia	5	5	5.1	-0.1	7	6.8	+0.2	-2	-1.7	-0.3	6	5.7	+0.3
30	Mauritania	5	2	5.6	-3.6	8	7.4	+0.6	-6	-1.8	-4.2	3	5.6	-2.6
31	Rwanda	5	2	4.4	-2.4	5	6.3	-1.3	-3	-1.8	-1.2	6	5.5	+0.5
32	Mozambique	5	6	4.6	+1.4	11	6.9	+4.1	-5	-2.3	-2.7	9	5.1	+3.9
33	Zimbabwe	5	2	4.9	-2.9	6	7.6	-1.6	-4	-2.7	-1.3	2	5.1	-3.1
34	Ethiopia	5	2	3.8	-1.8	8	7.1	+0.9	-6	-3.3	-2.7	2	4.9	-2.9
35	Sudan	5	5	4.4	+0.6	4	7.0	-3.0	+1	-2.6	+3.6	6	4.8	+1.2
36	Central African Republic	5	9	4.5	+4.5	13	7.3	+5.7	-4	-2.8	-1.2	4	4.8	-0.8
37	Eswatini	5	1	4.4	-3.4	11	7.3	+3.7	-10	-2.9	-7.1	0	4.7	-4.7
38	Equatorial Guinea	3	4	4.1	-0.1	4	3.3	+0.7	+0	0.8	-0.8	4	4.6	-0.6
39	Libya	5	3	3.6	-0.6	4	6.6	-2.6	-1	-3.0	+2.0	7	4.6	+2.4
40	Burundi	5	4	4.0	+0.0	7	7.4	-0.4	-3	-3.4	+0.4	4	4.4	-0.4
41	Djibouti	5	3	5.1	-2.1	20	9.5	+10.5	-17	-4.4	-12.6	0	4.4	-4.4
42	Mauritius	5	5	3.2	+1.8	12	7.2	+4.8	-7	-4.0	-3.0	1	4.1	-3.1
43	Somalia	5	2	4.0	-2.0	9	8.3	+0.7	-7	-4.4	-2.6	1	4.0	-3.0
44	Chad	5	2	3.2	-1.2	13	7.7	+5.3	-11	-4.6	-6.4	0	3.9	-3.9
45	São Tomé and Príncipe	5	2	4.1	-2.1	14	9.2	+4.8	-12	-5.1	-6.9	0	3.8	-3.8
46	Tanzania	4	3	2.7	+0.3	3	5.1	-2.1	+0	-2.5	+2.5	7	3.6	+3.4
47	Sierra Leone	3	5	2.1	+2.9	4	3.4	+0.6	+1	-1.3	+2.3	5	3.2	+1.8
48	Zambia	3	3	3.0	+0.0	4	4.6	-0.6	-1	-1.6	+0.6	3	3.0	+0.0
49	South Sudan	5	2	2.8	-0.8	7	9.0	-2.0	-5	-6.3	+1.3	3	3.0	+0.0
50	Lesotho	5	4	2.6	+1.4	8	9.2	-1.2	-4	-6.6	+2.6	5	2.6	+2.4
51	Congo	3	3	3.5	-0.5	8	6.2	+1.8	-5	-2.7	-2.3	0	2.5	-2.5
52	Niger	3	2	2.2	-0.2	5	5.9	-0.9	-3	-3.7	+0.7	6	2.1	+3.9
53	Seychelles	5	1	1.9	-0.9	27	12.3	+14.7	-26	-10.4	-15.6	0	1.8	-1.8

