Win, draw and score chances for Granada v Las Palmas, with the goals lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Granada win | 44.0% |
| Draw | 26.4% |
| Las Palmas win | 29.6% |
| Granada or draw (1X) | 70.4% |
| Las Palmas or draw (X2) | 56.0% |
| Granada or Las Palmas (12) | 73.6% |
| Both teams to score | 55.6% |
| Granada clean sheet | 29.8% |
| Las Palmas clean sheet | 21.7% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Granada 1-1 Las Palmas | 12.6% |
| Granada 1-0 Las Palmas | 9.3% |
| Granada 2-1 Las Palmas | 9.1% |
| Granada 2-0 Las Palmas | 7.5% |
| Granada 1-2 Las Palmas | 7.3% |
| Granada 0-1 Las Palmas | 7.2% |
| Granada 0-0 Las Palmas | 7.1% |
| Granada 2-2 Las Palmas | 5.5% |
| Stat | Granada | Las Palmas | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 | 1.21 | 2.74 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 7.1% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 76.4% | 23.6% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 51.6% | 48.4% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 29.5% | 70.5% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 14.3% | 85.7% |
Our model makes Granada favourites in Granada v Las Palmas on Sunday 15 November, with a 44% chance of a home win, 26% for the draw and 30% for Las Palmas, from projected goals of 1.53 for Granada and 1.21 for Las Palmas.
The most likely score in Granada v Las Palmas is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 at 9% and 2-1 at 9%, from our model's projection of 1.53 goals for Granada and 1.21 for Las Palmas, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 56% of the outcomes our model gives Granada v Las Palmas, making yes the likelier answer, with Granada keeping a clean sheet 30% of the time and Las Palmas 22%, from projected goals of 1.53 and 1.21.
Our model projects 2.74 goals in Granada v Las Palmas, with over 2.5 goals at 52% and over 3.5 at 29%, and two goals the likeliest total at 25%.
The Granada v Las Palmas simulation turns our projections of 1.53 goals for Granada and 1.21 for Las Palmas into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.