Win, draw and score chances for Seattle v RSL, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Seattle win | 41.9% |
| Draw | 26.7% |
| RSL win | 31.3% |
| Seattle or draw (1X) | 68.7% |
| RSL or draw (X2) | 58.1% |
| Seattle or RSL (12) | 73.3% |
| Both teams to score | 59.9% |
| Seattle clean sheet | 26.1% |
| RSL clean sheet | 20.5% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Seattle 1-1 RSL | 12.5% |
| Seattle 2-1 RSL | 9.0% |
| Seattle 1-2 RSL | 7.7% |
| Seattle 1-0 RSL | 7.3% |
| Seattle 2-0 RSL | 6.7% |
| Seattle 0-0 RSL | 6.5% |
| Seattle 0-1 RSL | 6.1% |
| Seattle 2-2 RSL | 6.1% |
| Stat | Seattle | RSL | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 | 1.34 | 2.93 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 4.7 | 10.6 |
| Shots | 14.2 | 12.3 | 26.6 |
| Shots on target | 5.1 | 4.5 | 9.6 |
| Yellow cards | 1.8 | 1.9 | 3.7 |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 10.7 | 21.3 |
| Tackles | 13.5 | 14.2 | 27.7 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 6.5% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 80.1% | 19.9% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 33.6% | 66.4% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 17.3% | 82.8% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 83.2% | 16.8% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 73.4% | 26.6% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 61.9% | 38.1% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 37.8% | 62.2% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 27.3% | 72.8% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 94.7% | 5.3% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 88.3% | 11.7% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 78.1% | 21.9% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 64.5% | 35.5% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 84.0% | 16.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 73.8% | 26.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 48.7% | 51.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 36.3% | 63.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 70.6% | 29.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 30.3% | 69.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 16.3% | 83.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 7.8% | 92.3% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 63.6% | 36.4% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 30.3% | 69.7% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 17.6% | 82.4% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 9.1% | 90.9% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 98.8% | 1.2% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 96.6% | 3.4% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 91.8% | 8.2% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 83.7% | 16.3% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 71.9% | 28.1% |
Our model makes Seattle favourites in Seattle v RSL on Friday 20 November, with a 42% chance of a home win, 27% for the draw and 31% for RSL, from projected goals of 1.58 for Seattle and 1.34 for RSL.
The most likely score in Seattle v RSL is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 2-1 at 9% and 1-2 at 8%, from our model's projection of 1.58 goals for Seattle and 1.34 for RSL, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 60% of the outcomes our model gives Seattle v RSL, making yes the likelier answer, with Seattle keeping a clean sheet 26% of the time and RSL 21%, from projected goals of 1.58 and 1.34.
Our model projects 2.93 goals in Seattle v RSL, with over 2.5 goals at 56% and over 3.5 at 34%, and two goals the likeliest total at 24%.
Our model expects 10.6 corners in Seattle v RSL on Friday 20 November, 5.9 for Seattle and 4.7 for RSL, putting over 10.5 corners at 50% and over 11.5 at 38%.
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards in Seattle v RSL on Friday 20 November, 1.8 for Seattle and 1.9 for RSL, putting over 3.5 cards at 50% and over 4.5 at 30%.
The Seattle v RSL simulation turns our projections of 1.58 goals for Seattle and 1.34 for RSL into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.