CAF World Cup Qualifiers 2026 xG table, Last 5

#	Team	Played	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG	Goals against	xGA	Goals against minus xGA	Goal difference	xGD	Goal difference minus xGD	Points	xPts	Points minus xPts
1	Morocco	5	12	9.1	+2.9	1	3.0	-2.0	+11	6.1	+4.9	15	10.6	+4.4
2	Côte d'Ivoire	5	12	8.0	+4.0	0	2.8	-2.8	+12	5.2	+6.8	13	10.4	+2.6
3	Egypt	5	8	8.2	-0.2	0	3.2	-3.2	+8	5.0	+3.0	13	10.2	+2.8
4	Angola	5	7	6.7	+0.3	7	2.8	+4.2	+0	3.9	-3.9	5	9.4	-4.4
5	South Africa	5	9	6.6	+2.4	1	3.0	-2.0	+8	3.6	+4.4	11	9.4	+1.6
6	Tunisia	5	15	9.0	+6.0	0	4.5	-4.5	+15	4.5	+10.5	15	9.3	+5.7
7	Nigeria	5	12	7.2	+4.8	3	3.6	-0.6	+9	3.6	+5.4	13	9.2	+3.8
8	Cameroon	5	8	7.4	+0.6	3	4.2	-1.2	+5	3.2	+1.8	9	9.1	-0.1
9	Senegal	5	16	7.1	+8.9	2	4.0	-2.0	+14	3.1	+10.9	15	9.0	+6.0
10	Mali	5	10	6.5	+3.5	2	3.3	-1.3	+8	3.2	+4.8	10	8.9	+1.1
11	Algeria	5	13	6.3	+6.7	3	3.5	-0.5	+10	2.9	+7.1	13	8.9	+4.1
12	Uganda	5	9	6.8	+2.2	2	4.1	-2.1	+7	2.7	+4.3	12	8.9	+3.1
13	Equatorial Guinea	5	7	6.3	+0.7	5	3.6	+1.4	+2	2.7	-0.7	8	8.7	-0.7
14	Burkina Faso	5	12	6.9	+5.1	2	4.4	-2.4	+10	2.5	+7.5	13	8.4	+4.6
15	Gambia	5	15	8.0	+7.0	6	5.6	+0.4	+9	2.4	+6.6	9	8.4	+0.6
16	Ghana	5	11	6.7	+4.3	1	4.0	-3.0	+10	2.7	+7.3	13	8.2	+4.8
17	Cape Verde Islands	5	11	6.0	+5.0	4	3.9	+0.1	+7	2.1	+4.9	13	8.2	+4.8
18	Guinea-Bissau	5	4	5.6	-1.6	5	3.7	+1.3	-1	1.9	-2.9	4	8.2	-4.2
19	Namibia	5	6	6.6	-0.6	9	4.3	+4.7	-3	2.3	-5.3	4	8.0	-4.0
20	Congo DR	5	9	6.3	+2.7	4	4.8	-0.8	+5	1.5	+3.5	12	7.9	+4.1
21	Gabon	5	11	5.8	+5.2	7	4.6	+2.4	+4	1.3	+2.7	10	7.9	+2.1
22	Zambia	5	2	6.7	-4.7	6	5.5	+0.5	-4	1.2	-5.2	3	7.6	-4.6
23	Malawi	5	4	5.7	-1.7	7	5.6	+1.4	-3	0.1	-3.1	4	7.5	-3.5
24	Togo	5	1	5.0	-4.0	5	4.1	+0.9	-4	0.9	-4.9	4	7.4	-3.4
25	Comoros	5	4	5.4	-1.4	6	4.2	+1.8	-2	1.2	-3.2	6	7.2	-1.2
26	Sierra Leone	5	8	4.7	+3.3	4	4.1	-0.1	+4	0.6	+3.4	10	7.2	+2.8
27	Kenya	5	8	5.3	+2.7	8	4.8	+3.2	+0	0.6	-0.6	6	7.1	-1.1
28	Guinea	5	7	5.6	+1.4	4	5.1	-1.1	+3	0.5	+2.5	8	7.1	+0.9
29	Mauritania	5	2	5.1	-3.1	6	4.8	+1.2	-4	0.3	-4.3	5	7.0	-2.0
30	Rwanda	5	2	4.9	-2.9	6	4.7	+1.3	-4	0.2	-4.2	4	6.9	-2.9
31	Madagascar	5	8	4.3	+3.7	9	4.4	+4.6	-1	0.0	-1.0	9	6.7	+2.3
32	Benin	5	6	4.0	+2.0	6	4.2	+1.8	+0	-0.1	+0.1	9	6.5	+2.5
33	Botswana	5	5	5.7	-0.7	8	5.9	+2.1	-3	-0.2	-2.8	4	6.5	-2.5
34	Libya	5	7	4.6	+2.4	6	5.2	+0.8	+1	-0.6	+1.6	8	6.3	+1.7
35	Sudan	5	1	4.2	-3.2	5	5.2	-0.2	-4	-1.1	-2.9	2	5.9	-3.9
36	Mozambique	5	5	3.4	+1.6	11	4.5	+6.5	-6	-1.1	-4.9	6	5.8	+0.2
37	Tanzania	5	2	4.2	-2.2	5	6.0	-1.0	-3	-1.8	-1.2	4	5.6	-1.6
38	Burundi	5	5	3.1	+1.9	6	5.2	+0.8	-1	-2.0	+1.0	3	5.4	-2.4
39	Liberia	5	8	3.8	+4.2	8	6.6	+1.4	+0	-2.8	+2.8	8	4.8	+3.2
40	Zimbabwe	5	1	4.6	-3.6	4	8.0	-4.0	-3	-3.3	+0.3	2	4.7	-2.7
41	Central African Republic	5	3	4.0	-1.0	11	8.3	+2.7	-8	-4.3	-3.7	4	4.5	-0.5
42	Niger	5	6	4.6	+1.4	8	9.0	-1.0	-2	-4.4	+2.4	9	4.5	+4.5
43	Ethiopia	5	8	4.6	+3.4	8	8.6	-0.6	+0	-4.0	+4.0	6	4.4	+1.6
44	Congo	5	4	4.9	-0.9	15	9.3	+5.7	-11	-4.4	-6.6	1	4.3	-3.3
45	Mauritius	5	4	2.7	+1.3	10	6.0	+4.0	-6	-3.3	-2.7	2	4.2	-2.2
46	Chad	5	4	3.8	+0.2	13	7.9	+5.1	-9	-4.1	-4.9	1	4.1	-3.1
47	Lesotho	5	3	3.9	-0.9	10	8.3	+1.7	-7	-4.4	-2.6	4	3.9	+0.1
48	Eswatini	5	5	3.0	+2.0	13	7.7	+5.3	-8	-4.7	-3.3	2	3.7	-1.7
49	South Sudan	5	2	3.1	-1.1	10	7.8	+2.2	-8	-4.6	-3.4	3	3.6	-0.6
50	São Tomé and Príncipe	5	4	3.9	+0.1	14	9.5	+4.5	-10	-5.6	-4.4	3	3.6	-0.6
51	Somalia	5	0	3.2	-3.2	11	8.0	+3.0	-11	-4.9	-6.1	0	3.5	-3.5
52	Djibouti	5	2	2.8	-0.8	19	7.2	+11.8	-17	-4.4	-12.6	0	3.4	-3.4
53	Seychelles	5	0	1.5	-1.5	28	9.2	+18.8	-28	-7.7	-20.3	0	1.8	-1.8

