Win, draw and score chances for Eibar v Cádiz, with the goals lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Eibar win | 59.5% |
| Draw | 24.0% |
| Cádiz win | 16.5% |
| Eibar or draw (1X) | 83.5% |
| Cádiz or draw (X2) | 40.5% |
| Eibar or Cádiz (12) | 76.0% |
| Both teams to score | 47.4% |
| Eibar clean sheet | 43.6% |
| Cádiz clean sheet | 16.8% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Eibar 1-0 Cádiz | 12.5% |
| Eibar 2-0 Cádiz | 11.7% |
| Eibar 1-1 Cádiz | 11.4% |
| Eibar 2-1 Cádiz | 9.7% |
| Eibar 0-0 Cádiz | 7.9% |
| Eibar 3-0 Cádiz | 6.9% |
| Eibar 3-1 Cádiz | 5.8% |
| Eibar 0-1 Cádiz | 5.5% |
| Stat | Eibar | Cádiz | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 | 0.83 | 2.61 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 7.9% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 74.1% | 26.0% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 26.7% | 73.3% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 12.4% | 87.6% |
Our model makes Eibar favourites in Eibar v Cádiz on Sunday 15 November, with a 59% chance of a home win, 24% for the draw and 17% for Cádiz, from projected goals of 1.78 for Eibar and 0.83 for Cádiz.
The most likely score in Eibar v Cádiz is 1-0 at 13%, ahead of 2-0 at 12% and 1-1 at 11%, from our model's projection of 1.78 goals for Eibar and 0.83 for Cádiz, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Eibar v Cádiz, at 47% yes and 53% no, with Eibar keeping a clean sheet 44% of the time and Cádiz 17%, from projected goals of 1.78 and 0.83.
Our model projects 2.61 goals in Eibar v Cádiz, with over 2.5 goals at 48% and over 3.5 at 27%, and two goals the likeliest total at 26%.
The Eibar v Cádiz simulation turns our projections of 1.78 goals for Eibar and 0.83 for Cádiz into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.