Win, draw and score chances for B'mouth v Forest, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| B'mouth win | 49.3% |
| Draw | 25.9% |
| Forest win | 24.8% |
| B'mouth or draw (1X) | 75.3% |
| Forest or draw (X2) | 50.7% |
| B'mouth or Forest (12) | 74.1% |
| Both teams to score | 53.5% |
| B'mouth clean sheet | 34.0% |
| Forest clean sheet | 19.8% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| B'mouth 1-1 Forest | 12.4% |
| B'mouth 1-0 Forest | 10.3% |
| B'mouth 2-1 Forest | 9.5% |
| B'mouth 2-0 Forest | 8.8% |
| B'mouth 0-0 Forest | 7.3% |
| B'mouth 0-1 Forest | 6.7% |
| B'mouth 1-2 Forest | 6.4% |
| B'mouth 2-2 Forest | 5.1% |
| Stat | B'mouth | Forest | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 | 1.08 | 2.70 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 4.1 | 9.2 |
| Shots | 14.8 | 10.3 | 25.2 |
| Shots on target | 4.6 | 3.4 | 8.0 |
| Yellow cards | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3.7 |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 10.9 | 22.0 |
| Tackles | 13.8 | 14.8 | 28.6 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 7.3% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 75.7% | 24.4% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 28.5% | 71.5% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 13.7% | 86.4% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 70.2% | 29.8% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 57.4% | 42.6% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 44.2% | 55.8% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 32.1% | 67.9% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 22.0% | 78.1% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 14.1% | 85.9% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 91.3% | 8.7% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 82.3% | 17.7% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 69.4% | 30.6% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 38.3% | 61.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 68.3% | 31.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 54.3% | 45.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 27.9% | 72.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 18.1% | 81.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 31.9% | 68.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 17.5% | 82.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 8.5% | 91.5% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 69.1% | 31.0% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 35.9% | 64.1% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 22.0% | 78.0% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 12.0% | 88.0% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.2% | 0.8% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 97.6% | 2.4% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 94.0% | 6.0% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 87.4% | 12.6% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 77.2% | 22.8% |
Our model makes B'mouth favourites in B'mouth v Forest on Saturday 21 November, with a 49% chance of a home win, 26% for the draw and 25% for Forest, from projected goals of 1.62 for B'mouth and 1.08 for Forest.
The most likely score in B'mouth v Forest is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 10%, from our model's projection of 1.62 goals for B'mouth and 1.08 for Forest, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 53% of the outcomes our model gives B'mouth v Forest, making yes the likelier answer, with B'mouth keeping a clean sheet 34% of the time and Forest 20%, from projected goals of 1.62 and 1.08.
Our model projects 2.70 goals in B'mouth v Forest, with over 2.5 goals at 51% and over 3.5 at 29%, and two goals the likeliest total at 25%.
Our model expects 9.2 corners in B'mouth v Forest on Saturday 21 November, 5.2 for B'mouth and 4.1 for Forest, putting over 8.5 corners at 57% and over 9.5 at 44%.
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards in B'mouth v Forest on Saturday 21 November, 1.9 for B'mouth and 1.8 for Forest, putting over 3.5 cards at 51% and over 4.5 at 32%.
The B'mouth v Forest simulation turns our projections of 1.62 goals for B'mouth and 1.08 for Forest into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.