Win, draw and score chances for Wimbledon v Blackpool, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon win | 35.6% |
| Draw | 28.3% |
| Blackpool win | 36.1% |
| Wimbledon or draw (1X) | 63.9% |
| Blackpool or draw (X2) | 64.4% |
| Wimbledon or Blackpool (12) | 71.7% |
| Both teams to score | 53.9% |
| Wimbledon clean sheet | 27.1% |
| Blackpool clean sheet | 27.4% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon 1-1 Blackpool | 13.5% |
| Wimbledon 0-1 Blackpool | 8.7% |
| Wimbledon 1-0 Blackpool | 8.7% |
| Wimbledon 0-0 Blackpool | 8.4% |
| Wimbledon 1-2 Blackpool | 8.2% |
| Wimbledon 2-1 Blackpool | 8.1% |
| Wimbledon 0-2 Blackpool | 6.3% |
| Wimbledon 2-0 Blackpool | 6.2% |
| Stat | Wimbledon | Blackpool | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 | 1.31 | 2.60 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 5.0 | 11.4 |
| Shots | 13.9 | 12.1 | 26.0 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 4.0 | 8.2 |
| Yellow cards | 1.8 | 2.2 | 4.0 |
| Fouls | 11.0 | 10.5 | 21.5 |
| Tackles | 13.4 | 14.9 | 28.3 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 91.7% | 8.4% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 74.3% | 25.8% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 26.5% | 73.6% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 12.3% | 87.7% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 88.2% | 11.8% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 80.3% | 19.7% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 70.3% | 29.7% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 35.7% | 64.3% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 93.6% | 6.4% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 86.2% | 13.8% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 74.9% | 25.1% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 70.8% | 29.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 57.2% | 42.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 30.6% | 69.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 20.3% | 79.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 76.0% | 24.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 56.4% | 43.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 36.8% | 63.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 21.3% | 78.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 10.9% | 89.1% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 65.7% | 34.3% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 48.6% | 51.4% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 32.3% | 67.7% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 19.2% | 80.8% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 10.2% | 89.8% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.1% | 0.9% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 97.3% | 2.7% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 93.4% | 6.7% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 86.2% | 13.8% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 75.6% | 24.5% |
Our model makes Wimbledon favourites in Wimbledon v Blackpool on Saturday 14 November, with a 36% chance of a home win, 28% for the draw and 36% for Blackpool, from projected goals of 1.30 for Wimbledon and 1.31 for Blackpool.
The most likely score in Wimbledon v Blackpool is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 at 9% and 1-0 at 9%, from our model's projection of 1.30 goals for Wimbledon and 1.31 for Blackpool, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 54% of the outcomes our model gives Wimbledon v Blackpool, making yes the likelier answer, with Wimbledon keeping a clean sheet 27% of the time and Blackpool 27%, from projected goals of 1.30 and 1.31.
Our model projects 2.60 goals in Wimbledon v Blackpool, with over 2.5 goals at 48% and over 3.5 at 26%, and two goals the likeliest total at 26%.
Our model expects 11.4 corners in Wimbledon v Blackpool on Saturday 14 November, 6.4 for Wimbledon and 5.0 for Blackpool, putting over 10.5 corners at 59% and over 11.5 at 47%.
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards in Wimbledon v Blackpool on Saturday 14 November, 1.8 for Wimbledon and 2.2 for Blackpool, putting over 3.5 cards at 56% and over 4.5 at 37%.
The Wimbledon v Blackpool simulation turns our projections of 1.30 goals for Wimbledon and 1.31 for Blackpool into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.