CAF World Cup Qualifiers xG Table Questions

Which CAF World Cup Qualifiers team is overperforming their xG the most in 2026?

The Gambia overperformed their xG by more than any other side in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers in 2026, with 27 goals from chances worth 14.1 xG, a gap of 12.9. Algeria were next on 10.6.

Which CAF World Cup Qualifiers team is underperforming their xG the most in 2026?

Togo underperformed their xG by more than any other side in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers in 2026, with 5 goals from chances worth 13.1 xG, a shortfall of 8.1. Mauritania were next on 7.3.

Which CAF World Cup Qualifiers team has been the luckiest on expected points in 2026?

Tunisia were the luckiest side in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers in 2026, with 28 points from performances worth 17.6 xPts, 10.4 more than their chances deserved. The Congo DR were next on 8.3.

Which CAF World Cup Qualifiers team has been the unluckiest on expected points in 2026?

Togo were the unluckiest side in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers in 2026, with 8 points from performances worth 16.1 xPts, 8.1 short of what they deserved. Eswatini and Djibouti were next on 7.6.

Who would be top of the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on xG in 2026?

Côte d'Ivoire would be top of the CAF World Cup Qualifiers in 2026 on expected points, with 20.2 xPts from 17.7 xG created and 5.7 conceded across ten matches. Nigeria were next on 18.6.

Which CAF World Cup Qualifiers team has the most xG in 2026?

Côte d'Ivoire created the most xG in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers in 2026, 17.7 from ten matches, 1.8 a game against a competition average of 1.2. Cameroon and Tunisia were next on 16.3.

Which CAF World Cup Qualifiers team has the least xG in 2026?

The Seychelles created the least xG in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers in 2026, 4.2 from ten matches, 0.4 a game against a competition average of 1.2. Congo were next on 4.9.

Which CAF World Cup Qualifiers team has conceded the most xG in 2026?

The Seychelles conceded the most xG in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers in 2026, 23.8 from ten matches, 2.4 a game against a competition average of 1.2. São Tomé and Príncipe were next on 18.0.

