Win, draw and score chances for Niger v Morocco, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Niger win | 2.5% |
| Draw | 10.4% |
| Morocco win | 87.1% |
| Niger or draw (1X) | 12.9% |
| Morocco or draw (X2) | 97.5% |
| Niger or Morocco (12) | 89.6% |
| Both teams to score | 23.1% |
| Niger clean sheet | 7.3% |
| Morocco clean sheet | 75.1% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Niger 0-2 Morocco | 18.8% |
| Niger 0-3 Morocco | 16.4% |
| Niger 0-1 Morocco | 14.3% |
| Niger 0-4 Morocco | 10.7% |
| Niger 0-5 Morocco | 5.6% |
| Niger 0-0 Morocco | 5.5% |
| Niger 1-2 Morocco | 5.4% |
| Niger 1-3 Morocco | 4.7% |
| Stat | Niger | Morocco | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.29 | 2.62 | 2.91 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 5.3 | 8.7 |
| Shots | 4.7 | 14.7 | 19.4 |
| Shots on target | 1.7 | 5.7 | 7.4 |
| Yellow cards | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 |
| Fouls | 15.8 | 14.6 | 30.5 |
| Tackles | 15.1 | 14.2 | 29.4 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 5.5% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 78.7% | 21.4% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 33.2% | 66.8% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 16.9% | 83.1% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 64.2% | 35.8% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 37.6% | 62.4% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 26.1% | 73.9% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 17.1% | 82.9% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 10.5% | 89.5% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 56.9% | 43.1% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 23.7% | 76.3% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 12.7% | 87.3% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 6.0% | 94.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 60.6% | 39.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 45.8% | 54.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 32.2% | 67.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 21.0% | 79.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 12.8% | 87.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 67.1% | 33.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 26.6% | 73.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 13.6% | 86.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 6.2% | 93.8% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 98.2% | 1.8% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 95.4% | 4.6% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 90.0% | 10.0% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 81.5% | 18.5% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 69.7% | 30.3% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.5% | 0.5% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 98.3% | 1.7% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 95.5% | 4.5% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 90.2% | 9.9% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 81.4% | 18.6% |
Our model makes Morocco favourites in Niger v Morocco on Tuesday 17 November, with a 87% chance of an away win, 10% for the draw and 3% for Niger, from projected goals of 2.62 for Morocco and 0.29 for Niger.
The most likely score in Niger v Morocco is 0-2 at 19%, ahead of 0-3 at 16% and 0-1 at 14%, from our model's projection of 0.29 goals for Niger and 2.62 for Morocco, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Niger v Morocco, at 23% yes and 77% no, with Niger keeping a clean sheet 7% of the time and Morocco 75%, from projected goals of 0.29 and 2.62.
Our model projects 2.91 goals in Niger v Morocco, with over 2.5 goals at 56% and over 3.5 at 33%, and two goals the likeliest total at 23%.
Our model expects 8.7 corners in Niger v Morocco on Tuesday 17 November, 3.4 for Niger and 5.3 for Morocco, putting over 8.5 corners at 51% and over 9.5 at 38%.
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards in Niger v Morocco on Tuesday 17 November, 2.0 for Niger and 1.5 for Morocco, putting over 2.5 cards at 67% and over 3.5 at 45%.
The Niger v Morocco simulation turns our projections of 0.29 goals for Niger and 2.62 for Morocco into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.