Win, draw and score chances for Togo v Algeria, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 13 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Togo win | 22.0% |
| Draw | 28.0% |
| Algeria win | 50.0% |
| Togo or draw (1X) | 50.0% |
| Algeria or draw (X2) | 78.0% |
| Togo or Algeria (12) | 72.0% |
| Both teams to score | 40.7% |
| Togo clean sheet | 25.8% |
| Algeria clean sheet | 45.2% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Togo 0-1 Algeria | 15.8% |
| Togo 1-1 Algeria | 12.6% |
| Togo 0-0 Algeria | 11.6% |
| Togo 0-2 Algeria | 10.7% |
| Togo 1-0 Algeria | 9.3% |
| Togo 1-2 Algeria | 8.5% |
| Togo 2-1 Algeria | 5.0% |
| Togo 0-3 Algeria | 4.8% |
| Stat | Togo | Algeria | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.80 | 1.36 | 2.15 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 4.6 | 9.0 |
| Shots | 7.5 | 9.5 | 17.0 |
| Shots on target | 2.8 | 3.7 | 6.5 |
| Yellow cards | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| Fouls | 12.0 | 14.8 | 26.8 |
| Tackles | 15.1 | 14.8 | 29.9 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 88.4% | 11.6% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 36.4% | 63.6% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 17.1% | 82.9% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 6.7% | 93.3% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 67.9% | 32.1% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 54.7% | 45.3% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 41.6% | 58.4% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 29.7% | 70.3% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 19.9% | 80.1% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 12.6% | 87.4% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 34.8% | 65.2% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 19.7% | 80.3% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 9.7% | 90.3% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 4.1% | 95.9% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 1.6% | 98.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 32.4% | 67.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 20.6% | 79.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 12.1% | 87.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 6.6% | 93.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 62.2% | 37.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 22.1% | 77.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 10.6% | 89.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 4.5% | 95.5% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 92.6% | 7.4% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 84.7% | 15.3% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 73.1% | 26.9% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 58.6% | 41.4% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.6% | 0.4% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 98.7% | 1.3% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 96.4% | 3.6% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 91.8% | 8.2% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 84.0% | 16.0% |
Our model makes Algeria favourites in Togo v Algeria on Tuesday 17 November, with a 50% chance of an away win, 28% for the draw and 22% for Togo, from projected goals of 1.36 for Algeria and 0.80 for Togo.
The most likely score in Togo v Algeria is 0-1 at 16%, ahead of 1-1 at 13% and 0-0 at 12%, from our model's projection of 0.80 goals for Togo and 1.36 for Algeria, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Togo v Algeria, at 41% yes and 59% no, with Togo keeping a clean sheet 26% of the time and Algeria 45%, from projected goals of 0.80 and 1.36.
Our model projects 2.15 goals in Togo v Algeria, with over 1.5 goals at 63% and over 2.5 at 36%, and two goals the likeliest total at 27%.
Our model expects 9.0 corners in Togo v Algeria on Tuesday 17 November, 4.4 for Togo and 4.6 for Algeria, putting over 8.5 corners at 55% and over 9.5 at 42%.
Our model expects 3.2 yellow cards in Togo v Algeria on Tuesday 17 November, 1.7 for Togo and 1.6 for Algeria, putting over 2.5 cards at 62% and over 3.5 at 40%.
The Togo v Algeria simulation turns our projections of 0.80 goals for Togo and 1.36 for Algeria into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.