Which CAF World Cup Qualifiers team has conceded the least xG in 2026?

Morocco conceded the least xG in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers in 2026, 4.7 from eight matches, 0.6 a game against a competition average of 1.2. Equatorial Guinea were next on 5.2.

What is the average xG per game in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers in 2026?

CAF World Cup Qualifiers teams averaged 1.16 xG a game in 2026, from the 250 matches played, and scored 1.27 goals a game from it.

Did CAF World Cup Qualifiers teams create more xG at home or away in 2026?

CAF World Cup Qualifiers teams created more xG at home in 2026, 1.26 a game against 1.07 away, a home advantage of +0.19.

CAF World Cup Qualifiers pages

• CAF World Cup Qualifiers Table
• CAF World Cup Qualifiers Fixtures
• CAF World Cup Qualifiers Player Stats
• CAF World Cup Qualifiers Team Stats
• CAF World Cup Qualifiers BTTS Stats
• CAF World Cup Qualifiers Corner Stats
• CAF World Cup Qualifiers stats hub

Betting

• Bet Builder Tips
• Bet Builder picks by fixture

CAF World Cup Qualifiers 2026 xG table

#	Team	Played	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG	Goals against	xGA	Goals against minus xGA	Goal difference	xGD	Goal difference minus xGD	Points	xPts	Points minus xPts
1	Côte d'Ivoire	10	25	17.7	+7.3	0	5.7	-5.7	+25	12.0	+13.0	26	20.2	+5.8
2	Nigeria	10	17	15.1	+1.9	9	7.6	+1.4	+8	7.5	+0.5	17	18.6	-1.6
3	Cameroon	10	17	16.3	+0.7	6	9.6	-3.6	+11	6.7	+4.3	18	18.1	-0.1
4	South Africa	10	17	13.5	+3.5	6	7.1	-1.1	+11	6.4	+4.6	21	18.1	+2.9
5	Senegal	10	22	16.1	+5.9	3	9.2	-6.2	+19	6.9	+12.1	24	18.0	+6.0
6	Egypt	9	19	15.4	+3.6	2	7.0	-5.0	+17	8.4	+8.6	23	17.7	+5.3
7	Tunisia	10	22	16.3	+5.7	0	9.3	-9.3	+22	7.0	+15.0	28	17.6	+10.4
8	Mali	9	15	14.1	+0.9	6	6.4	-0.4	+9	7.7	+1.3	15	17.4	-2.4
9	Morocco	8	22	14.6	+7.4	2	4.7	-2.7	+20	9.9	+10.1	24	17.3	+6.7
10	Ghana	10	23	14.8	+8.2	6	9.3	-3.3	+17	5.5	+11.5	25	17.1	+7.9
11	Burkina Faso	10	23	15.5	+7.5	8	10.5	-2.5	+15	5.0	+10.0	21	16.9	+4.1
12	Algeria	10	24	13.4	+10.6	8	8.6	-0.6	+16	4.9	+11.1	25	16.9	+8.1
13	Gabon	11	23	13.5	+9.5	13	10.9	+2.1	+10	2.6	+7.4	25	16.8	+8.2
14	Congo DR	11	16	13.2	+2.8	6	10.7	-4.7	+10	2.4	+7.6	25	16.7	+8.3
15	Cape Verde Islands	10	16	13.1	+2.9	8	9.0	-1.0	+8	4.2	+3.8	23	16.6	+6.4
16	Togo	10	5	13.1	-8.1	10	9.6	+0.4	-5	3.6	-8.6	8	16.1	-8.1
