Win, draw and score chances for Angola v South Sudan, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Angola win | 82.0% |
| Draw | 13.9% |
| South Sudan win | 4.1% |
| Angola or draw (1X) | 95.9% |
| South Sudan or draw (X2) | 18.0% |
| Angola or South Sudan (12) | 86.1% |
| Both teams to score | 25.7% |
| Angola clean sheet | 71.5% |
| South Sudan clean sheet | 10.1% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Angola 2-0 South Sudan | 19.0% |
| Angola 1-0 South Sudan | 16.5% |
| Angola 3-0 South Sudan | 14.5% |
| Angola 4-0 South Sudan | 8.3% |
| Angola 0-0 South Sudan | 7.2% |
| Angola 2-1 South Sudan | 6.4% |
| Angola 1-1 South Sudan | 5.6% |
| Angola 3-1 South Sudan | 4.9% |
| Stat | Angola | South Sudan | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.30 | 0.34 | 2.63 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 3.0 | 9.4 |
| Shots | 12.8 | 5.2 | 18.0 |
| Shots on target | 5.1 | 1.7 | 6.8 |
| Yellow cards | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.9 |
| Fouls | 12.5 | 12.1 | 24.6 |
| Tackles | 14.6 | 14.8 | 29.4 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 7.2% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 73.9% | 26.1% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 27.1% | 72.9% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 12.7% | 87.3% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 71.7% | 28.3% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 33.8% | 66.2% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 23.4% | 76.6% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 15.3% | 84.8% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 43.4% | 56.6% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 26.6% | 73.4% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 14.3% | 85.8% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 6.7% | 93.3% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 2.8% | 97.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 23.9% | 76.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 14.6% | 85.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 8.2% | 91.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 33.3% | 66.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 7.5% | 92.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 2.9% | 97.1% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 84.9% | 15.1% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 72.7% | 27.3% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 27.2% | 72.8% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.5% | 0.5% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 98.3% | 1.7% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 95.5% | 4.5% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 90.2% | 9.8% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 81.4% | 18.6% |
Our model makes Angola favourites in Angola v South Sudan on Saturday 14 November, with a 82% chance of a home win, 14% for the draw and 4% for South Sudan, from projected goals of 2.30 for Angola and 0.34 for South Sudan.
The most likely score in Angola v South Sudan is 2-0 at 19%, ahead of 1-0 at 17% and 3-0 at 15%, from our model's projection of 2.30 goals for Angola and 0.34 for South Sudan, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Angola v South Sudan, at 26% yes and 74% no, with Angola keeping a clean sheet 71% of the time and South Sudan 10%, from projected goals of 2.30 and 0.34.
Our model projects 2.63 goals in Angola v South Sudan, with over 2.5 goals at 49% and over 3.5 at 27%, and two goals the likeliest total at 25%.
Our model expects 9.4 corners in Angola v South Sudan on Saturday 14 November, 6.4 for Angola and 3.0 for South Sudan, putting over 8.5 corners at 59% and over 9.5 at 46%.
Our model expects 2.9 yellow cards in Angola v South Sudan on Saturday 14 November, 1.2 for Angola and 1.7 for South Sudan, putting over 2.5 cards at 56% and over 3.5 at 33%.
The Angola v South Sudan simulation turns our projections of 2.30 goals for Angola and 0.34 for South Sudan into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.