Win, draw and score chances for Albacete v Celta Fortuna, with the goals lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Albacete win | 55.4% |
| Draw | 23.1% |
| Celta Fortuna win | 21.5% |
| Albacete or draw (1X) | 78.5% |
| Celta Fortuna or draw (X2) | 44.6% |
| Albacete or Celta Fortuna (12) | 76.9% |
| Both teams to score | 58.3% |
| Albacete clean sheet | 32.4% |
| Celta Fortuna clean sheet | 14.6% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Albacete 1-1 Celta Fortuna | 10.8% |
| Albacete 2-1 Celta Fortuna | 9.9% |
| Albacete 2-0 Celta Fortuna | 8.8% |
| Albacete 1-0 Celta Fortuna | 8.6% |
| Albacete 3-1 Celta Fortuna | 6.3% |
| Albacete 1-2 Celta Fortuna | 5.8% |
| Albacete 3-0 Celta Fortuna | 5.6% |
| Albacete 2-2 Celta Fortuna | 5.6% |
| Stat | Albacete | Celta Fortuna | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 | 1.13 | 3.05 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 5.2% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 81.4% | 18.6% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 41.2% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 36.4% | 63.6% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 19.4% | 80.7% |
Our model makes Albacete favourites in Albacete v Celta Fortuna on Monday 16 November, with a 55% chance of a home win, 23% for the draw and 22% for Celta Fortuna, from projected goals of 1.92 for Albacete and 1.13 for Celta Fortuna.
The most likely score in Albacete v Celta Fortuna is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 at 10% and 2-0 at 9%, from our model's projection of 1.92 goals for Albacete and 1.13 for Celta Fortuna, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 58% of the outcomes our model gives Albacete v Celta Fortuna, making yes the likelier answer, with Albacete keeping a clean sheet 32% of the time and Celta Fortuna 15%, from projected goals of 1.92 and 1.13.
Our model projects 3.05 goals in Albacete v Celta Fortuna, with over 2.5 goals at 59% and over 3.5 at 36%, and two goals the likeliest total at 23%.
The Albacete v Celta Fortuna simulation turns our projections of 1.92 goals for Albacete and 1.13 for Celta Fortuna into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.