Win, draw and score chances for Galatasaray v Samsunspor, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Galatasaray win | 78.1% |
| Draw | 14.0% |
| Samsunspor win | 7.9% |
| Galatasaray or draw (1X) | 92.1% |
| Samsunspor or draw (X2) | 21.9% |
| Galatasaray or Samsunspor (12) | 86.0% |
| Both teams to score | 53.0% |
| Galatasaray clean sheet | 43.9% |
| Samsunspor clean sheet | 6.0% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Galatasaray 2-0 Samsunspor | 10.4% |
| Galatasaray 3-0 Samsunspor | 9.8% |
| Galatasaray 2-1 Samsunspor | 8.6% |
| Galatasaray 3-1 Samsunspor | 8.1% |
| Galatasaray 1-0 Samsunspor | 7.1% |
| Galatasaray 4-0 Samsunspor | 6.9% |
| Galatasaray 1-1 Samsunspor | 6.4% |
| Galatasaray 4-1 Samsunspor | 5.7% |
| Stat | Galatasaray | Samsunspor | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.81 | 0.82 | 3.63 |
| Corners | 6.5 | 3.9 | 10.4 |
| Shots | 25.1 | 8.9 | 34.0 |
| Shots on target | 8.6 | 3.0 | 11.6 |
| Yellow cards | 1.6 | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 13.2 | 24.5 |
| Tackles | 13.0 | 14.6 | 27.6 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 97.1% | 3.0% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 70.3% | 29.7% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 49.2% | 50.9% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 81.5% | 18.5% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 71.2% | 28.8% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 59.3% | 40.7% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 46.9% | 53.1% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 35.1% | 64.9% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 24.9% | 75.1% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 99.8% | 0.2% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 99.3% | 0.7% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 98.1% | 1.9% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 95.4% | 4.6% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 90.5% | 9.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 94.3% | 5.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 89.2% | 10.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 81.8% | 18.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 72.2% | 27.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 61.1% | 38.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 75.7% | 24.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 21.0% | 79.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 10.7% | 89.3% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 84.6% | 15.5% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 72.2% | 27.8% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 56.9% | 43.1% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 26.7% | 73.3% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 98.8% | 1.2% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 96.4% | 3.6% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 91.6% | 8.5% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 83.2% | 16.8% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 71.3% | 28.7% |
Our model makes Galatasaray favourites in Galatasaray v Samsunspor on Saturday 21 November, with a 78% chance of a home win, 14% for the draw and 8% for Samsunspor, from projected goals of 2.81 for Galatasaray and 0.82 for Samsunspor.
The most likely score in Galatasaray v Samsunspor is 2-0 at 10%, ahead of 3-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 9%, from our model's projection of 2.81 goals for Galatasaray and 0.82 for Samsunspor, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 53% of the outcomes our model gives Galatasaray v Samsunspor, making yes the likelier answer, with Galatasaray keeping a clean sheet 44% of the time and Samsunspor 6%, from projected goals of 2.81 and 0.82.
Our model projects 3.63 goals in Galatasaray v Samsunspor, with over 3.5 goals at 49% and over 4.5 at 30%, and three goals the likeliest total at 21%.
Our model expects 10.4 corners in Galatasaray v Samsunspor on Saturday 21 November, 6.5 for Galatasaray and 3.9 for Samsunspor, putting over 9.5 corners at 59% and over 10.5 at 47%.
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards in Galatasaray v Samsunspor on Saturday 21 November, 1.6 for Galatasaray and 2.3 for Samsunspor, putting over 3.5 cards at 56% and over 4.5 at 36%.
The Galatasaray v Samsunspor simulation turns our projections of 2.81 goals for Galatasaray and 0.82 for Samsunspor into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.