Win, draw and score chances for New Zealand v India, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 13 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| New Zealand win | 76.9% |
| Draw | 15.2% |
| India win | 7.9% |
| New Zealand or draw (1X) | 92.1% |
| India or draw (X2) | 23.1% |
| New Zealand or India (12) | 84.8% |
| Both teams to score | 43.6% |
| New Zealand clean sheet | 52.3% |
| India clean sheet | 8.7% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| New Zealand 2-0 India | 13.6% |
| New Zealand 1-0 India | 11.1% |
| New Zealand 3-0 India | 11.0% |
| New Zealand 2-1 India | 8.8% |
| New Zealand 1-1 India | 7.2% |
| New Zealand 3-1 India | 7.2% |
| New Zealand 4-0 India | 6.7% |
| New Zealand 0-0 India | 4.6% |
| Stat | New Zealand | India | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.44 | 0.65 | 3.09 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 4.2 | 9.6 |
| Shots | 14.2 | 7.1 | 21.4 |
| Shots on target | 5.7 | 2.3 | 8.0 |
| Yellow cards | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 10.6 | 20.5 |
| Tackles | 11.7 | 13.3 | 25.0 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 4.6% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 81.4% | 18.6% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 74.1% | 25.9% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 61.9% | 38.1% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 36.6% | 63.4% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 25.8% | 74.2% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 17.1% | 82.9% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 72.4% | 27.6% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 56.0% | 44.1% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 38.9% | 61.1% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 24.2% | 75.8% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 13.4% | 86.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 68.2% | 31.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 54.2% | 45.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 27.9% | 72.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 18.1% | 81.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 24.8% | 75.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 11.2% | 88.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 4.4% | 95.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 1.5% | 98.5% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 57.7% | 42.3% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 13.8% | 86.2% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 6.8% | 93.2% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 96.2% | 3.8% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 90.7% | 9.3% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 81.3% | 18.7% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 52.4% | 47.6% |
Our model makes New Zealand favourites in New Zealand v India on Sunday 15 November, with a 77% chance of a home win, 15% for the draw and 8% for India, from projected goals of 2.44 for New Zealand and 0.65 for India.
The most likely score in New Zealand v India is 2-0 at 14%, ahead of 1-0 at 11% and 3-0 at 11%, from our model's projection of 2.44 goals for New Zealand and 0.65 for India, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in New Zealand v India, at 44% yes and 56% no, with New Zealand keeping a clean sheet 52% of the time and India 9%, from projected goals of 2.44 and 0.65.
Our model projects 3.09 goals in New Zealand v India, with over 2.5 goals at 60% and over 3.5 at 37%, and two and three goals the likeliest totals at 22% each.
Our model expects 9.6 corners in New Zealand v India on Sunday 15 November, 5.4 for New Zealand and 4.2 for India, putting over 9.5 corners at 49% and over 10.5 at 37%.
Our model expects 2.5 yellow cards in New Zealand v India on Sunday 15 November, 1.4 for New Zealand and 1.2 for India, putting over 2.5 cards at 46% and over 3.5 at 25%.
The New Zealand v India simulation turns our projections of 2.44 goals for New Zealand and 0.65 for India into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.