Win, draw and score chances for South Sudan v Angola, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 13 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| South Sudan win | 14.3% |
| Draw | 25.7% |
| Angola win | 60.0% |
| South Sudan or draw (1X) | 40.0% |
| Angola or draw (X2) | 85.7% |
| South Sudan or Angola (12) | 74.3% |
| Both teams to score | 35.0% |
| South Sudan clean sheet | 21.8% |
| Angola clean sheet | 55.3% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| South Sudan 0-1 Angola | 18.4% |
| South Sudan 0-2 Angola | 14.0% |
| South Sudan 0-0 Angola | 12.1% |
| South Sudan 1-1 Angola | 10.9% |
| South Sudan 1-2 Angola | 8.3% |
| South Sudan 1-0 Angola | 7.2% |
| South Sudan 0-3 Angola | 7.1% |
| South Sudan 1-3 Angola | 4.2% |
| Stat | South Sudan | Angola | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.59 | 1.52 | 2.12 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 5.8 | 9.2 |
| Shots | 5.9 | 10.4 | 16.4 |
| Shots on target | 2.0 | 4.1 | 6.1 |
| Yellow cards | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2.9 |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 12.5 | 24.6 |
| Tackles | 14.8 | 14.6 | 29.4 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 88.0% | 12.1% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 35.5% | 64.5% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 16.4% | 83.6% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 6.4% | 93.6% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 70.4% | 29.6% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 57.6% | 42.4% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 32.3% | 67.7% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 22.1% | 77.9% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 14.3% | 85.7% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 28.9% | 71.1% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 15.3% | 84.7% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 7.0% | 93.0% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 2.8% | 97.2% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 1.0% | 99.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 41.2% | 58.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 27.2% | 72.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 16.5% | 83.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 9.2% | 90.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 4.8% | 95.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 33.3% | 66.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 7.5% | 92.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 2.9% | 97.1% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 84.9% | 15.1% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 72.7% | 27.3% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 27.2% | 72.8% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.5% | 0.5% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 98.3% | 1.7% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 95.5% | 4.5% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 90.2% | 9.8% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 81.5% | 18.6% |
Our model makes Angola favourites in South Sudan v Angola on Tuesday 17 November, with a 60% chance of an away win, 26% for the draw and 14% for South Sudan, from projected goals of 1.52 for Angola and 0.59 for South Sudan.
The most likely score in South Sudan v Angola is 0-1 at 18%, ahead of 0-2 at 14% and 0-0 at 12%, from our model's projection of 0.59 goals for South Sudan and 1.52 for Angola, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in South Sudan v Angola, at 35% yes and 65% no, with South Sudan keeping a clean sheet 22% of the time and Angola 55%, from projected goals of 0.59 and 1.52.
Our model projects 2.12 goals in South Sudan v Angola, with over 1.5 goals at 62% and over 2.5 at 35%, and two goals the likeliest total at 27%.
Our model expects 9.2 corners in South Sudan v Angola on Tuesday 17 November, 3.5 for South Sudan and 5.8 for Angola, putting over 8.5 corners at 58% and over 9.5 at 44%.
Our model expects 2.9 yellow cards in South Sudan v Angola on Tuesday 17 November, 1.7 for South Sudan and 1.2 for Angola, putting over 2.5 cards at 56% and over 3.5 at 33%.
The South Sudan v Angola simulation turns our projections of 0.59 goals for South Sudan and 1.52 for Angola into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.