Win, draw and score chances for Almería v FC Andorra, with the goals lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Almería win | 52.9% |
| Draw | 22.8% |
| FC Andorra win | 24.3% |
| Almería or draw (1X) | 75.7% |
| FC Andorra or draw (X2) | 47.2% |
| Almería or FC Andorra (12) | 77.2% |
| Both teams to score | 62.8% |
| Almería clean sheet | 27.6% |
| FC Andorra clean sheet | 13.9% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Almería 1-1 FC Andorra | 10.2% |
| Almería 2-1 FC Andorra | 9.6% |
| Almería 2-0 FC Andorra | 7.5% |
| Almería 1-0 FC Andorra | 7.1% |
| Almería 3-1 FC Andorra | 6.3% |
| Almería 1-2 FC Andorra | 6.3% |
| Almería 2-2 FC Andorra | 6.2% |
| Almería 3-0 FC Andorra | 4.9% |
| Stat | Almería | FC Andorra | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.97 | 1.29 | 3.26 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 95.7% | 4.3% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 84.1% | 15.9% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 63.2% | 36.8% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 41.1% | 58.9% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 23.0% | 77.0% |
Our model makes Almería favourites in Almería v FC Andorra on Saturday 14 November, with a 53% chance of a home win, 23% for the draw and 24% for FC Andorra, from projected goals of 1.97 for Almería and 1.29 for FC Andorra.
The most likely score in Almería v FC Andorra is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 at 10% and 2-0 at 7%, from our model's projection of 1.97 goals for Almería and 1.29 for FC Andorra, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 63% of the outcomes our model gives Almería v FC Andorra, making yes the likelier answer, with Almería keeping a clean sheet 28% of the time and FC Andorra 14%, from projected goals of 1.97 and 1.29.
Our model projects 3.26 goals in Almería v FC Andorra, with over 2.5 goals at 63% and over 3.5 at 41%, and three goals the likeliest total at 22%.
The Almería v FC Andorra simulation turns our projections of 1.97 goals for Almería and 1.29 for FC Andorra into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.