17	Gambia	10	27	14.1	+12.9	18	10.9	+7.1	+9	3.3	+5.7	13	15.6	-2.6
18	Angola	9	9	12.7	-3.7	8	7.9	+0.1	+1	4.8	-3.8	11	15.5	-4.5
19	Uganda	9	13	11.5	+1.5	6	7.5	-1.5	+7	4.0	+3.0	18	15.3	+2.7
20	Kenya	10	18	13.2	+4.8	14	9.8	+4.2	+4	3.4	+0.6	12	15.3	-3.3
21	Comoros	10	12	12.3	-0.3	13	9.6	+3.4	-1	2.7	-3.7	15	15.1	-0.1
22	Guinea	10	11	11.7	-0.7	8	10.1	-2.1	+3	1.6	+1.4	15	15.0	+0.0
23	Namibia	9	10	11.2	-1.2	10	8.4	+1.6	+0	2.8	-2.8	12	13.8	-1.8
24	Mauritania	10	4	11.3	-7.3	13	11.1	+1.9	-9	0.2	-9.2	7	13.8	-6.8
25	Benin	10	12	10.0	+2.0	11	9.4	+1.6	+1	0.6	+0.4	17	13.7	+3.3
26	Guinea-Bissau	10	8	10.0	-2.0	10	10.0	+0.0	-2	0.0	-2.0	10	13.5	-3.5
27	Madagascar	10	17	11.2	+5.8	12	11.7	+0.3	+5	-0.5	+5.5	19	13.4	+5.6
28	Botswana	10	12	11.3	+0.7	16	11.9	+4.1	-4	-0.6	-3.4	10	12.8	-2.8
29	Equatorial Guinea	7	8	9.5	-1.5	6	5.2	+0.8	+2	4.2	-2.2	11	12.4	-1.4
30	Rwanda	9	5	8.9	-3.9	7	9.0	-2.0	-2	0.0	-2.0	11	12.2	-1.2
31	Malawi	9	8	10.0	-2.0	10	11.3	-1.3	-2	-1.3	-0.7	10	12.2	-2.2
32	Burundi	10	13	8.8	+4.2	13	11.3	+1.7	+0	-2.5	+2.5	10	11.7	-1.7
33	Libya	10	12	9.2	+2.8	10	12.3	-2.3	+2	-3.0	+5.0	16	11.5	+4.5
34	Sudan	10	8	10.0	-2.0	6	13.4	-7.4	+2	-3.4	+5.4	13	11.2	+1.8
35	Zimbabwe	10	5	10.1	-5.1	12	14.0	-2.0	-7	-4.0	-3.0	5	11.0	-6.0
36	Mozambique	9	11	8.4	+2.6	16	10.2	+5.8	-5	-1.8	-3.2	15	10.9	+4.1
37	Sierra Leone	8	12	8.5	+3.5	9	9.0	+0.0	+3	-0.4	+3.4	14	10.7	+3.3
38	Eswatini	10	6	10.4	-4.4	19	15.4	+3.6	-13	-5.0	-8.0	3	10.6	-7.6
39	Liberia	9	10	8.9	+1.1	11	11.5	-0.5	-1	-2.6	+1.6	12	10.5	+1.5
40	Zambia	7	7	10.4	-3.4	10	9.5	+0.5	-3	0.9	-3.9	6	10.2	-4.2
41	Ethiopia	9	9	8.7	+0.3	14	14.3	-0.3	-5	-5.5	+0.5	8	9.1	-1.1
42	Djibouti	10	5	8.5	-3.5	33	15.9	+17.1	-28	-7.5	-20.5	1	8.6	-7.6
43	Central African Republic	10	11	8.3	+2.7	24	16.8	+7.2	-13	-8.5	-4.5	8	8.6	-0.6
44	Mauritius	10	7	7.0	+0.0	17	14.6	+2.4	-10	-7.6	-2.4	6	8.3	-2.3
45	Somalia	10	3	7.2	-4.2	20	15.2	+4.8	-17	-8.1	-8.9	1	8.1	-7.1
46	Chad	9	5	6.9	-1.9	22	13.9	+8.1	-17	-7.0	-10.0	1	7.7	-6.7
47	Niger	7	8	7.4	+0.6	10	11.1	-1.1	-2	-3.8	+1.8	12	7.6	+4.4
48	Lesotho	10	6	8.0	-2.0	14	17.7	-3.7	-8	-9.7	+1.7	9	7.6	+1.4
49	Tanzania	7	3	5.6	-2.6	7	8.3	-1.3	-4	-2.7	-1.3	7	7.5	-0.5
50	South Sudan	10	3	7.9	-4.9	19	17.6	+1.4	-16	-9.7	-6.3	5	7.5	-2.5
51	São Tomé and Príncipe	10	5	7.8	-2.8	26	18.0	+8.0	-21	-10.2	-10.8	3	7.4	-4.4
52	Congo	5	4	4.9	-0.9	15	9.3	+5.7	-11	-4.4	-6.6	1	4.3	-3.3
53	Seychelles	10	2	4.2	-2.2	53	23.8	+29.2	-51	-19.6	-31.4	0	3.6	-3.6